NFL · resolved market
Bills vs. Patriots
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x989df6a334b7eec20398a0ca8cd22841683b637092d4cb769257907db45cd542
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Patriotsof Bills, Patriots
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,331,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,285,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,331,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Patriots | 36c | 176,578$64,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112,285.19 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Bills | 60c | 150,000$90,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,999.98 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3d13backed Patriots | 10c | 123,000$12,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,700 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…01dabacked Bills | 64c | 120,981$77,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,539.5 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Patriots | 39c | 50,311$19,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,457.46 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Patriots | 38c | 48,665$18,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,243.5 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Patriots | 45c | 48,395$21,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,750.35 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Bills | 0c | 44,991$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Patriots | 41c | 43,281$17,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,430.34 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…ad02backed Bills | 10c | 38,445$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.78 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Bills | 54c | 32,354$17,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,461.65 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e6…cc3abacked Bills | 63c | 32,012$20,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,181.07 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…7094backed Bills | 62c | 31,761$19,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,562.47 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Patriots | 48c | 30,294$14,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,610.09 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Bills | 61c | 28,410$17,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,330 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad3e…4422backed Bills | 58c | 25,000$14,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,499.99 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Patriots | 48c | 23,055$11,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,923.94 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Patriots | 36c | 21,458$7,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,639.42 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…abd2backed Bills | 62c | 18,840$11,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,633.49 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Patriots | 40c | 15,599$6,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,359.23 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…9a00backed Patriots | 39c | 15,375$6,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,324.92 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Patriots | 40c | 14,169$5,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,499.18 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Patriots | 40c | 13,527$5,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,053.59 | 82 | 18.3%15 W · 67 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Bills | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,299.99 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Patriots | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,099.84 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Patriots | 39c | 9,528$3,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,812.28 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed Patriots | 40c | 9,212$3,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,557.52 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Bills | 64c | 8,706$5,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,534.93 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Bills | 64c | 7,602$4,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,833.3 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Bills | 64c | 7,566$4,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,842.25 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Patriots | 41c | 7,557$3,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,442.9 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…3f4fbacked Bills | 46c | 7,019$3,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,259.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe330…1674backed Patriots | 42c | 6,327$2,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,694.55 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…b3c5backed Patriots | 40c | 5,805$2,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,483 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Bills | 65c | 5,737$3,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,753.2 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Bills | 59c | 5,557$3,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,278.69 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Patriots | 56c | 5,449$3,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,412.8 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe858…8573backed Patriots | 40c | 5,075$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,044.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +153.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Bills | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Patriots | 39c | 4,300$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,622.99 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cb…3accbacked Bills | 49c | 4,229$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.76 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1f…ec73backed Patriots | 48c | 4,174$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170.92 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x015d…6f8bbacked Bills | 64c | 3,371$2,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,141.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Patriots | 41c | 3,222$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,896.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Patriots | 38c | 3,150$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.96 | 140 | 22.9%32 W · 108 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Patriots | 45c | 3,133$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.29 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Bills | 65c | 3,077$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Bills | 66c | 3,032$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed Patriots | 16c | 3,022$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,533.31 | 283 | 37.8%107 W · 176 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Bills | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Bills | 64c | 2,924$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.27 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d61…75cfbacked Bills | 61c | 2,642$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.38 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3538…e615backed Patriots | 12c | 2,604$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,291.18 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Bills | 3c | 2,330$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.43 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Bills | 40c | 2,255$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.11 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Patriots | 42c | 2,219$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.93 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94dc…c779backed Bills | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c1…1b90backed Bills | 52c | 1,945$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.15 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…2da1backed Bills | 65c | 1,912$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Patriots | 41c | 1,885$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.06 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Bills | 25c | 1,844$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.6 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Patriots | 51c | 1,806$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.38 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Bills | 59c | 1,713$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.71 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked Patriots | 39c | 1,665$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.97 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…5455backed Bills | 61c | 1,640$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac29…fa88backed Bills | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8e…77b6backed Bills | 64c | 1,566$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80eb…5bfcbacked Bills | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…794bbacked Bills | 65c | 1,548$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Bills | 65c | 1,545$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Bills | 65c | 1,539$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3753…dc42backed Bills | 65c | 1,539$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53f6…7f1fbacked Bills | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Patriots | 43c | 1,482$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.38 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2577…aa48backed Patriots | 36c | 1,400$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac7c…0dc3backed Bills | 65c | 1,400$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Patriots | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.89 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Patriots | 36c | 1,365$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.19 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Bills | 60c | 1,352$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.73 | 70 | 71.4%50 W · 20 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43a0…0d5cbacked Bills | 63c | 1,350$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Bills | 62c | 1,338$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.23 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked Patriots | 40c | 1,322$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.76 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Patriots | 40c | 1,310$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.87 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…6cd3backed Patriots | 52c | 1,305$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6586…c69cbacked Bills | 64c | 1,238$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Patriots | 38c | 1,185$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.08 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd4…aa8abacked Patriots | 44c | 1,153$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…21d8backed Bills | 61c | 1,152$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f53…07f4backed Patriots | 38c | 1,145$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.74 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Bills | 52c | 1,140$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.36 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Bills | 63c | 1,113$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701 | 77 | 68.8%53 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c0d4backed Bills | 63c | 1,111$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.88 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…4657backed Bills | 51c | 1,103$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Bills | 63c | 1,080$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.71 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b2…b7febacked Patriots | 37c | 1,032$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Patriots | 41c | 1,014$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.09 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…c5b2backed Bills | 62c | 1,002$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.33 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Bills | 55c | 1,000$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.37 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…84febacked Patriots | 35c | 1,000$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.03 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -70%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Bills | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.