TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Pelicans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pelicansof Jazz, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$711,622
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$691,677

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $711,622 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1484…cafebacked Pelicans15c45,951$7,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,876.6829738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x71bc…28f4backed Jazz42c45,823$19,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,424.193231.3%10 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-36.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Pelicans33c29,918$9,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,922.8665642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans30c25,406$7,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,699.443,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pelicans28c21,192$5,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,341.31,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa84b…5055backed Jazz73c18,377$13,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,370.746361.9%39 W · 24 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick72cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Pelicans61c12,531$7,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,890.5147656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz19c12,462$2,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,396.71,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b46…db60backed Jazz75c8,748$6,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,559.343748.6%18 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8310…ea24backed Jazz64c8,571$5,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,516.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+69.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf32b…1e55backed Pelicans10c8,361$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,525.191926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Jazz19c8,300$1,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,57746131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pelicans17c7,473$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,181.7849849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Pelicans39c6,719$2,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,127.9370147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Jazz19c5,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9501,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5de8…cfb9backed Jazz80c4,647$3,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,694.9610236.3%37 W · 65 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Pelicans48c4,485$2,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,353.7472241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Pelicans78c4,200$3,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.9719451.5%100 W · 94 L-17.8wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-17.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Jazz16c4,057$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.4796447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28c1…a4ccbacked Jazz74c3,630$2,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,704.075561.8%34 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Pelicans17c3,600$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,975.5534425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f79…1db4backed Jazz17c3,554$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.1316838.7%65 W · 103 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Jazz34c3,533$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.3561532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Pelicans14c3,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5801,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85de…87e5backed Jazz10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Jazz19c3,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57040627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…07d4backed Jazz80c2,982$2,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,377.021361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80eb…5bfcbacked Jazz61c2,947$1,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,807.75267.3%35 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62dd…869abacked Pelicans51c2,523$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.171936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a8b…c2d0backed Jazz36c2,473$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.0811249.1%55 W · 57 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Jazz6c2,448$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.231,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb9c…d01bbacked Jazz80c2,326$1,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,857.46560%39 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pelicans66c2,299$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.175,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71e9…1248backed Jazz41c2,269$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9407622.4%17 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…e019backed Pelicans78c2,233$1,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.2130061.7%185 W · 115 L+23.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Jazz19c2,227$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.236843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed Pelicans65c1,964$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.8119164.9%124 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Jazz42c1,921$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80265218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75c3…9059backed Jazz76c1,864$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,416.35666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7551…3d9ebacked Pelicans56c1,838$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.62250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa33…8dbcbacked Jazz76c1,764$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,342.2429450.3%148 W · 146 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Jazz72c1,730$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.4325865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeb8a…f0ddbacked Jazz19c1,547$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.045916.9%10 W · 49 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Pelicans18c1,536$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.8819231.3%60 W · 132 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Jazz16c1,473$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.6712040.8%49 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7103…b192backed Jazz53c1,320$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.826841.2%28 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd50a…5c0abacked Jazz4c1,250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa09b…a0ffbacked Jazz68c1,218$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.338861.4%54 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Pelicans29c1,200$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.091348.2%11 W · 123 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-81.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Pelicans50c1,158$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.8861345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09a9…dd6abacked Pelicans32c1,150$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.483933.3%13 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x78bf…7300backed Pelicans13c1,141$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.368540%34 W · 51 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+52%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fd3…7214backed Pelicans28c1,055$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.5618632.8%61 W · 125 L-12.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6dcf…7400backed Pelicans49c1,031$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.616855.9%38 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Jazz18c1,000$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.381,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Jazz20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Jazz20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9889353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49cc…9385backed Jazz69c970.14$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.41250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+75.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Pelicans32c954.33$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.6470951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Pelicans20c950.07$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.5685449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba68…ce61backed Jazz44c925$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4079330.1%28 W · 65 L-15.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-39.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Pelicans43c900$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5111,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99eb…0464backed Jazz18c888.17$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.871855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf470…62d2backed Pelicans66c814.55$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.953748.6%18 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a6f…7684backed Jazz61c767.19$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.332948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf9…755dbacked Jazz69c754.56$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.113476.5%26 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick69cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e63…5ebfbacked Jazz19c729.41$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1391020%2 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Pelicans52c727.31$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.9531935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5107…6c92backed Jazz22c662.23$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.53933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x884a…4589backed Jazz52c637.28$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.93551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe923…f28fbacked Pelicans32c631.57$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.82757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+28.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Jazz55c598.8$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33045135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Jazz2c570.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.795502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Jazz65c570.01$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.4823548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x346b…53dcbacked Jazz7c551.43$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ad…d555backed Pelicans70c534.26$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.285166.7%34 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0360…7be1backed Pelicans80c527.66$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.5311952.9%63 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Jazz18c519.98$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.668642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Jazz17c500$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8522721.6%49 W · 178 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Pelicans15c500$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42535046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ae4…b156backed Pelicans25c500$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick40cpaid+87%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Jazz14c489.07$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.51,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe08e…646dbacked Pelicans40c487.29$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.187950.6%40 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Jazz2c474.89$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.257502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6e6…79b5backed Jazz68c439.93$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.1534169.5%237 W · 104 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Pelicans35c431.55$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.5116553.9%89 W · 76 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Pelicans80c422.97$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6217047.1%80 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc668…117fbacked Jazz25c414.03$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.456038.3%23 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Pelicans63c400$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14861851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33fe…0cccbacked Pelicans30c398.3$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.819827.6%27 W · 71 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdf8…9a4fbacked Pelicans28c390$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.8650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+68.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Pelicans41c340.9$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.1337831.2%118 W · 260 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Jazz17c340$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.82245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Pelicans30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.3338027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…c3f5backed Jazz24c319.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3615741.4%65 W · 92 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Jazz20c315.45$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0936643.2%158 W · 208 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf81e…ab79backed Jazz78c307.28$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2403658.3%21 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-0.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Jazz17c304.48$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8688053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf96d…b4e9backed Pelicans25c294.29$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.381118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd1…f095backed Jazz68c280$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.83647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.