NFL · resolved market
49ers vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x165f860cf83d9c90be39bb987d7765ae17622bc8465ef760ea909d77fdd0a95f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof 49ers, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $213,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $243,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 447 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb100…6461backed 49ers | 1c | 15,833$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.97 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked 49ers | 33c | 14,762$4,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,871.32 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Cardinals | 66c | 13,212$8,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,509.84 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed 49ers | 3c | 10,652$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.63 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed 49ers | 36c | 9,830$3,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,578.96 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed 49ers | 15c | 8,774$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.3 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed 49ers | 37c | 6,513$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,385.88 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…a4ccbacked Cardinals | 79c | 6,089$4,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed 49ers | 3c | 5,172$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.15 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Cardinals | 79c | 3,129$2,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.51 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Cardinals | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.99 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd0…7b4fbacked 49ers | 24c | 1,907$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.2 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Cardinals | 70c | 1,800$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.58 | 70 | 71.4%50 W · 20 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed 49ers | 34c | 1,769$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.89 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Cardinals | 66c | 1,757$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.97 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Cardinals | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80eb…5bfcbacked Cardinals | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aee…4b3fbacked 49ers | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 68c | 1,173$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.05 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed 49ers | 28c | 1,098$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.33 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked 49ers | 33c | 1,043$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.63 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed 49ers | 34c | 1,022$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.51 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed 49ers | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Cardinals | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 104 | 67.3%70 W · 34 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed 49ers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb158…f5c8backed Cardinals | 67c | 949.2$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e5…da84backed 49ers | 34c | 949.2$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cardinals | 57c | 937.31$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.37 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked 49ers | 36c | 905.17$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.58 | 140 | 22.9%32 W · 108 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed 49ers | 13c | 905.01$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.65 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8732…a22abacked 49ers | 33c | 827.2$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa71f…e942backed Cardinals | 68c | 827.2$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked 49ers | 6c | 825.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…f7d7backed 49ers | 31c | 814.1$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.37 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cardinals | 73c | 800$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…35e1backed Cardinals | 60c | 791.67$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed 49ers | 32c | 761.78$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.77 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked 49ers | 32c | 633.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Cardinals | 71c | 590$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.6 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -12.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1f…ec73backed Cardinals | 70c | 585$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed 49ers | 24c | 574.68$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.36 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed 49ers | 4c | 510.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 101 | 3%3 W · 98 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Cardinals | 66c | 502.34$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.15 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cardinals | 67c | 500$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5781…e19fbacked 49ers | 34c | 500$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.13 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Cardinals | 68c | 417.97$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.49 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Cardinals | 68c | 406.44$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.56 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cca…a0bebacked 49ers | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…0c2ebacked 49ers | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…418fbacked Cardinals | 67c | 390$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b9…6a5ebacked 49ers | 25c | 360$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Cardinals | 65c | 348.4$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.94 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked 49ers | 14c | 321.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd51…0aebbacked 49ers | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a07…7768backed 49ers | 33c | 302.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed Cardinals | 69c | 301.25$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Cardinals | 64c | 300$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked 49ers | 26c | 299.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa55a…32e3backed 49ers | 32c | 299.97$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Cardinals | 60c | 295.76$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.87 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022a…df5ebacked 49ers | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Cardinals | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…75c1backed 49ers | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 186 | 58.1%108 W · 78 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked 49ers | 37c | 281.58$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 127 | 60.6%77 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed 49ers | 31c | 265.97$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.77 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Cardinals | 67c | 257.64$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.76 | 155 | 56.8%88 W · 67 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Cardinals | 64c | 250$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.85 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…bde1backed 49ers | 18c | 246.89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…842bbacked 49ers | 34c | 223.92$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e0…676fbacked Cardinals | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed 49ers | 38c | 214.4$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.47 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked 49ers | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Cardinals | 67c | 197.33$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.3 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed 49ers | 28c | 193.62$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked 49ers | 14c | 188.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…7443backed 49ers | 34c | 181.35$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Cardinals | 67c | 180$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…647dbacked 49ers | 34c | 177.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked 49ers | 31c | 175.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…f741backed 49ers | 33c | 170.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed 49ers | 19c | 161$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…0043backed 49ers | 39c | 160.26$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Cardinals | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Cardinals | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 290 | 59.7%173 W · 117 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x612a…3c9cbacked Cardinals | 64c | 156.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.3 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Cardinals | 68c | 154.41$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.41 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a2…2014backed Cardinals | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd234…43fcbacked 49ers | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac29…fa88backed 49ers | 33c | 149.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…d15ebacked Cardinals | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…794bbacked Cardinals | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Cardinals | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52c7…b836backed 49ers | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f5…423cbacked Cardinals | 74c | 135.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.26per pick | 62cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f36…2305backed Cardinals | 79c | 134.05$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 90 | 72.2%65 W · 25 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked 49ers | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…6e0ebacked 49ers | 43c | 116.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…43c0backed 49ers | 40c | 114.63$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Cardinals | 67c | 108$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…b526backed Cardinals | 68c | 107.35$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.