NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c6a5f0745f03f05ae5420e4c7e242063b62c485d66d77bd895d67739ecf1a3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Magic, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $392,461
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $469,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $392,461 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d5e…5d34backed Magic | 11c | 71,927$8,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,136.28 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked Magic | 14c | 36,966$5,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,253.1 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +13.2wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…2032backed Magic | 10c | 10,946$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.36 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Magic | 0c | 10,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba4b…6390backed Magic | 12c | 9,349$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Magic | 12c | 7,080$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.6 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf390…fae0backed Magic | 0c | 6,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Magic | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Magic | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Magic | 12c | 4,889$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.67 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x804f…5e90backed Magic | 10c | 4,097$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1912…833abacked Magic | 13c | 4,067$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 8c | 3,972$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.76 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Magic | 11c | 3,542$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.75 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Magic | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.97 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e5…dd0fbacked Magic | 12c | 2,775$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…03babacked Magic | 13c | 2,624$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Magic | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…f8dabacked Magic | 9c | 2,493$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.9 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Magic | 1c | 2,275$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Magic | 4c | 1,905$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.29 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Magic | 12c | 1,900$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8a…f0ddbacked Magic | 12c | 1,637$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.52 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Magic | 15c | 1,499$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.82 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa784…c046backed Magic | 4c | 1,494$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Magic | 1c | 1,433$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Magic | 8c | 1,397$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…4e11backed Magic | 12c | 1,276$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed Magic | 13c | 1,203$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.42 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bee…4f33backed Magic | 15c | 1,200$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Magic | 12c | 1,200$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.73 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Magic | 14c | 1,159$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.08 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Magic | 15c | 1,062$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.26 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Magic | 14c | 1,046$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Magic | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Magic | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.9 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Magic | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Magic | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Magic | 1c | 999.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Magic | 16c | 923.67$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.79 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbc…a70dbacked Magic | 11c | 899.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c6…77d0backed Magic | 12c | 862.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…27e7backed Magic | 12c | 833.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…e782backed Magic | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef4…7ffbbacked Magic | 12c | 800$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +298.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2e…5db7backed Magic | 11c | 800$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Magic | 11c | 751.95$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.71 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…676fbacked Magic | 14c | 714.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Magic | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Magic | 13c | 666.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 303 | 31.4%95 W · 208 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1668…c545backed Magic | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59aa…589dbacked Magic | 12c | 609$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Magic | 5c | 579.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 48 | 2.1%1 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -67%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe938…9e62backed Magic | 11c | 509.09$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe174…f74bbacked Magic | 15c | 433.15$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Magic | 11c | 392.89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Magic | 8c | 368.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…460abacked Magic | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…748dbacked Magic | 10c | 297.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa715…15e2backed Magic | 11c | 282.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Magic | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…e592backed Magic | 22c | 250.01$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Magic | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4621…00ecbacked Magic | 15c | 237.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Magic | 16c | 236$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Magic | 12c | 222$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Magic | 11c | 221.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…4c5abacked Magic | 11c | 220$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…0ffdbacked Magic | 12c | 218.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…f741backed Magic | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea3b…d4c6backed Magic | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9369…e913backed Magic | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf6…ff0dbacked Magic | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Magic | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…9b83backed Magic | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…a5dbbacked Magic | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Magic | 15c | 199.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258d…cd31backed Magic | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9c…6b82backed Magic | 16c | 188$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Magic | 11c | 181.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 34.5%41 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Magic | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 191 | 64.9%124 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0c…6565backed Magic | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -56%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…842bbacked Magic | 12c | 179.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x612a…3c9cbacked Magic | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7afc…84e3backed Magic | 11c | 175$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…0e7abacked Magic | 12c | 173.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0e…4b38backed Magic | 6c | 170$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Magic | 16c | 169$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Magic | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 345 | 51.3%177 W · 168 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eca…80e6backed Magic | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…e764backed Magic | 12c | 165.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x515f…539cbacked Magic | 16c | 155$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Magic | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Magic | 13c | 141.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Magic | 19c | 139.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Magic | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Magic | 12c | 132.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d7…6547backed Magic | 15c | 131.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdacd…cfb2backed Magic | 11c | 130.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Magic | 26c | 127.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.