NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7511898790ca73b58ffa6edc1bb9e0af20c8eb06be03647b81762d52f98fef3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Grizzlies, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $377,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $398,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $377,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 474 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcac2…d644backed Grizzlies | 5c | 135,741$6,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,403.87 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 23c | 12,624$2,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,854.35 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…5d34backed Warriors | 73c | 10,840$7,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,901.72 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Grizzlies | 1c | 9,797$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.68 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6c…bf6ebacked Grizzlies | 44c | 8,600$3,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,784 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Warriors | 60c | 8,364$4,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,368.68 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 8,098$3,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,563.28 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed Warriors | 56c | 7,143$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,142.77 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…0cb0backed Grizzlies | 44c | 5,826$2,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,562.72 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824c…d2bbbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 5,392$2,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,387.31 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca9…508ebacked Warriors | 56c | 5,300$2,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,332 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Grizzlies | 22c | 5,135$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.29 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Warriors | 56c | 5,115$2,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,248.86 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Grizzlies | 34c | 4,659$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.31 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…2ba7backed Warriors | 72c | 4,217$3,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.05 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Grizzlies | 35c | 3,982$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.79 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Warriors | 65c | 3,894$2,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.75 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Warriors | 56c | 3,500$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4849…0f64backed Warriors | 56c | 3,110$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Warriors | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.93 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Warriors | 68c | 2,964$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.21 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Grizzlies | 33c | 2,777$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.01 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04aa…a60ebacked Grizzlies | 42c | 2,715$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.1 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac7c…0dc3backed Warriors | 59c | 2,712$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.86 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x660b…7191backed Warriors | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Warriors | 57c | 2,424$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.18 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…9860backed Grizzlies | 41c | 2,329$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Grizzlies | 42c | 2,247$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.84 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6153…0e04backed Grizzlies | 26c | 2,118$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Warriors | 74c | 1,910$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.39 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Grizzlies | 44c | 1,843$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.98 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Warriors | 56c | 1,751$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.13 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Warriors | 68c | 1,690$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.49 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c9…0735backed Grizzlies | 25c | 1,683$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Grizzlies | 8c | 1,656$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.35 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Grizzlies | 44c | 1,591$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.02 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Grizzlies | 14c | 1,567$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.41 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Grizzlies | 37c | 1,541$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.84 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Grizzlies | 7c | 1,500$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589e…c63ebacked Warriors | 56c | 1,339$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.29 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…9d10backed Warriors | 77c | 1,325$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.73 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Grizzlies | 42c | 1,324$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.47 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Warriors | 56c | 1,232$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.29 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…e717backed Grizzlies | 27c | 1,206$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.29 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Grizzlies | 43c | 1,055$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.66 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…4322backed Grizzlies | 18c | 1,050$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Grizzlies | 28c | 1,020$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.24 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Grizzlies | 44c | 1,000$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.59 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Warriors | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0304…dcc7backed Warriors | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…8ca0backed Grizzlies | 43c | 900$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…61aabacked Warriors | 56c | 899.97$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Warriors | 70c | 800$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Warriors | 69c | 800$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bf…7851backed Grizzlies | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Grizzlies | 38c | 732.97$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.99 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Warriors | 67c | 717.32$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.33 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Warriors | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…b149backed Grizzlies | 45c | 666.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Warriors | 69c | 658$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.6 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Warriors | 75c | 635.73$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.94 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Grizzlies | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831b…eed5backed Grizzlies | 43c | 558.14$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Grizzlies | 18c | 548.69$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.87 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x091c…1600backed Warriors | 56c | 517.86$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x774b…f0f3backed Grizzlies | 45c | 517.78$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Warriors | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Warriors | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Grizzlies | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…63bfbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Grizzlies | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Warriors | 56c | 482.05$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.97 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Grizzlies | 33c | 480.45$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.44 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Grizzlies | 43c | 473$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.39 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Grizzlies | 42c | 465.94$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.37 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Warriors | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x396d…2fd2backed Grizzlies | 42c | 431.55$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Warriors | 72c | 426.42$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.62 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Grizzlies | 19c | 421$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…ad17backed Grizzlies | 13c | 400$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19e…461abacked Grizzlies | 44c | 399.98$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.99 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…a0b3backed Warriors | 68c | 390.08$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.57 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b7…f3d9backed Grizzlies | 40c | 383.31$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.59 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Grizzlies | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Warriors | 65c | 339.82$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.94 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Warriors | 57c | 338$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.31 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8e…fba1backed Warriors | 72c | 329.87$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Grizzlies | 16c | 327.34$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Warriors | 57c | 313$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.56 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…0799backed Grizzlies | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Warriors | 75c | 301.19$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.19 | 286 | 57.3%164 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Grizzlies | 28c | 300$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Grizzlies | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Warriors | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Grizzlies | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…ef89backed Warriors | 64c | 299.99$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaafb…3027backed Warriors | 59c | 292.92$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.1 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18ac…15f9backed Warriors | 69c | 287.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.78 | 116 | 62.1%72 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…676fbacked Grizzlies | 35c | 285$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.