Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x171b0625db2b7f2ac2848455143776eec779ee85f6359364c1b423b23b32fc68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vici Gamingof Vici Gaming, PlayTime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,643
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,643 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Vici Gaming | 76c | 2,487$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.56 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed PlayTime | 37c | 2,442$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.95 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed PlayTime | 12c | 1,356$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.6 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed PlayTime | 2c | 943.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Vici Gaming | 61c | 698.05$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.02 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked PlayTime | 24c | 353.19$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Vici Gaming | 69c | 326.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.08 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed PlayTime | 37c | 269.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Vici Gaming | 68c | 189.71$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.71 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Vici Gaming | 68c | 143.63$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked PlayTime | 13c | 139.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1191…dfa6backed PlayTime | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Vici Gaming | 61c | 90$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Vici Gaming | 70c | 67.16$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c0…c2a1backed PlayTime | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed PlayTime | 34c | 41.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Vici Gaming | 75c | 32.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd45d…583bbacked Vici Gaming | 62c | 17.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd524…2302backed Vici Gaming | 62c | 17.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Vici Gaming | 64c | 15.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsVici Gaming won
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 2 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.