NFL · resolved market
Chargers vs. Raiders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60c3a523f15715d732413ded5b3ea5281f5ae8ec099403f3580889bc4faae475
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chargersof Chargers, Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,236,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,655,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,236,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 420 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Chargers | 75c | 243,958$182,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,584.41 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad3e…4422backed Chargers | 73c | 120,898$88,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,645.74 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Raiders | 25c | 116,695$28,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,874.26 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Raiders | 22c | 93,844$20,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,324.6 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Raiders | 28c | 89,257$24,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,844.94 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Raiders | 25c | 65,534$16,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,505.72 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Raiders | 26c | 64,237$16,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,996.81 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Chargers | 75c | 53,946$40,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,486.52 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Raiders | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Chargers | 76c | 37,992$28,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,236.85 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Raiders | 28c | 27,327$7,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,624.3 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Raiders | 28c | 20,892$5,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,885.38 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94dc…c779backed Chargers | 75c | 20,363$15,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,174.42 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Chargers | 70c | 13,043$9,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,912.87 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…f1f5backed Chargers | 75c | 9,500$7,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,375 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Chargers | 73c | 8,597$6,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,292.38 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3f…f02abacked Raiders | 7c | 8,018$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Raiders | 25c | 8,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.97 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Chargers | 75c | 7,711$5,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.97 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…6cd3backed Raiders | 23c | 5,767$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Raiders | 32c | 5,742$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.65 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Raiders | 25c | 5,400$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.98 | 140 | 22.9%32 W · 108 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Raiders | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cb…3accbacked Chargers | 73c | 4,897$3,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.29 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…e599backed Raiders | 36c | 4,600$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0c…935dbacked Chargers | 68c | 4,412$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.75 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raiders | 34c | 4,301$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.65 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4536…4237backed Chargers | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Raiders | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.94 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6638…2114backed Chargers | 76c | 3,947$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Raiders | 20c | 3,690$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.82 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4205…46a7backed Raiders | 25c | 3,624$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Raiders | 3c | 3,460$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.65 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Raiders | 21c | 3,034$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.38 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -12.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6f16…b561backed Chargers | 73c | 2,807$2,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…cf42backed Raiders | 26c | 2,423$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcabf…c2d7backed Chargers | 76c | 2,422$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.27 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Raiders | 32c | 2,351$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.72 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80eb…5bfcbacked Chargers | 70c | 2,151$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.66 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Raiders | 31c | 2,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 70 | 71.4%50 W · 20 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc64d…a1c9backed Chargers | 77c | 2,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0304…dcc7backed Raiders | 32c | 2,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aee…4b3fbacked Raiders | 26c | 1,919$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Chargers | 77c | 1,456$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.1 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…409cbacked Chargers | 75c | 1,298$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…cce0backed Raiders | 26c | 1,294$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…794bbacked Chargers | 70c | 1,285$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.55 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Raiders | 33c | 1,280$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.54 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d73…5693backed Chargers | 75c | 1,234$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0964…d727backed Chargers | 70c | 1,204$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe6…2255backed Raiders | 24c | 1,200$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…9780backed Raiders | 26c | 1,148$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Raiders | 26c | 1,050$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.49 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Raiders | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Chargers | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Raiders | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Chargers | 75c | 1,000$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Chargers | 75c | 999.99$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Chargers | 74c | 999.99$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…01dabacked Chargers | 75c | 975.25$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.87 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Raiders | 32c | 938.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.35 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Raiders | 3c | 810.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 101 | 3%3 W · 98 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Chargers | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb09…dd9cbacked Raiders | 26c | 800$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8e…e481backed Chargers | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39ae…0268backed Chargers | 75c | 799.41$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.41 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Raiders | 31c | 756.92$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.27 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5c…c842backed Raiders | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd0…7b4fbacked Raiders | 30c | 741$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.3 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Chargers | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 162 | 75.3%122 W · 40 L | +17.3wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Raiders | 2c | 734.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…da81backed Chargers | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…dfc0backed Raiders | 35c | 714.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Raiders | 27c | 706.92$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.6 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Chargers | 75c | 668$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 290 | 59.7%173 W · 117 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Chargers | 76c | 658.12$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.12 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Raiders | 27c | 654.77$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.81 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Raiders | 28c | 600$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.92 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…2da1backed Chargers | 70c | 582.65$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.65 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Raiders | 24c | 580$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c0d4backed Chargers | 74c | 574.36$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.63 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x774f…ea29backed Chargers | 74c | 561.23$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Raiders | 32c | 554.94$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.58 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Raiders | 23c | 553.25$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.62 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Chargers | 70c | 546.33$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.33 | 127 | 60.6%77 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Raiders | 26c | 538.46$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Raiders | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed Raiders | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Chargers | 66c | 499.94$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.98 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Raiders | 28c | 498$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.36 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Raiders | 27c | 494.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.9 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Raiders | 28c | 482$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.37 | 155 | 56.8%88 W · 67 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1f…ec73backed Chargers | 70c | 480$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c3…61ebbacked Chargers | 69c | 468.35$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.15 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Chargers | 67c | 462.37$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.58 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e239backed Chargers | 77c | 455.87$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.43 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Chargers | 74c | 455$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.3 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Raiders | 31c | 455$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.54 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…f42dbacked Chargers | 70c | 439.57$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.09 | 207 | 33.8%70 W · 137 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…f741backed Raiders | 12c | 425.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.18 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.