NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Clippers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedebe6a66c7219a007422613d9f29c9dab9ea91ec0c7aab1b36bd9ae82672f26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Nets, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $154,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Nets | 0c | 30,240$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Nets | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nets | 13c | 11,582$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.12 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nets | 12c | 6,485$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.58 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Nets | 12c | 6,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Nets | 1c | 4,900$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Nets | 15c | 4,147$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.43 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nets | 13c | 4,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Nets | 12c | 3,927$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.27 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf8…e331backed Nets | 12c | 2,498$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…b8adbacked Nets | 10c | 2,148$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Nets | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…7352backed Nets | 10c | 1,715$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.8 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Nets | 10c | 1,585$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.18 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7764…dc84backed Nets | 10c | 1,500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 57 | 7%4 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ce…d06dbacked Nets | 2c | 1,195$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Nets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Nets | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Nets | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…0934backed Nets | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x649c…6e4fbacked Nets | 11c | 978.66$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.31 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7310…ddfdbacked Nets | 13c | 970$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.1 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…676fbacked Nets | 12c | 834.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Nets | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…c5b2backed Nets | 12c | 738.09$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…188bbacked Nets | 13c | 730.77$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 186 | 28%52 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a5…4366backed Nets | 14c | 643.07$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…5258backed Nets | 13c | 621$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.73 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71e9…1248backed Nets | 3c | 518.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Nets | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nets | 12c | 499.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Nets | 11c | 438.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Nets | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Nets | 14c | 399.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Nets | 14c | 399.92$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…a55abacked Nets | 12c | 384.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64fa…7f82backed Nets | 13c | 383.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd24e…9441backed Nets | 13c | 338.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…a04bbacked Nets | 9c | 323.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…c3f5backed Nets | 5c | 319.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f4…8c52backed Nets | 13c | 315.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nets | 10c | 305$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6215…1046backed Nets | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Nets | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Nets | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…7ff3backed Nets | 13c | 199.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8743…9e20backed Nets | 11c | 199.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Nets | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65dc…0b11backed Nets | 12c | 184.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39c…0498backed Nets | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nets | 8c | 165.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Nets | 10c | 162.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…a39cbacked Nets | 12c | 162.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 657 | 26%171 W · 486 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fa…7bd1backed Nets | 13c | 153.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8175…e4b8backed Nets | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc1…06edbacked Nets | 13c | 146.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 883 | 35.3%312 W · 571 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Nets | 13c | 143.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 352 | 35.2%124 W · 228 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…cc4ebacked Nets | 11c | 125.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Nets | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…f741backed Nets | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Nets | 11c | 109.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Nets | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…39a1backed Nets | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 487 | 41.9%204 W · 283 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Nets | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Nets | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Nets | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…96cbbacked Nets | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Nets | 18c | 95.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Nets | 13c | 78.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 234 | 38.9%91 W · 143 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2982…830dbacked Clippers | 77c | 23.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbd…dcc7backed Clippers | 79c | 21.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.