NFL · resolved market
Commanders vs. Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc61d58d10dd07c779f61a961e9ecc3c3ed298c23e2503dc8145b6a44fc5abb53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Commandersof Commanders, Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,503,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,281,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,503,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 524 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Lions | 76c | 349,305$266,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266,853.82 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Lions | 6c | 334,006$20,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,084.44 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad3e…4422backed Lions | 23c | 226,024$51,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,928.87 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Commanders | 34c | 221,936$76,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145,618.56 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…78ddbacked Commanders | 18c | 220,518$39,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180,824.8 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Commanders | 75c | 214,975$161,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,272.44 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Commanders | 27c | 172,622$46,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126,293.95 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Lions | 32c | 92,790$29,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,354.53 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Commanders | 20c | 71,340$14,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,257.87 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Commanders | 37c | 62,206$23,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,186.08 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Commanders | 64c | 56,062$36,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,951.49 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f44…3ae9backed Lions | 78c | 45,488$35,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,430.24 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked Commanders | 41c | 42,997$17,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,214.15 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…275abacked Commanders | 49c | 41,307$20,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,020.93 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lions | 7c | 35,779$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.62 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Commanders | 35c | 34,438$12,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,254.25 | 82 | 18.3%15 W · 67 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Commanders | 18c | 32,000$5,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,239.81 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Commanders | 29c | 25,280$7,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,942.68 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x941b…d05abacked Commanders | 19c | 23,789$4,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,269.48 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Commanders | 54c | 22,744$12,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,478.98 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Commanders | 19c | 20,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,200 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Commanders | 19c | 17,345$3,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,128.68 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Commanders | 19c | 16,993$3,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,830.84 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc7…a4bbbacked Lions | 9c | 16,960$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…d1e9backed Commanders | 18c | 16,777$3,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,710.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Commanders | 19c | 15,016$2,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,232.78 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Commanders | 31c | 14,817$4,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,296.44 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Commanders | 52c | 14,399$7,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,949.14 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Commanders | 51c | 12,880$6,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,321.01 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0b…ef7bbacked Commanders | 21c | 11,684$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,184.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Lions | 53c | 11,670$6,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,185 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Lions | 47c | 11,454$5,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,377.02 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Lions | 57c | 11,094$6,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,321.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cb…3accbacked Lions | 73c | 10,910$7,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,985.06 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Commanders | 19c | 10,873$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,772.59 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…b3c5backed Commanders | 18c | 10,700$1,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,774 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Commanders | 38c | 10,006$3,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,180.89 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb71a…6fc9backed Lions | 1c | 10,000$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.28per pick | 34cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…db60backed Commanders | 52c | 9,788$5,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,702.79 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Commanders | 20c | 9,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae24…07c2backed Lions | 76c | 9,000$6,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,830 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Commanders | 37c | 8,690$3,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,492.1 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…b8ecbacked Commanders | 39c | 8,666$3,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,312.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187c…ca3cbacked Lions | 0c | 8,585$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Lions | 12c | 7,765$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.91 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…3665backed Commanders | 61c | 7,751$4,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,022.7 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Commanders | 19c | 7,563$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,126.26 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Lions | 58c | 7,527$4,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,361.79 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Commanders | 53c | 7,101$3,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,337.65 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Lions | 69c | 7,019$4,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,841.14 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Lions | 39c | 7,000$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Commanders | 18c | 7,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,740 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Lions | 14c | 6,946$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.66 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Commanders | 21c | 6,842$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,422.11 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked Commanders | 54c | 6,423$3,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950.66 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Commanders | 63c | 6,365$4,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,348.35 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…e7fcbacked Lions | 72c | 6,292$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Lions | 2c | 6,163$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.92 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Lions | 73c | 6,000$4,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,389.99 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Commanders | 25c | 5,992$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,506.59 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -12.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…6132backed Lions | 75c | 5,318$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c51…827ebacked Commanders | 19c | 5,263$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,263.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Lions | 1c | 5,041$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…45dbbacked Commanders | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Lions | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Commanders | 74c | 4,875$3,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.58 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x804f…5e90backed Commanders | 17c | 4,631$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,859.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +499.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe34e…bd53backed Lions | 12c | 4,521$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -89.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f91…0df5backed Lions | 59c | 4,520$2,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,674.28 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…28f4backed Lions | 51c | 4,500$2,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Lions | 68c | 4,453$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,029.65 | 162 | 59.9%97 W · 65 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Commanders | 19c | 4,199$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,401.1 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…22f4backed Commanders | 53c | 4,150$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.09 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Commanders | 46c | 4,099$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208.08 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…f42dbacked Lions | 67c | 4,025$2,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,685.01 | 207 | 33.8%70 W · 137 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…5c65backed Commanders | 20c | 4,005$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,204.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Commanders | 17c | 4,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,320 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd94f…8936backed Commanders | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…8278backed Lions | 58c | 3,997$2,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,322.51 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Commanders | 40c | 3,709$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,207.17 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f6…42e5backed Lions | 43c | 3,658$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.42 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Lions | 77c | 3,563$2,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,738.4 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Commanders | 77c | 3,164$2,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.09 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef3…c555backed Lions | 2c | 3,095$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Lions | 2c | 2,982$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.81 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Lions | 40c | 2,866$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.36 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf1…7fc8backed Lions | 77c | 2,809$2,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.05 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -5.7wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…81c4backed Commanders | 66c | 2,660$1,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Lions | 38c | 2,652$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.54 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bb…b3f0backed Commanders | 19c | 2,568$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.65 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Commanders | 18c | 2,558$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,096.98 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Commanders | 19c | 2,550$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.5 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Commanders | 37c | 2,422$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.17 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db4…f9dfbacked Commanders | 19c | 2,325$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…feecbacked Lions | 32c | 2,297$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Commanders | 19c | 2,293$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863.62 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Commanders | 53c | 2,225$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.01 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Commanders | 16c | 2,095$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.48 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Commanders | 48c | 2,069$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.34 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Commanders | 18c | 2,067$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.67 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.