NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a121d64f1414e7f28527fdd635cb6dfedb248839d461ca6fcf7e204f2153923
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $212,623
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $244,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,623 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 453 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Nuggets | 0c | 14,412$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Rockets | 48c | 9,974$4,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,154.5 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rockets | 51c | 7,391$3,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,630.84 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Nuggets | 9c | 6,360$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.24 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Nuggets | 2c | 6,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nuggets | 5c | 5,183$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.37 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53f6…7f1fbacked Nuggets | 55c | 5,137$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Nuggets | 1c | 5,000$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Rockets | 47c | 4,017$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,128.86 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Nuggets | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…c5b2backed Nuggets | 10c | 2,458$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.76 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Nuggets | 50c | 2,301$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.25 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Nuggets | 50c | 2,006$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Rockets | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.93 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Nuggets | 49c | 1,828$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.22 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Rockets | 58c | 1,785$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.6 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…113dbacked Nuggets | 51c | 1,600$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c6…6478backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,483$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Nuggets | 3c | 1,475$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Rockets | 47c | 1,334$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.32 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedac…e765backed Nuggets | 52c | 1,300$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…57f9backed Rockets | 77c | 1,297$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.83 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Rockets | 49c | 1,242$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.59 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Nuggets | 39c | 1,234$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.2 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Nuggets | 40c | 1,150$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.27 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Rockets | 48c | 1,149$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.5 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71e9…1248backed Nuggets | 6c | 1,104$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Nuggets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Nuggets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Nuggets | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Nuggets | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Rockets | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Nuggets | 53c | 981.15$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.01 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…8441backed Rockets | 67c | 962.58$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.65 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Rockets | 47c | 923.42$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.41 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rockets | 70c | 867.08$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.24 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1a…188dbacked Rockets | 48c | 804.58$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.38 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nuggets | 31c | 779.04$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.81 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c5…1156backed Nuggets | 1c | 772.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Rockets | 50c | 726$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.2 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Nuggets | 7c | 700$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Rockets | 52c | 699.91$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.96 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2331…f935backed Nuggets | 38c | 692.31$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8c…1f3fbacked Rockets | 48c | 650.42$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.22 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Rockets | 50c | 594.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.55 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…63bfbacked Rockets | 51c | 580$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.2 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Rockets | 46c | 577.95$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.09 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Rockets | 67c | 501$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.33 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Nuggets | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nuggets | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c5…e14bbacked Nuggets | 4c | 480$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Nuggets | 53c | 470$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.1 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Nuggets | 3c | 450$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Nuggets | 44c | 442.11$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.31 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Rockets | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf19e…461abacked Rockets | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Nuggets | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Nuggets | 53c | 399.99$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.99 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Nuggets | 44c | 379.01$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.38 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fda…38e1backed Rockets | 49c | 365$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Nuggets | 17c | 344.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Rockets | 51c | 313.61$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.38 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Rockets | 51c | 300.23$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.62 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Rockets | 52c | 276.66$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.45 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Rockets | 75c | 265.2$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.02 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rockets | 70c | 264.94$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.54 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f43…937cbacked Rockets | 52c | 251.67$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8831…e807backed Nuggets | 49c | 251.02$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Nuggets | 53c | 250.94$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 286 | 57.3%164 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ab…93c8backed Rockets | 52c | 247$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.56 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60a…76a6backed Nuggets | 49c | 246.94$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53d3…c946backed Nuggets | 49c | 228.57$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b0…42edbacked Rockets | 52c | 228.15$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4f…2d22backed Nuggets | 49c | 226.53$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef14…323bbacked Rockets | 52c | 226.35$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.65 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44d…6432backed Rockets | 52c | 225.63$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa643…5375backed Nuggets | 49c | 225.51$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd56c…9aa6backed Nuggets | 49c | 225.1$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5455…45ccbacked Rockets | 52c | 225$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…ce5dbacked Rockets | 52c | 224.23$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3703…7b0bbacked Nuggets | 49c | 224.2$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3353…bb9bbacked Nuggets | 49c | 220.65$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71ae…5515backed Rockets | 52c | 220.58$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd712…59bcbacked Nuggets | 49c | 218.86$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4d…2c24backed Rockets | 52c | 218.85$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f30…cb7fbacked Nuggets | 49c | 215.51$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…adcabacked Rockets | 52c | 215.39$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…decfbacked Nuggets | 49c | 214.29$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9009…132cbacked Nuggets | 49c | 214.29$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc695…da2abacked Rockets | 52c | 214.23$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42cc…a9adbacked Rockets | 52c | 214.23$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ab…eae7backed Nuggets | 49c | 213.92$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…87b4backed Nuggets | 49c | 213.65$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…ef74backed Rockets | 52c | 213.46$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +62%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb495…8cf2backed Rockets | 52c | 213.46$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.46 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…6745backed Rockets | 52c | 213.25$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce1…48cfbacked Nuggets | 50c | 213.18$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.59 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 55cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…f90ebacked Nuggets | 49c | 212.71$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc8…3ebfbacked Rockets | 52c | 212.5$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef6…3888backed Rockets | 52c | 212.31$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.