NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x339943356f077f4108a1c943355b8c895ba9ba5eb95390acaa2c31461492ca5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $398,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $416,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $398,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 411 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Nuggets | 69c | 20,137$13,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,804.83 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Spurs | 48c | 19,392$9,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,180.78 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb75c…0848backed Spurs | 34c | 17,207$5,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,436.17 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Nuggets | 51c | 11,271$5,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,717.43 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Nuggets | 63c | 11,000$6,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,880 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Nuggets | 66c | 10,343$6,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,831.93 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Nuggets | 56c | 10,261$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…9d82backed Spurs | 44c | 9,355$4,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,276.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Spurs | 32c | 8,434$2,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,735.02 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0304…dcc7backed Nuggets | 68c | 7,907$5,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,412.09 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Spurs | 29c | 7,126$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,051.4 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Spurs | 38c | 6,941$2,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,272.34 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Spurs | 63c | 5,643$3,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.91 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Spurs | 57c | 5,438$3,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340.24 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Spurs | 58c | 5,316$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,215.67 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Nuggets | 64c | 5,218$3,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,322.27 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x824c…d2bbbacked Spurs | 31c | 5,100$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,518.86 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Spurs | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Spurs | 29c | 4,888$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,470.7 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Nuggets | 56c | 4,256$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380.22 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Nuggets | 71c | 3,500$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Spurs | 43c | 3,250$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.5 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa784…c046backed Spurs | 34c | 3,000$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Spurs | 30c | 2,880$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.08 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Nuggets | 64c | 2,711$1,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.7 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed Nuggets | 49c | 2,655$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.49 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Spurs | 48c | 2,644$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.31 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf248…77b8backed Nuggets | 70c | 2,560$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Spurs | 29c | 2,500$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Nuggets | 76c | 2,480$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.84 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Spurs | 44c | 2,267$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.64 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Nuggets | 67c | 2,102$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.09 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Nuggets | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Spurs | 33c | 1,895$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.09 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…9d10backed Nuggets | 68c | 1,817$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.92 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…8ce6backed Spurs | 31c | 1,800$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.73 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -59%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Nuggets | 65c | 1,739$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.16 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked Nuggets | 70c | 1,624$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.32 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Nuggets | 67c | 1,600$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nuggets | 66c | 1,596$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.35 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Spurs | 38c | 1,518$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.46 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Spurs | 57c | 1,478$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.27 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x589e…c63ebacked Nuggets | 71c | 1,409$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…6cd3backed Nuggets | 70c | 1,353$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Nuggets | 47c | 1,353$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.73 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Spurs | 32c | 1,348$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.38 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Spurs | 42c | 1,345$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.18 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Spurs | 31c | 1,300$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nuggets | 55c | 1,273$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.3 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Spurs | 53c | 1,262$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.04 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Spurs | 40c | 1,241$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.16 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6153…0e04backed Nuggets | 69c | 1,238$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.77 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Spurs | 33c | 1,202$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.31 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfae…30a3backed Spurs | 31c | 1,160$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa703…ad40backed Nuggets | 69c | 1,159$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Nuggets | 45c | 1,130$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.63 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Spurs | 38c | 1,128$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.94 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Spurs | 30c | 1,115$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.35 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Nuggets | 68c | 1,100$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Spurs | 47c | 1,098$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.57 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80eb…5bfcbacked Nuggets | 70c | 1,071$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…ef89backed Spurs | 25c | 1,010$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.64 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Spurs | 33c | 1,010$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.48 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Nuggets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Nuggets | 4c | 1,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…2ba7backed Spurs | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…113dbacked Nuggets | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nuggets | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…903cbacked Spurs | 33c | 999.99$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1edd…f21ebacked Spurs | 30c | 999.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.99 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…8ec8backed Nuggets | 67c | 993.99$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.98 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Spurs | 29c | 969.94$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.66 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Spurs | 45c | 902.64$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.31 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Nuggets | 69c | 870.88$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.81 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…d698backed Nuggets | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558e…9d39backed Nuggets | 66c | 729.17$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.55 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Nuggets | 42c | 728.53$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.98 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2f25backed Nuggets | 54c | 722.57$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -67%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x900d…2961backed Nuggets | 70c | 715.72$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaafb…3027backed Nuggets | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Nuggets | 73c | 683.68$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Spurs | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…a4ccbacked Spurs | 60c | 651.5$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.6 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed Spurs | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 38cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6274…f988backed Nuggets | 53c | 611.11$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.11 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea6…672ebacked Nuggets | 64c | 599.8$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.93 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Nuggets | 70c | 592.52$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.77 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Spurs | 65c | 589.48$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.39 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe91d…81dfbacked Nuggets | 71c | 564.08$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a07…4769backed Nuggets | 52c | 559.08$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.42 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Nuggets | 61c | 546.59$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.01 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea27…8a0bbacked Nuggets | 61c | 531.43$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.1 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Spurs | 25c | 500$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…84febacked Spurs | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nuggets | 53c | 500$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Spurs | 25c | 500$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…d776backed Nuggets | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b1…8e10backed Nuggets | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3be…d528backed Spurs | 32c | 500$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb4…d00fbacked Nuggets | 69c | 499.98$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.98 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.