TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$976,203
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,063,476

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $976,203 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 771 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3ff7…a0dfbacked Under23c112,500$25,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,553.48436.9%31 W · 53 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf933…8a76backed Under22c70,000$15,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,092.443636.1%13 W · 23 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Under22c60,956$13,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,367.711650%58 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d4…13a2backed Under22c57,749$12,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,902.337839.7%31 W · 47 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed Under22c55,013$12,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,102.821560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Under21c45,000$9,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,499.955251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8292…f774backed Over79c41,166$32,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,796.1516238.9%63 W · 99 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked Under33c39,725$12,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,999.566437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa117…a311backed Over77c27,237$20,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,264.614953.1%26 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-20.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under22c26,992$5,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,938.2419239.1%75 W · 117 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1569…4e0cbacked Over78c25,716$20,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,532.463959%23 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6b6…f090backed Over79c25,443$20,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,343.082100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+62.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0224…292abacked Under23c20,894$4,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,874.0625244.4%112 W · 140 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc701…f932backed Over79c20,147$15,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,230.94771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Under28c20,022$5,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,526.5823547.7%112 W · 123 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63f9…4723backed Over76c20,000$15,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,7502665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfae3…f1c9backed Over78c19,223$14,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,229.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Over78c16,152$12,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,618.4525446.1%117 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcae0…1521backed Under22c15,570$3,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,459.3837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8331…965abacked Over77c15,037$11,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,444.891258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed Over78c12,821$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,820.5275738.6%292 W · 465 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under21c11,111$2,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,333.271,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b0…be26backed Over78c9,518$7,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,093.862268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…d3dcbacked Over72c9,394$6,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,605.013455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e22…3993backed Under23c9,169$2,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,106.393935.9%14 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Under22c8,888$1,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,955.36580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd01…d5acbacked Over76c8,513$6,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,066.1424858.1%144 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6041…20ebbacked Over79c8,342$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,741.853336.4%12 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Under21c8,281$1,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,776.5118340.4%74 W · 109 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Over78c8,005$6,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,761.520151.7%104 W · 97 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Over73c7,413$5,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,031.439244.6%41 W · 51 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50b4…ce67backed Over78c7,082$5,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,557.951060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e2c…94c5backed Over77c6,600$5,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5183759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb6b…943abacked Over78c6,410$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.263767.6%25 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+17.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Under21c5,744$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.641,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad87…6a86backed Under31c5,610$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,715.913655.6%20 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a7…35f0backed Over79c5,594$4,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.84475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba6e…99e2backed Over76c5,367$4,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+90.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Over70c5,213$3,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,563.854854.2%26 W · 22 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Over70c5,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50021249.1%104 W · 108 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb92…b221backed Under21c5,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0505442.6%23 W · 31 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Under17c4,680$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.0813525.2%34 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Under21c4,444$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.7520035%70 W · 130 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+3.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Over78c4,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88021137.4%79 W · 132 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over77c3,877$2,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.644250%21 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf3e…dc7dbacked Over78c3,831$2,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.92757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe98c…8394backed Over79c3,810$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.734100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+259.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed Over78c3,800$2,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82832752.9%173 W · 154 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0296…735cbacked Over79c3,800$3,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7981866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+43.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf52f…bf96backed Over79c3,797$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.47850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+40.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Over79c3,641$2,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.032673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x922d…d82bbacked Over67c3,300$2,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0892100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4f2…15e3backed Over79c3,216$2,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.361136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick29cpaid-23.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1034…b26dbacked Over78c3,205$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.132100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8bf…c6e3backed Over78c3,205$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.13966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+41.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Under21c3,190$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.8911548.7%56 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…07c0backed Over78c3,000$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6609016.7%15 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7b…a88dbacked Over78c3,000$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6604365.1%28 W · 15 L+0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa84d…5d71backed Over78c3,000$2,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.996152.5%32 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe08…9880backed Under31c3,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.991533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-47.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc7a4…0ea6backed Under3c2,998$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.181464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+83.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7540…47eebacked Over79c2,873$2,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.432100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaef…a883backed Under23c2,819$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.471435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc1d…be30backed Over78c2,766$2,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x683a…3b03backed Over77c2,764$2,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.1785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.31per pick55cpaid+52.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd7d5…af7fbacked Under18c2,690$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.22616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-61.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16bd…e288backed Under22c2,598$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc8a…15c1backed Over79c2,532$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.65580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Over79c2,500$1,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52579653.1%423 W · 373 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6141…ded2backed Over78c2,428$1,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.254100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12cb…4fe3backed Over79c2,399$1,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.697266.7%48 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b8a…4327backed Over70c2,359$1,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed Under22c2,318$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51011037.3%41 W · 69 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x960f…46cfbacked Over79c2,302$1,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6021…c166backed Under23c2,297$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9078…fb78backed Under23c2,174$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005040%20 W · 30 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e5b…79a2backed Over79c2,066$1,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.881070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+53%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde14…72dabacked Over70c1,975$1,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.75050%25 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x792a…7264backed Over79c1,946$1,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Over77c1,941$1,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.3542840.2%172 W · 256 L-32.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7259…e70fbacked Over78c1,935$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.913933.3%13 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b48…4705backed Over78c1,915$1,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.354942.9%21 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c2e…ae8ebacked Over75c1,827$1,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.182458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dc1…13fcbacked Under22c1,800$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3962227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-58.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b93…5367backed Over79c1,765$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.71450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-29.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62e2…7b24backed Over79c1,719$1,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.976462.5%40 W · 24 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda2d…6a3bbacked Over77c1,706$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.293100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e24…175dbacked Over78c1,668$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.944100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb57d…8ba1backed Over78c1,665$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.363100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16f5…5c64backed Under23c1,652$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e3…2055backed Over78c1,625$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.422100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+55%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Under21c1,624$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.23250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Under22c1,591$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4567…b970backed Over77c1,559$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.981070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd93…0461backed Over72c1,533$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.971020%2 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05dd…7f98backed Over78c1,504$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.813100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+55.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe227…e21bbacked Under22c1,503$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.42922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Over77c1,500$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3451,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8d9…dcb1backed Over67c1,497$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.641838.9%7 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe236…b1b1backed Over78c1,481$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.