TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$689,205
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$824,230

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $689,205 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 601 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x43d4…13a2backed Over59c74,722$43,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,987.327839.7%31 W · 47 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde92…5e10backed Under40c23,603$9,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,356.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e22…3993backed Under27c22,917$6,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,117.243935.9%14 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x879a…f00ebacked Under40c20,500$8,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,120540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Under36c17,903$6,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,451.4725446.1%117 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13c8…044bbacked Under20c17,335$3,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,433.26850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Under51c16,617$8,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,551.5623547.7%112 W · 123 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82cd…19f1backed Under44c15,000$6,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,600425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-36.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…6657backed Over66c14,628$9,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,925.2917561.1%107 W · 68 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd93…0461backed Under4c14,627$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6381020%2 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb326…7075backed Under1c13,647$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.4717410.9%19 W · 155 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked Under0c10,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306732.8%22 W · 45 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b00…202bbacked Under40c10,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.991540%6 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+68.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac0d…b006backed Over65c9,244$6,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,205.491442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Under61c8,463$5,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,136.321,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Under14c8,222$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.1529236%105 W · 187 L-0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58f8…dc70backed Under63c7,936$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.9940370.2%283 W · 120 L+31.3wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Over57c6,812$3,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,953.661,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Over37c6,570$2,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,139.1321137.4%79 W · 132 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd477…12b4backed Under64c6,458$4,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,116.72445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad4b…e93dbacked Under30c6,303$1,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,902.111037.3%41 W · 69 L-0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cac…778dbacked Under13c6,200$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.992250%11 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+77.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde78…fde2backed Under3c6,000$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162258%2 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-51.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0535…75ccbacked Under39c6,000$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,339.981,00949.2%496 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77ec…7799backed Under1c5,609$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0930%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f70…123dbacked Under46c5,301$2,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,437.8811830.5%36 W · 82 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ff7…a0dfbacked Under42c5,271$2,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,215.588436.9%31 W · 53 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b48…4705backed Over38c5,148$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,188.454942.9%21 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35fb…4ce5backed Under1c5,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252425%6 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8758…fc2dbacked Under21c4,825$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-63.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xece7…d310backed Under61c4,794$2,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,924.121947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over58c4,500$2,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8901,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed Under12c4,332$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50019122.5%43 W · 148 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over61c4,235$2,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,644.181,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a46…ea88backed Under11c4,219$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.5730%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed Over61c4,100$2,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,606.451560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f5a…d8e2backed Under51c4,039$2,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,048.46875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+47.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Over38c4,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,48076953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf71…63b8backed Under18c4,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-65.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x697f…8705backed Over39c4,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,439.991656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+30.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under60c3,846$2,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,307.691,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd01…d5acbacked Over70c3,734$2,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.2324858.1%144 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Over53c3,498$1,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,644.031,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Under41c3,400$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,39411548.7%56 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7b…a88dbacked Over47c3,392$1,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,797.574365.1%28 W · 15 L+0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x923d…2c28backed Under55c3,279$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-72.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x277e…9d43backed Under43c3,262$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,402.66425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8d9…dcb1backed Under18c3,250$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001838.9%7 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Over46c3,194$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,725.721249.1%104 W · 108 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x357e…2a0cbacked Over63c3,120$1,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.8312132.2%39 W · 82 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-5.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed Over40c3,016$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,81132752.9%173 W · 154 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed Over78c3,005$2,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.7150569.9%353 W · 152 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e4…f7febacked Over59c3,001$1,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.56785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+52%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba6e…99e2backed Over40c3,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8002100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+90.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d5d…91d8backed Under40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.985149%25 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Under44c2,969$1,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,303.9419041.1%78 W · 112 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+35.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb6b…943abacked Over50c2,731$1,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.313767.6%25 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+17.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb2de…6e5cbacked Under35c2,714$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.0410560%63 W · 42 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0224…292abacked Over59c2,655$1,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.3225244.4%112 W · 140 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17fe…fa4fbacked Under42c2,641$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1002740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked Under60c2,610$1,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5666541.5%27 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8bf…c6e3backed Over39c2,577$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,577.15966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+41.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed Over58c2,568$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.2143151.3%221 W · 210 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb5d…0c35backed Over39c2,491$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,523.741136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d68…09e4backed Over49c2,449$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.982035%7 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x676a…f80abacked Under14c2,355$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.95955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.28per pick27cpaid+91.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7e2c…94c5backed Under42c2,204$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9303759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x11d4…c850backed Over47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.66540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x074d…bcb6backed Under63c2,108$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325.031546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Over56c2,056$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.5613243.9%58 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf353…b287backed Under3c2,039$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1823915.9%38 W · 201 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+53.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe84c…d40cbacked Over77c2,000$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4605166.7%34 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+17.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0296…735cbacked Under38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7601866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+43.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Over58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.9982352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f16…5fe7backed Over57c1,930$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.823256.3%18 W · 14 L+7.6wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+83.6%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Over57c1,921$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.4826942.4%114 W · 155 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a0…d7a5backed Under1c1,900$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.179252.2%48 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x722c…1011backed Under39c1,900$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.992035%7 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b46…188ebacked Under42c1,857$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.61241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c6f…ed21backed Over49c1,812$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.243259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b03…36eabacked Over58c1,798$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Under23c1,790$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.631827.8%5 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+63.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Over61c1,736$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.1719150.8%97 W · 94 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4a1…0a89backed Under41c1,736$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+257.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfab4…daf9backed Under6c1,705$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcb1…4c29backed Under42c1,694$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.689268.5%63 W · 29 L+0.3wins0.00per pick68cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf5d…7253backed Under40c1,690$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6763633.3%12 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a92…6b45backed Under48c1,631$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.89728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x130c…782cbacked Under13c1,593$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2104126.8%11 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300b…af38backed Under41c1,500$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03bf…a94bbacked Over61c1,500$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.9815352.9%81 W · 72 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x454e…852ebacked Under3c1,473$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…d3dcbacked Under40c1,394$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.793455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb46…6224backed Under24c1,380$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33060%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ecf…d57dbacked Under43c1,375$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.75955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over40c1,348$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.5614839.2%58 W · 90 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x300f…b5e1backed Under10c1,338$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.53825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-47.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5652…c7b4backed Under28c1,300$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3646165.6%40 W · 21 L+8.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5f07…743bbacked Under10c1,300$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1361936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5f1…5743backed Over39c1,282$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.05966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.