Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66fb0ba23866510d57392232eabc676915b0e00fa87220c652035c32f46105e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $223,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $232,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $223,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaee7…05e9backed No | 0c | 12,267$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f13…45eebacked No | 18c | 11,974$2,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 6c | 10,486$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.18 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5c…5731backed No | 4c | 9,815$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…089cbacked No | 30c | 8,357$2,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 71c | 7,893$5,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,265.6 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 74c | 7,620$5,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980.14 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…7bd8backed No | 28c | 5,037$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.81 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…be78backed Yes | 59c | 4,852$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.44 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fb…5bb6backed Yes | 72c | 4,152$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x856f…e1d7backed No | 26c | 4,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.99 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f33…89cfbacked No | 20c | 3,917$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.21 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…1da2backed Yes | 70c | 3,487$2,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.56 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked No | 1c | 3,075$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66af…d58ebacked No | 29c | 3,000$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3a…ee52backed No | 22c | 3,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.93 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 67c | 2,800$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.56 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 71c | 2,506$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.6 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 67c | 2,222$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.24 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x163a…6388backed No | 43c | 2,093$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d1…2b32backed No | 24c | 1,977$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Yes | 72c | 1,926$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -29%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed No | 23c | 1,888$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.47 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb97d…b68cbacked Yes | 65c | 1,859$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.42 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked Yes | 71c | 1,586$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.07 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 76c | 1,483$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.68 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc2…0b59backed Yes | 68c | 1,481$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.07 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3140…fbbebacked No | 34c | 1,317$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 66c | 1,315$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.6 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…77d2backed No | 7c | 1,250$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.48 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed No | 29c | 1,175$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.02 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d5…5e0cbacked Yes | 67c | 1,171$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.39 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…2c0dbacked No | 33c | 1,154$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…2e92backed Yes | 69c | 1,151$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.4 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 24c | 1,137$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.51 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38cd…a557backed Yes | 61c | 1,107$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.33 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc2…a7d9backed No | 3c | 1,102$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 32c | 1,046$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.62 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f29…dd03backed Yes | 73c | 1,009$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25a…7dd5backed Yes | 65c | 1,005$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae61…4e32backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…c6afbacked Yes | 69c | 999.99$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed No | 27c | 981.19$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.92 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac92…67efbacked Yes | 69c | 945.04$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.16 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -68%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 3c | 900$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed Yes | 57c | 840.14$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.26 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdde5…fd02backed No | 2c | 840.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…b50dbacked No | 9c | 826.91$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked No | 31c | 814.23$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.3 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb4…21c1backed Yes | 71c | 771.76$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.68 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd840…c8b3backed Yes | 63c | 766.92$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.53 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x662e…f342backed Yes | 68c | 728.56$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c47…9b02backed No | 35c | 683.13$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.41 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed No | 31c | 671.9$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.64 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…97aabacked Yes | 70c | 664.82$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.83 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa47e…5d1ebacked Yes | 69c | 648.04$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.04 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…dc58backed No | 11c | 624.03$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a4…abc9backed No | 48c | 595.96$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…a5b2backed No | 30c | 567.97$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a4…621abacked Yes | 61c | 530$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.1 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed No | 25c | 517.47$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.75 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9f…c17cbacked Yes | 70c | 512.95$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.26 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4be…76b7backed No | 39c | 508.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Yes | 56c | 500.46$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.93 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed No | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…aa40backed No | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb572…9239backed Yes | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f8…c356backed Yes | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 30c | 499.63$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.89 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…de5dbacked Yes | 80c | 496.97$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 71c | 491.64$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.97 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +22.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 27c | 491.1$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.31 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…decdbacked No | 23c | 485$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.4 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 29c | 482.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.38 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d1…c21fbacked No | 23c | 440.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…52c5backed No | 32c | 439.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddea…5b2bbacked No | 6c | 426.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc5…a867backed Yes | 70c | 425.67$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 64c | 418.08$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.81 | 235 | 43.8%103 W · 132 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…a210backed Yes | 76c | 410$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…9099backed Yes | 80c | 403.13$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.27 | 83 | 77.1%64 W · 19 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked No | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…be5ebacked No | 32c | 400$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.76 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f55…ae43backed No | 5c | 391.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe157…6db1backed Yes | 69c | 384.02$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.97 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…6912backed No | 24c | 380.44$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebbc…ad30backed Yes | 70c | 371.73$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 73c | 365.07$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.83 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x758a…4893backed Yes | 71c | 362.39$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.26 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked No | 27c | 362.38$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.12 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed No | 34c | 361$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.97 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…cafcbacked Yes | 63c | 352.55$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.9 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52c1…99b3backed No | 17c | 351.29$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…bfacbacked No | 30c | 350$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad86…cd10backed No | 29c | 350$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac36…aff1backed Yes | 66c | 349.2$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7e…36bcbacked No | 39c | 347.11$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.46 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a0…0fb8backed No | 28c | 346.51$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…4c4fbacked Yes | 73c | 342.47$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6718…80d1backed Yes | 72c | 314.86$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.23 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.