NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8ea828e6e8d7f62580bd7fa19f3cc8b16e9f0a52b5d52bf5550369999096b76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $347,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $369,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $347,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 418 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2317…c891backed Warriors | 69c | 95,477$66,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,151.16 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Timberwolves | 29c | 32,145$9,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,271.17 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…8027backed Warriors | 65c | 23,808$15,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,236.92 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Timberwolves | 29c | 19,914$5,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,705.65 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Timberwolves | 32c | 16,769$5,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,289.94 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 46c | 12,687$5,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,777.67 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…9d10backed Warriors | 49c | 10,422$5,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,316.22 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Timberwolves | 50c | 10,243$5,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,168.86 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Timberwolves | 50c | 10,194$5,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,084.14 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Timberwolves | 1c | 10,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 238 | 33.2%79 W · 159 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Timberwolves | 30c | 9,240$2,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.42 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…5a05backed Timberwolves | 37c | 8,034$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,969.56 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x756b…500fbacked Warriors | 41c | 7,680$3,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,531.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Warriors | 38c | 6,148$2,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,811.22 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Timberwolves | 3c | 5,902$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.32 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d6…2f2abacked Timberwolves | 62c | 5,787$3,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,588.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ce…00f6backed Timberwolves | 59c | 5,338$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…a01abacked Timberwolves | 60c | 4,486$2,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,691.6 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e1…69a4backed Timberwolves | 37c | 3,553$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Timberwolves | 19c | 3,473$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Timberwolves | 60c | 2,987$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.72 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Warriors | 72c | 2,965$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.05 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Timberwolves | 39c | 2,571$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba48…6d5fbacked Warriors | 40c | 2,423$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Timberwolves | 61c | 2,336$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.92 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf334…0a0fbacked Timberwolves | 59c | 2,300$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Timberwolves | 52c | 2,054$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.3 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Timberwolves | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ae…4876backed Timberwolves | 22c | 1,980$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd937…d226backed Warriors | 40c | 1,944$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.37 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,894$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.17 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,729$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.38 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Warriors | 41c | 1,571$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.76 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Timberwolves | 6c | 1,558$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.05 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Timberwolves | 39c | 1,538$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.09 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Timberwolves | 58c | 1,529$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.9 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Warriors | 39c | 1,421$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d31…2cbfbacked Timberwolves | 60c | 1,372$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce54…90bcbacked Warriors | 41c | 1,371$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.18 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Timberwolves | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Warriors | 67c | 1,239$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.84 | 341 | 69.5%237 W · 104 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Timberwolves | 33c | 1,239$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.84 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Timberwolves | 38c | 1,222$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.61 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…e52cbacked Warriors | 68c | 1,203$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.84 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Warriors | 56c | 1,184$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.87 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Timberwolves | 32c | 1,120$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.77 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Timberwolves | 45c | 1,100$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…4295backed Timberwolves | 59c | 1,078$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.28 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Warriors | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.18 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…ef89backed Timberwolves | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…0108backed Timberwolves | 36c | 1,000$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Warriors | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Timberwolves | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…e26cbacked Warriors | 65c | 946.11$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.36 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca94…336ebacked Warriors | 65c | 823.42$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.26 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Warriors | 35c | 809.81$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.67 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x624f…2fa6backed Timberwolves | 12c | 807.17$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.86 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Warriors | 39c | 800$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Timberwolves | 44c | 799.99$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…bd62backed Warriors | 61c | 763.43$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +339.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Timberwolves | 37c | 760.18$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.45 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Timberwolves | 26c | 710.94$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.72 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Warriors | 38c | 639.48$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.48 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…94bcbacked Warriors | 55c | 624.14$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.14 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…e123backed Warriors | 40c | 619$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Warriors | 39c | 601$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.61 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…5b47backed Timberwolves | 41c | 600$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.33 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad4…9845backed Warriors | 41c | 599.02$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.42 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Timberwolves | 49c | 592.56$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.65 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Timberwolves | 61c | 571.51$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.27 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ba…a9cabacked Timberwolves | 61c | 569.93$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.66 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e0…ebcfbacked Warriors | 53c | 562.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c6…5a68backed Warriors | 42c | 558.17$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.74 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51c2…2b13backed Timberwolves | 59c | 558.14$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.3 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Timberwolves | 38c | 526.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 473 | 57.9%274 W · 199 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Timberwolves | 49c | 516.35$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.97 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb370…0cb0backed Timberwolves | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Timberwolves | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaafb…3027backed Timberwolves | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Timberwolves | 61c | 499.97$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.98 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc0…4da8backed Timberwolves | 23c | 499.57$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.9 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…dc6abacked Timberwolves | 54c | 498.15$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…aa6bbacked Timberwolves | 41c | 484.61$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8290…6a65backed Timberwolves | 62c | 480.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…adddbacked Warriors | 41c | 459.97$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.38 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Warriors | 39c | 452.29$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.38 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Timberwolves | 4c | 444$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Timberwolves | 47c | 437.78$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Warriors | 40c | 410$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.46 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Warriors | 31c | 399.68$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.78 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…e88ebacked Timberwolves | 42c | 393.4$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.73 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…4cf5backed Warriors | 39c | 383.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.23 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x831b…eed5backed Timberwolves | 59c | 381.36$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Timberwolves | 62c | 370$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.4 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Warriors | 38c | 366.6$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.34 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…902bbacked Timberwolves | 69c | 362.46$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Warriors | 59c | 339.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.02 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Timberwolves | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…bd4fbacked Timberwolves | 61c | 321$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e53…670ebacked Warriors | 39c | 321$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.81 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 36cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.