NFL · resolved market
Texans vs. Chiefs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x065ac10ba499267ee96cb559a099f4ced08bbd145d4c156df87206ad26906757
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chiefsof Texans, Chiefs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,538,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,939,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,538,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 403 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Texans | 18c | 270,717$47,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,394.9 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…78ddbacked Texans | 18c | 247,000$43,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,389.92 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad3e…4422backed Chiefs | 76c | 214,038$162,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,609.56 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Texans | 13c | 146,053$19,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,313.67 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…20efbacked Texans | 21c | 139,579$29,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,302.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Texans | 18c | 129,165$23,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,432.1 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe847…f8bdbacked Texans | 0c | 100,833$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Texans | 18c | 94,317$17,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,076.7 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked Chiefs | 79c | 93,217$73,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,230.25 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Texans | 15c | 78,220$11,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,788.67 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…53c8backed Texans | 18c | 63,889$11,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,500 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Texans | 10c | 63,581$6,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,509.97 | 82 | 18.3%15 W · 67 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Texans | 19c | 55,860$10,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,497.09 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Texans | 16c | 49,656$8,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,098.49 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865c…ea31backed Texans | 2c | 46,096$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.37 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Texans | 4c | 38,741$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.22 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Texans | 17c | 27,444$4,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,765.84 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x941b…d05abacked Texans | 20c | 22,500$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Texans | 13c | 20,016$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Texans | 19c | 20,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.96 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Chiefs | 80c | 18,854$15,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,770.81 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Texans | 22c | 18,697$4,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,192.44 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x187c…ca3cbacked Texans | 4c | 18,294$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Texans | 22c | 18,149$3,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,930.14 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Texans | 21c | 15,135$3,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,121.88 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a45…cf97backed Texans | 2c | 13,888$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.83 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Texans | 11c | 13,639$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.71 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Texans | 17c | 12,346$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.8 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Texans | 3c | 11,817$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Texans | 15c | 11,152$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.82 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…6132backed Chiefs | 79c | 10,495$8,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211.44 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Texans | 24c | 8,344$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.78 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72db…27b0backed Texans | 14c | 8,032$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Texans | 19c | 7,144$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.6 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Texans | 19c | 7,000$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cf…8647backed Texans | 20c | 6,638$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Texans | 20c | 6,327$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.6 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Texans | 14c | 6,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Texans | 17c | 5,620$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.39 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Texans | 15c | 5,451$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.69 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Chiefs | 75c | 5,331$3,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.81 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Texans | 17c | 5,257$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Chiefs | 77c | 5,125$3,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.32 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd94f…8936backed Chiefs | 79c | 5,032$3,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.06 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Texans | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66af…d58ebacked Texans | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -66%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Texans | 19c | 5,000$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.11 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Texans | 15c | 4,970$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.44 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…dfc0backed Texans | 20c | 4,931$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Texans | 21c | 4,400$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…06c3backed Texans | 10c | 4,352$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Texans | 17c | 4,128$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.1 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Chiefs | 79c | 4,118$3,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.89 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…fd45backed Texans | 14c | 4,092$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Texans | 17c | 4,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -12.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Texans | 17c | 4,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…5124backed Texans | 18c | 3,985$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.77 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a60…d019backed Texans | 17c | 3,938$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff4…eb8ebacked Texans | 3c | 3,916$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.63 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Chiefs | 80c | 3,750$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 162 | 59.9%97 W · 65 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e43…43dfbacked Texans | 20c | 3,708$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…a55abacked Texans | 20c | 3,596$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Texans | 19c | 3,304$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.29 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Texans | 16c | 3,214$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.69 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Texans | 20c | 3,192$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.47 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f44…3ae9backed Texans | 13c | 3,007$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Chiefs | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Texans | 18c | 2,780$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.4 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Texans | 23c | 2,613$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd234…43fcbacked Texans | 9c | 2,600$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Texans | 17c | 2,592$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.8 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Texans | 18c | 2,550$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Texans | 11c | 2,500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae24…07c2backed Chiefs | 75c | 2,500$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…0361backed Texans | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -66%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Chiefs | 78c | 2,480$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.06 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Texans | 11c | 2,432$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.37 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Texans | 2c | 2,400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Chiefs | 80c | 2,385$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.09 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Texans | 17c | 2,369$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.75 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Texans | 1c | 2,330$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Texans | 4c | 2,291$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.86 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…79c6backed Texans | 18c | 2,282$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.7 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…22f4backed Texans | 23c | 2,174$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…2af6backed Texans | 19c | 2,028$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -60%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6540…639abacked Chiefs | 77c | 2,000$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Chiefs | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Texans | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe0…6ff6backed Texans | 17c | 1,993$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf00…de3fbacked Texans | 10c | 1,941$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.61 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…7361backed Texans | 20c | 1,819$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Texans | 17c | 1,773$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.41 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Texans | 12c | 1,759$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.65 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac46…fa1bbacked Texans | 13c | 1,707$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.6 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcece…dc07backed Texans | 19c | 1,619$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe938…9e62backed Texans | 13c | 1,604$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe425…6155backed Texans | 20c | 1,600$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdd…9df2backed Texans | 13c | 1,586$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…5455backed Texans | 19c | 1,579$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Texans | 20c | 1,508$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.