NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Knicks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37ccfa291dc44f498d4180669e531fb6b95341ce45253eaa6f78cb292a2e8fe1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $406,004
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $448,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $406,004 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 544 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Knicks | 0c | 43,818$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c53…f21fbacked Knicks | 0c | 20,114$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Timberwolves | 40c | 20,000$7,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,046.75 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16eb…8809backed Knicks | 0c | 18,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Timberwolves | 38c | 13,265$5,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,229.33 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Knicks | 59c | 12,405$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,316.47 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Knicks | 62c | 10,907$6,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,780.48 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Timberwolves | 61c | 8,823$5,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,465.08 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Timberwolves | 67c | 8,093$5,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,703.97 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0304…dcc7backed Knicks | 63c | 6,300$3,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.16 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Timberwolves | 40c | 6,034$2,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,625.25 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Knicks | 1c | 5,532$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Knicks | 2c | 5,400$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.38 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Timberwolves | 42c | 5,019$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,913.45 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…a4ccbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 4,050$2,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.09 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Knicks | 51c | 3,909$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.94 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Knicks | 1c | 3,151$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Knicks | 56c | 3,102$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.56 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Timberwolves | 34c | 2,769$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.55 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Knicks | 59c | 2,750$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.5 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Timberwolves | 41c | 2,470$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.17 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Knicks | 42c | 2,372$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Knicks | 8c | 2,278$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.86 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 2,248$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.95 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Knicks | 47c | 2,222$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Knicks | 49c | 2,054$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.47 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Knicks | 42c | 2,035$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.88 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Knicks | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Knicks | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,954$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.75 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 55c | 1,932$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.39 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 1,913$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.59 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Timberwolves | 36c | 1,896$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.5 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1f…90c0backed Knicks | 50c | 1,817$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked Timberwolves | 60c | 1,648$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.51 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e5…dd0fbacked Timberwolves | 37c | 1,631$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.5 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Timberwolves | 37c | 1,617$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.46 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Timberwolves | 41c | 1,608$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.04 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…0825backed Timberwolves | 36c | 1,570$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.8 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5d…7e9ebacked Knicks | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 65cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Knicks | 27c | 1,447$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.43 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Timberwolves | 40c | 1,415$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.12 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a8…adcebacked Timberwolves | 51c | 1,402$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.95 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Knicks | 46c | 1,400$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.77 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1d…f3d0backed Knicks | 63c | 1,203$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…5548backed Timberwolves | 37c | 1,201$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Knicks | 63c | 1,081$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.11 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…c3f5backed Knicks | 5c | 1,080$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8b…c2d0backed Knicks | 36c | 1,075$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.63 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Knicks | 40c | 1,071$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.71 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad1…c838backed Knicks | 63c | 1,070$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.96 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa784…c046backed Knicks | 20c | 1,035$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Knicks | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…1a3ebacked Timberwolves | 36c | 999.91$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.94 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb688…4e56backed Timberwolves | 37c | 950$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d9…026ebacked Knicks | 63c | 950$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…b925backed Knicks | 64c | 938.91$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeabe…043cbacked Timberwolves | 37c | 937.57$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4407…8f2bbacked Knicks | 49c | 918.35$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Timberwolves | 39c | 915.39$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.79 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Knicks | 42c | 900$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7914…f6d0backed Knicks | 66c | 886$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcf…7400backed Timberwolves | 57c | 882.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.54 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaafb…3027backed Knicks | 64c | 828.13$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Timberwolves | 36c | 820.91$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.34 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Knicks | 13c | 799.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.75 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e9…1248backed Knicks | 8c | 798.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Knicks | 63c | 783$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.29 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Timberwolves | 39c | 765.76$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.79 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…a0ffbacked Knicks | 51c | 734.23$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.9 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Knicks | 47c | 725.39$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.1 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Timberwolves | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.29 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Knicks | 2c | 712$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Knicks | 65c | 707.69$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Knicks | 65c | 692.31$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Knicks | 62c | 678.88$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Timberwolves | 56c | 635.9$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.8 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Timberwolves | 49c | 618.71$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.05 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Knicks | 31c | 612$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.32 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Knicks | 64c | 611.36$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.04 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1809…b277backed Knicks | 41c | 604.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Knicks | 65c | 585.6$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.45 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16d5…4ca7backed Timberwolves | 66c | 580.28$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Timberwolves | 70c | 568.65$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.39 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…0108backed Timberwolves | 70c | 554.57$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.37 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f09…6ed9backed Knicks | 48c | 520.53$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.26 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -56%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Timberwolves | 39c | 510$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.36 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Timberwolves | 39c | 509.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.99 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 506.18$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.61 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Timberwolves | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Timberwolves | 41c | 500$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.75 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Timberwolves | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Knicks | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 186 | 32.8%61 W · 125 L | -12.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Knicks | 30c | 492$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.6 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Timberwolves | 42c | 490$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.2 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Knicks | 51c | 490$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.1 | 351 | 65.2%229 W · 122 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Timberwolves | 36c | 462.64$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.7 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Knicks | 29c | 460.45$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.86 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…903dbacked Knicks | 65c | 450$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad71…4c93backed Knicks | 65c | 450$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.