TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
KT Rolsterof T1, KT Rolster
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,828,837
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,044,283

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,828,837 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,491 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2995…9266backed T11c310,845$3,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,968.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d4…13a2backed T158c134,836$77,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77,620.627839.7%31 W · 47 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa87b…3063backed KT Rolster51c113,329$57,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,723.131675%12 W · 4 L+5.0wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+61.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xa7d5…149cbacked T10c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed KT Rolster40c59,720$23,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,858.1625446.1%117 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17db…5f6dbacked T161c48,814$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,0004472.7%32 W · 12 L+7.3wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+38.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed KT Rolster71c46,792$33,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,601.951,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e9f…7d7fbacked T15c43,000$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,319.999535.8%34 W · 61 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x744b…0002backed T137c42,805$15,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,673666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+54.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a37…bf3abacked T158c42,104$24,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,625.3840%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x13dd…4209backed T10c40,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+38.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9078…fb78backed T126c39,759$10,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,5005040%20 W · 30 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ea1…94dcbacked KT Rolster46c39,265$18,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,265.495839.7%23 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed T149c32,358$15,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,716.2231644.3%140 W · 176 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd812…2558backed T118c31,070$5,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,627.0421137%78 W · 133 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5077…badcbacked KT Rolster46c29,428$13,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,828.231770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.1wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+59.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked KT Rolster79c28,999$22,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,056.8519041.1%78 W · 112 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+35.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cac…610ebacked T113c25,553$3,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,255.233119.4%6 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-56.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde92…5e10backed KT Rolster74c25,000$18,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,549.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x357e…2a0cbacked T14c24,685$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.2412132.2%39 W · 82 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-5.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed T15c21,577$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144.061,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d5d…91d8backed T153c20,187$10,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,750.855149%25 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc7…4737backed T10c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-31.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f9…66ffbacked KT Rolster42c19,095$8,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,075.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9004…2a40backed T158c19,015$11,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,028.710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb6…3009backed KT Rolster41c18,835$7,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,124.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+60.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7441…283bbacked T158c18,834$10,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,923.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8061…0ca8backed KT Rolster42c18,754$7,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,877.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked T17c18,421$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.5266437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5bc…2c49backed T15c17,298$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.98028.8%23 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed T154c16,860$9,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,098.5518340.4%74 W · 109 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ee…1391backed KT Rolster76c16,168$12,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,928.129149.5%45 W · 46 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x49e0…c9d3backed KT Rolster42c15,314$6,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,882.31250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed KT Rolster40c15,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,00054353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb89b…6b44backed KT Rolster53c14,682$7,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,947.13862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bff…7074backed T158c14,661$8,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,480.431735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac05…cdc5backed T12c13,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2802528%7 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick16cpaid+49.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x59b3…1d98backed T15c12,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6751250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked KT Rolster36c12,206$4,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,780.362231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfcc7…eca3backed T149c11,382$5,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,602.87757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3d…5d4cbacked KT Rolster38c11,111$4,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,888.733100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+162.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc5cb…9c55backed T10c11,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed T142c10,832$4,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,514.361,05823.5%249 W · 809 L-75.8wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-49.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb326…7075backed T14c10,800$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.917410.9%19 W · 155 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac0d…b006backed T158c10,500$6,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,039.991442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc976…75babacked T10c10,410$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82cd…19f1backed KT Rolster39c10,382$4,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,286.19425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-36.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb961…b69ebacked T10c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x823e…0735backed T12c10,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20060%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked T11c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006732.8%22 W · 45 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5139…d312backed KT Rolster39c10,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,099.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+148.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e37…2eeebacked KT Rolster38c10,000$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,199.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1506…3ae5backed KT Rolster51c9,845$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,845.261060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+30.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed T18c9,760$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.3420035%70 W · 130 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+3.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2ab…f2c3backed T164c9,696$6,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,2001861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f67…4dd8backed KT Rolster35c9,677$3,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,289.82742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb31…61e1backed T161c9,304$5,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,675.57250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8331…965abacked KT Rolster43c9,099$3,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,170.591258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2877…e0bfbacked KT Rolster45c8,868$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,868.09450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16fd…f8a6backed KT Rolster61c8,732$5,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,409.12650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13c8…044bbacked KT Rolster40c8,308$3,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,959.98850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f06…753bbacked KT Rolster48c8,274$3,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,309.391866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+40%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x879a…f00ebacked KT Rolster42c8,255$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,755.32540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f67…a203backed T110c8,000$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.516342.9%27 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed KT Rolster40c7,755$3,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,653.221,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed T110c7,294$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.42,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79ff…1603backed T116c7,105$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.022025%5 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-40.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed KT Rolster46c7,056$3,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,797.327030%21 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-33.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x154a…a903backed KT Rolster57c7,039$4,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,034.241070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…e344backed T18c7,018$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed T160c7,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2001,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed T156c7,000$3,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,919.9926246.6%122 W · 140 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x405f…45cebacked T160c6,861$4,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,145.91376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.25per pick52cpaid+72.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x4098…6e96backed T161c6,670$4,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,068.5420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd01…d5acbacked KT Rolster53c6,604$3,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,099.6224858.1%144 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf03…3f1dbacked T12c6,600$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.711457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked T143c6,288$2,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,704.1529236%105 W · 187 L-0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdda…f48bbacked KT Rolster62c6,137$3,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,340.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac9b…d4c5backed T120c6,000$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.052437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5a4…b23cbacked T152c6,000$3,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,135333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed T158c5,986$3,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,493.9211650%58 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab8…e66abacked T153c5,800$3,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,046.9840%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed T136c5,710$2,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,046.41922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-55.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x471d…19cfbacked KT Rolster53c5,652$2,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,666.13450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe48…5895backed KT Rolster73c5,634$4,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.12850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d3b…a06dbacked T153c5,585$2,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,971.511442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked T160c5,581$3,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,348.3719150.8%97 W · 94 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b86…0669backed KT Rolster40c5,550$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,330.141942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked KT Rolster40c5,500$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,299.9911548.7%56 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x697f…8705backed KT Rolster47c5,369$2,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,859.571656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+30.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa188…3fccbacked T158c5,346$3,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,092.4921060%126 W · 84 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1ff…01d0backed T124c5,323$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.23554.3%19 W · 16 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+25.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6812…6646backed KT Rolster38c5,263$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,263.163754.1%20 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f16…5fe7backed KT Rolster40c5,250$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1503256.3%18 W · 14 L+7.6wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+83.6%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x793c…4421backed KT Rolster59c5,120$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,119.631070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+41.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked KT Rolster38c5,000$1,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,077.031450%7 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96db…64e2backed T152c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,600333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b00…202bbacked KT Rolster40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0001540%6 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+68.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed T112c5,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-73.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0562…9d66backed KT Rolster47c4,858$2,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,556.682630.8%8 W · 18 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.