Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2db3c0906ac69232c4998f436e34e5df7e64b6dd2d9cb9ddd6305f2aef23c0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vici Gamingof Vici Gaming, PlayTime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,208
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,208 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked PlayTime | 46c | 2,191$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.63 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Vici Gaming | 59c | 1,524$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.72 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…d2b3backed Vici Gaming | 74c | 1,368$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.43 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed PlayTime | 35c | 1,015$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.81 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abc…9ff7backed PlayTime | 39c | 761.46$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -5.5wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Vici Gaming | 70c | 566.92$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.83 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Vici Gaming | 70c | 444.72$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.46 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed PlayTime | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Vici Gaming | 61c | 353.63$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.63 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Vici Gaming | 65c | 335$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.25 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1191…dfa6backed PlayTime | 29c | 300$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.96 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked Vici Gaming | 61c | 265.94$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.84 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Vici Gaming | 60c | 248.12$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked PlayTime | 30c | 200.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.31 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Vici Gaming | 65c | 194$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.9 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Vici Gaming | 70c | 186.85$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.85 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed PlayTime | 13c | 160.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c0…c2a1backed PlayTime | 23c | 149.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…d351backed Vici Gaming | 66c | 149.69$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed PlayTime | 39c | 127.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed PlayTime | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Vici Gaming | 57c | 94.97$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Vici Gaming | 70c | 69.53$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Vici Gaming | 69c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…8c91backed Vici Gaming | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Vici Gaming | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Vici Gaming | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…747fbacked Vici Gaming | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2625…9198backed Vici Gaming | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed Vici Gaming | 61c | 24.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc85d…6832backed Vici Gaming | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 124 | 38.7%48 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf111…3b8ebacked Vici Gaming | 79c | 14.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsVici Gaming won
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 1 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.