NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62f6e845e4cb01e95a11d582b8580f27715aa4d34a9f2bd05abe94ba49d8a77b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $496,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $571,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $496,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 466 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Timberwolves | 7c | 33,001$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.15 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 30,014$15,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,500.92 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d15…a4a4backed Warriors | 33c | 29,320$9,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,533.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 31c | 17,161$5,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,395.68 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 12,778$6,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,868.74 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Warriors | 73c | 10,609$7,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,864.44 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4205…46a7backed Warriors | 58c | 10,332$6,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,295.5 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Timberwolves | 55c | 7,854$4,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,341.84 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Timberwolves | 38c | 7,391$2,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,779.3 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Warriors | 47c | 6,787$3,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,608.11 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Timberwolves | 27c | 6,566$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.22 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Warriors | 32c | 6,072$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,128.83 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Warriors | 71c | 5,940$4,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.36 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked Warriors | 32c | 5,594$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,803.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Warriors | 66c | 5,074$3,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.12 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Warriors | 71c | 4,809$3,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.54 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Warriors | 70c | 4,751$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.08 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Warriors | 69c | 4,639$3,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.48 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…57f9backed Timberwolves | 42c | 4,257$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.16 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Timberwolves | 11c | 4,055$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.24 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53f6…7f1fbacked Warriors | 73c | 3,939$2,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.82 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Timberwolves | 48c | 3,918$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.7 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Warriors | 73c | 3,545$2,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.36 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Timberwolves | 67c | 3,500$2,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,344.87 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Timberwolves | 70c | 3,456$2,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,419.14 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…7684backed Warriors | 62c | 3,259$2,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.6 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Timberwolves | 69c | 3,225$2,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240.65 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb8…e817backed Warriors | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Timberwolves | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80eb…5bfcbacked Warriors | 67c | 2,968$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.21 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Warriors | 31c | 2,881$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.87 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…f352backed Warriors | 31c | 2,300$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Warriors | 78c | 2,000$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Warriors | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.95 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Warriors | 74c | 1,930$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.29 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Warriors | 71c | 1,919$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.48 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7d…f776backed Warriors | 78c | 1,914$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.52 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…9d10backed Warriors | 67c | 1,804$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.96 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Warriors | 56c | 1,790$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.11 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…a55abacked Warriors | 74c | 1,767$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.79 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Timberwolves | 30c | 1,736$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.71 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…bde1backed Timberwolves | 44c | 1,713$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.49 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Warriors | 77c | 1,653$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.2 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Warriors | 67c | 1,556$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.48 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b8b4backed Timberwolves | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Timberwolves | 14c | 1,500$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Warriors | 68c | 1,466$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.01 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…74aebacked Timberwolves | 29c | 1,450$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b7…f3d9backed Warriors | 32c | 1,444$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.75 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8c…1f3fbacked Timberwolves | 69c | 1,442$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.1 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Timberwolves | 68c | 1,400$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef8…d771backed Warriors | 31c | 1,400$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Timberwolves | 42c | 1,396$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.4 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb828…27a9backed Warriors | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Warriors | 53c | 1,377$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.19 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Timberwolves | 5c | 1,308$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.87 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Timberwolves | 25c | 1,167$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Timberwolves | 35c | 1,100$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Timberwolves | 30c | 1,100$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70f0…70aabacked Timberwolves | 69c | 1,044$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.58 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Timberwolves | 31c | 1,003$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.39 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Timberwolves | 68c | 999.97$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.98 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Warriors | 71c | 973.77$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.19 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa9…a81bbacked Timberwolves | 69c | 873.49$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Warriors | 73c | 831.41$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.48 | 341 | 69.5%237 W · 104 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Warriors | 31c | 821.97$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.16 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Timberwolves | 2c | 799.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Warriors | 67c | 783.55$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.53 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Timberwolves | 68c | 751.96$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.33 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Warriors | 67c | 710.33$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.41 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Warriors | 75c | 700.3$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.31 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…12e7backed Warriors | 72c | 696.51$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.51 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Warriors | 68c | 677.94$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.94 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1a…bf3abacked Warriors | 72c | 671.96$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f3…3c23backed Timberwolves | 34c | 639.79$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Timberwolves | 68c | 636$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.48 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Timberwolves | 50c | 635.06$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.53 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…ef20backed Warriors | 31c | 635$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f64…326cbacked Warriors | 33c | 606.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.07 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Warriors | 51c | 598.91$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.57 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Warriors | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.01 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Warriors | 32c | 565$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.2 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…4350backed Timberwolves | 69c | 550$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.44per pick | 61cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6c…42b2backed Timberwolves | 31c | 549.73$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.08 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…fec8backed Warriors | 73c | 508.81$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.38 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…113dbacked Timberwolves | 68c | 500$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.77 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x826d…e682backed Warriors | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…0934backed Warriors | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Timberwolves | 68c | 499.99$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.99 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Timberwolves | 67c | 499.94$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.96 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Warriors | 70c | 452.69$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.24 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Timberwolves | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed Timberwolves | 45c | 439.03$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.34 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…8ca0backed Timberwolves | 69c | 435.96$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.81 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21bd…ae93backed Warriors | 73c | 407.76$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.42 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Timberwolves | 32c | 399.98$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.99 | 186 | 32.8%61 W · 125 L | -12.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Timberwolves | 37c | 399.97$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.99 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Warriors | 73c | 396.66$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Warriors | 65c | 391.9$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.16 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7f…8995backed Timberwolves | 32c | 374.49$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.