NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30c9597903db9703f7297b0cf9f98cd5e23bd7fad285ac7f591cce7589a14d7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Timberwolves, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $853,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $873,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $853,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 599 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Timberwolves | 7c | 195,061$13,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,106.25 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Rockets | 72c | 44,907$32,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,470.89 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Rockets | 60c | 26,476$15,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,590.24 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Timberwolves | 38c | 24,628$9,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,358.56 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…279fbacked Rockets | 67c | 16,134$10,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,349.61 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Rockets | 64c | 14,468$9,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,258.17 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rockets | 60c | 13,990$8,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,661.07 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Timberwolves | 32c | 13,432$4,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,327.04 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd87…f55ebacked Rockets | 59c | 9,142$5,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,785.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Rockets | 75c | 9,079$6,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,244.26 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Rockets | 61c | 8,915$5,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,476.9 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Timberwolves | 40c | 8,175$3,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,270.08 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Timberwolves | 39c | 6,959$2,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,733.48 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rockets | 62c | 6,713$4,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550.95 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Timberwolves | 28c | 6,002$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Rockets | 61c | 5,772$3,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,251.16 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Timberwolves | 2c | 5,631$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2d…27e6backed Timberwolves | 16c | 5,499$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.83 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Rockets | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Timberwolves | 33c | 4,689$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.43 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Rockets | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Timberwolves | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…d5e5backed Timberwolves | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Rockets | 59c | 3,512$2,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.71 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c21…69debacked Timberwolves | 40c | 3,461$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Timberwolves | 26c | 3,432$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Timberwolves | 39c | 3,400$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.93 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rockets | 65c | 3,146$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.75 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Timberwolves | 39c | 2,787$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Rockets | 61c | 2,469$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.64 | 275 | 46.9%129 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Rockets | 62c | 2,434$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.66 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rockets | 65c | 2,380$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.62 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 34c | 2,308$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.3 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Rockets | 58c | 2,300$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a5…f9babacked Timberwolves | 33c | 2,192$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…099fbacked Rockets | 71c | 2,109$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.97 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Rockets | 60c | 2,108$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.28 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Timberwolves | 43c | 2,105$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.64 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…4534backed Rockets | 61c | 2,002$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a27…b9ddbacked Timberwolves | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Rockets | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…a55abacked Timberwolves | 41c | 1,942$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.32 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Timberwolves | 43c | 1,840$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6c…81c8backed Timberwolves | 33c | 1,826$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Rockets | 63c | 1,686$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.18 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Rockets | 59c | 1,681$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.11 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Rockets | 59c | 1,658$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.07 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Timberwolves | 1c | 1,577$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x230c…46e8backed Timberwolves | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Rockets | 74c | 1,334$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.8 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Rockets | 76c | 1,333$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.02 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Timberwolves | 24c | 1,313$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.09 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rockets | 77c | 1,261$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.44 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…6462backed Timberwolves | 40c | 1,251$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Timberwolves | 38c | 1,250$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.99 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Timberwolves | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Timberwolves | 37c | 1,184$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.14 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8f…85cabacked Timberwolves | 42c | 1,106$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rockets | 69c | 1,100$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.75 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Rockets | 60c | 1,087$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.74 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Timberwolves | 34c | 1,000$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4475…0d28backed Timberwolves | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Timberwolves | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc913…e51cbacked Rockets | 59c | 999.98$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8d…d880backed Rockets | 65c | 928.75$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Timberwolves | 37c | 908.62$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.64 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Timberwolves | 41c | 900.66$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.76 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Timberwolves | 38c | 850.48$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.18 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…d4dabacked Timberwolves | 41c | 819.63$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.05 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Rockets | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…5fd7backed Rockets | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd334…fcc2backed Timberwolves | 39c | 785.23$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.24 | 247 | 25.9%64 W · 183 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Timberwolves | 34c | 776.46$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Rockets | 60c | 750$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Rockets | 62c | 729.54$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.82 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Timberwolves | 39c | 726.23$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.23 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed Rockets | 58c | 723.34$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Rockets | 75c | 686.68$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.67 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Timberwolves | 35c | 686.07$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.12 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Rockets | 62c | 637.71$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.42 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7103…b192backed Rockets | 79c | 615.49$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.25 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Timberwolves | 10c | 605$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.41 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Rockets | 60c | 600$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.8 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Rockets | 61c | 598.36$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.36 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Timberwolves | 31c | 580.27$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.75 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…76cabacked Rockets | 60c | 565.25$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Rockets | 58c | 562.95$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.01 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Timberwolves | 36c | 553.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588f…23b5backed Rockets | 60c | 540.25$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d6…9487backed Timberwolves | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d6…6de3backed Timberwolves | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…56c1backed Timberwolves | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x73f7…cc19backed Timberwolves | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…c58fbacked Rockets | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5810…fa44backed Rockets | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…af97backed Timberwolves | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…420fbacked Timberwolves | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf08a…29e0backed Rockets | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf44c…57dfbacked Rockets | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…d9d9backed Timberwolves | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.