Us Politics · resolved market
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x734525c64d1cdbbb45574cf3ef7f2496bf019d80e4d13c4663f054bda1f28ace
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,246,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,954,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,246,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 632 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ef…5232backed No | 2c | 252,798$6,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,240 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a96…022fbacked No | 6c | 61,005$3,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,416.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…1b3ebacked No | 1c | 60,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…9188backed No | 1c | 50,500$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5c…1412backed No | 1c | 48,982$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.13 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…3e9fbacked No | 0c | 47,426$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 3c | 44,025$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.58 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…4890backed No | 0c | 42,787$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b332backed No | 1c | 40,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…06a5backed No | 3c | 33,585$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec63…dfadbacked No | 1c | 31,190$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked No | 1c | 30,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c26…cf53backed No | 1c | 25,188$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.07 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 73c | 24,543$17,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,555.14 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaab…6fd5backed No | 2c | 23,450$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…0b89backed No | 9c | 23,148$2,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387b…397ebacked No | 5c | 21,809$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd133…8706backed No | 7c | 19,900$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked No | 2c | 18,961$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.36 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f32…b501backed No | 1c | 18,014$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b20…c444backed No | 1c | 17,945$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2947…38bebacked No | 3c | 16,584$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ed…8e91backed No | 15c | 16,484$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14c5…363bbacked No | 7c | 14,348$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4621…8fbebacked No | 1c | 14,167$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbee…b1f4backed No | 13c | 14,106$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f2c0backed No | 24c | 13,220$3,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,172.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa4…02bdbacked No | 2c | 12,037$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0867…706bbacked No | 1c | 11,376$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 7c | 11,364$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.59 | 210 | 22.4%47 W · 163 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked No | 1c | 10,643$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.49 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…55cebacked No | 1c | 10,417$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.58 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…d372backed No | 1c | 10,194$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…9a43backed No | 1c | 10,007$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.07 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa288…dc5ebacked No | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b19…98f5backed No | 2c | 9,863$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba2…3045backed No | 12c | 9,595$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2292…ca8fbacked No | 0c | 9,337$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…cc64backed No | 11c | 9,112$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.35 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c4…6024backed No | 2c | 9,000$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e91…ca87backed No | 1c | 8,805$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…aa73backed No | 2c | 8,731$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…8bc9backed No | 1c | 8,478$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5055…14bebacked No | 4c | 7,853$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e9…ac35backed No | 2c | 7,743$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…fd57backed No | 1c | 7,691$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…7652backed No | 1c | 7,500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…6720backed No | 1c | 7,296$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked No | 31c | 6,744$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.42 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8605…750fbacked No | 8c | 6,727$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked No | 2c | 6,720$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.04 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…b3fabacked No | 8c | 6,585$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked No | 15c | 6,477$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.3 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…56d5backed No | 4c | 6,366$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e1…6a54backed No | 8c | 6,313$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da6…59fabacked No | 8c | 5,849$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f7…fd7cbacked No | 3c | 5,658$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…cbcebacked No | 1c | 5,400$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…b226backed No | 3c | 5,351$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +122.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2d…6130backed No | 19c | 5,217$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +279.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1978…a10fbacked No | 6c | 5,163$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.54per pick | 21cpaid | +695.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 3c | 5,091$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.08 | 110 | 10%11 W · 99 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa83a…eaafbacked No | 3c | 5,069$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed91…4d20backed No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6d…d787backed No | 2c | 5,000$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0486…2a2fbacked No | 5c | 4,984$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…72a9backed No | 1c | 4,893$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad9…030abacked No | 2c | 4,856$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5c…385abacked No | 4c | 4,698$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe55a…d85cbacked No | 12c | 4,533$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…9416backed No | 2c | 4,526$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b49…7662backed No | 2c | 4,285$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…7865backed No | 14c | 4,213$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.08 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad9…70c6backed No | 2c | 4,184$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed No | 2c | 4,167$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a4…2edfbacked No | 2c | 4,167$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…a229backed No | 5c | 4,140$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3295…ce54backed No | 7c | 4,101$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…b758backed No | 9c | 4,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…777bbacked No | 1c | 3,900$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Yes | 68c | 3,870$2,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.25 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5225…ae99backed No | 1c | 3,687$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x626e…dbb7backed No | 1c | 3,667$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1f…3d96backed No | 2c | 3,657$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9f…d686backed No | 2c | 3,510$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0a…7cd3backed No | 3c | 3,507$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef28…2d50backed No | 8c | 3,500$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.5 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeea…604dbacked No | 2c | 3,499$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed No | 10c | 3,491$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.14 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…6a01backed No | 2c | 3,383$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5548…2a59backed No | 5c | 3,374$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2174…eefabacked No | 2c | 3,326$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86ea…c5bfbacked No | 1c | 3,267$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Yes | 74c | 3,233$2,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.27 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 71c | 3,114$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.05 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228e…3296backed No | 1c | 3,104$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…5a46backed No | 6c | 3,095$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 11c | 3,015$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.49 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05fd…50c9backed No | 5c | 3,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4dc…0fc3backed No | 3c | 3,000$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.