Us Politics · resolved market
Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fe4ed68e57b25915aef3571ddd6bb4c2985fded0e2d0e2210483dfa6a756d2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,094,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,101,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,094,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 741 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b6…61cebacked No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…5d7cbacked No | 17c | 51,266$8,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,709.14 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 63c | 27,058$16,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,111.82 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dbf1backed No | 35c | 26,057$9,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,020.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked No | 1c | 20,994$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 9c | 20,493$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.69 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 68c | 19,673$13,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,240.9 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…c44bbacked Yes | 60c | 17,916$10,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,175.82 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.18per pick | 34cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed No | 18c | 15,102$2,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,686.21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed Yes | 72c | 14,295$10,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,944.58 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fea…2610backed No | 11c | 14,064$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6a…afccbacked No | 43c | 13,322$5,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,713.93 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -76%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd863…4df2backed Yes | 79c | 12,889$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,689.38 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…8afebacked No | 30c | 12,208$3,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,628.99 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 17c | 11,729$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975.29 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 68c | 11,100$7,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,585.36 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb41b…7617backed No | 19c | 10,132$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 12c | 9,781$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.12 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…b536backed No | 54c | 9,502$5,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,124.98 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfb…86d5backed No | 14c | 9,068$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.19 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99b6…a768backed No | 14c | 8,374$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…7ffabacked No | 16c | 8,226$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed No | 10c | 8,200$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.36 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 61c | 8,076$4,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,167.77 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b69…0cdebacked Yes | 76c | 8,072$6,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.64 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb70…b2e2backed No | 11c | 7,862$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fc…cd7abacked No | 33c | 6,928$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa192…79d6backed No | 21c | 6,517$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5724…73e5backed No | 13c | 6,296$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.54 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 5c | 6,250$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.5 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Yes | 53c | 6,128$3,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880.37 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd5…e366backed No | 49c | 5,977$2,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,954.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 68c | 5,830$3,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877.22 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec9…be0dbacked No | 0c | 5,616$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked Yes | 53c | 5,341$2,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,487.52 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +7.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 15c | 5,157$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.17 | 170 | 21.2%36 W · 134 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…7a01backed Yes | 46c | 4,998$2,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,709.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…3603backed No | 16c | 4,888$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 21c | 4,709$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.62 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 70c | 4,443$3,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.4 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d41…bf90backed No | 22c | 4,325$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Yes | 74c | 4,168$3,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.76 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d4…af78backed No | 12c | 4,129$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7304…0379backed Yes | 67c | 3,842$2,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.13 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 28c | 3,656$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.88 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 13c | 3,592$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.95 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8c…028abacked Yes | 66c | 3,544$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2884…d0c3backed Yes | 80c | 3,526$2,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.58 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 31c | 3,507$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.6 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 11c | 3,394$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.21 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…1d52backed Yes | 73c | 3,320$2,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.53 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 46c | 3,263$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,763.08 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +22.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd452…03e0backed No | 16c | 3,263$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked No | 6c | 3,244$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c49…ee5dbacked No | 3c | 3,207$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 14c | 3,199$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.11 | 210 | 22.4%47 W · 163 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Yes | 71c | 3,041$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.83 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…f59cbacked No | 5c | 3,022$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…6387backed No | 33c | 3,016$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a7…da75backed Yes | 72c | 3,006$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…0e65backed Yes | 79c | 2,988$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.45 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4d…0b9abacked No | 34c | 2,987$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6e…7d9cbacked No | 20c | 2,898$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767c…ca6abacked No | 15c | 2,858$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7afebacked Yes | 58c | 2,739$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.17 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x815b…5ef7backed No | 50c | 2,682$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.33 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ee…ca5dbacked No | 11c | 2,658$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 69c | 2,625$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.78 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ea…0140backed No | 25c | 2,459$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.48 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464f…0b95backed No | 4c | 2,439$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…64e6backed No | 19c | 2,411$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.79 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9e…518ebacked No | 24c | 2,286$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebd…4671backed No | 39c | 2,248$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecea…de43backed No | 6c | 2,193$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…e844backed No | 5c | 2,192$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…05e9backed Yes | 79c | 2,169$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 7c | 2,113$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.89 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…b8a8backed Yes | 61c | 2,098$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.71 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8952…2d93backed No | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…2e07backed No | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…067bbacked No | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed No | 14c | 2,000$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.39 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked No | 10c | 1,958$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.77 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fa…899fbacked No | 5c | 1,839$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba3…83debacked No | 28c | 1,794$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Yes | 61c | 1,788$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.46 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…4b9ebacked No | 4c | 1,751$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked No | 19c | 1,739$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.92 | 148 | 43.2%64 W · 84 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed Yes | 55c | 1,737$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.23 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed No | 52c | 1,699$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.36 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…acfcbacked Yes | 54c | 1,675$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 27c | 1,664$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.11 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed Yes | 56c | 1,600$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked No | 12c | 1,592$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.01 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 34c | 1,570$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.61 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb318…48cbbacked No | 21c | 1,539$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff43…975abacked No | 13c | 1,533$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…e61bbacked No | 24c | 1,531$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.75 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.