TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1e55…f741

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
94
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Middle East, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST4323.3%10 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Cowboysbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$348.86
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$206.14
Jets vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 22.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+92.3%+$266.4
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Steelers vs. Chargersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+163.2%+$77.5
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Rams vs. Eaglesbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$53.5
Commanders vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$217.73
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
Will the Vikings win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10.89
Broncos vs. Billsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$26.25
Chargers vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+300%+$150
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$141.98
49ers vs. Cardinalsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$56.28
Chargers vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$51.18
Seahawks vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$89.7
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$153
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$426.24
Giants vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+79%+$386.36
Browns vs. Ravensbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Lions vs. 49ersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,044Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+49.3%+$514.29
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$32.6
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST2920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$189.38
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$58.98
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Warriors vs. Thunderbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Hawks vs. Clippersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$595Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+39.1%+$232.91
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10.56
76ers vs. Nuggetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$161.19
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$139
Jazz vs. Pelicansbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$60.92
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$53.75
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Timberwolves vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$17.2
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$46.5
Nets vs. Clippersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Heat vs. Lakersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$17.4
Hornets vs. Jazzbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+233.3%+$35
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$10.15
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$13.2
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$35.2
Trail Blazers vs. Bucksbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+236.6%+$45.69
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+192.2%+$135.93
Wizards vs. Pelicansbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$39
76ers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST+222.6%+$69
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$29.86
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+212.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+122.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota vs. Virginia Techbacked Virginia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$27.2
Ohio State vs. Oregonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$27.9
South Carolina vs. Illinoisbacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$99
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$99.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+42.9%+$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$26.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.