NFL · resolved market
Broncos vs. Bills
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4da4790dd4968377ddc10386b5d0c71779633d221ba2be9258738d4523c58e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Billsof Broncos, Bills
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,103,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,282,758
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,103,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 340 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Broncos | 4c | 744,521$26,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,556.46 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Broncos | 3c | 242,402$8,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,035.63 | 82 | 18.3%15 W · 67 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Broncos | 8c | 74,043$5,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,604.59 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Bills | 75c | 67,739$50,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,071.69 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…78ddbacked Broncos | 18c | 65,002$11,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,700.35 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Broncos | 20c | 58,102$11,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,604.77 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…ad02backed Broncos | 20c | 45,171$9,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,034.12 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Broncos | 19c | 25,110$4,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,801.96 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…275abacked Broncos | 24c | 23,546$5,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,616.17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Broncos | 18c | 21,000$3,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,789.98 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Bills | 80c | 20,000$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Broncos | 19c | 15,789$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Bills | 76c | 15,163$11,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,635.39 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Broncos | 18c | 13,378$2,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,390.43 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed Broncos | 19c | 13,326$2,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.59 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…b3c5backed Broncos | 20c | 11,900$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379.5 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865c…ea31backed Broncos | 0c | 11,101$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Broncos | 21c | 11,000$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc32…78e9backed Broncos | 19c | 10,626$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Broncos | 24c | 10,108$2,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,464.3 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Bills | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd0…7b4fbacked Broncos | 19c | 6,845$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.66 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…a69ebacked Broncos | 19c | 6,842$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Broncos | 6c | 6,601$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.08 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca3…5aa6backed Bills | 78c | 6,498$5,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578c…9661backed Bills | 80c | 6,250$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Bills | 80c | 6,228$4,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.54 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f5…0e1abacked Broncos | 19c | 6,196$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Broncos | 9c | 6,171$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.65 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Broncos | 20c | 6,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…22f4backed Broncos | 19c | 5,263$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Broncos | 18c | 5,120$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.45 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Broncos | 20c | 5,065$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.96 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed Broncos | 18c | 5,003$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Bills | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bills | 73c | 4,854$3,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.7 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Broncos | 23c | 4,500$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Broncos | 20c | 4,445$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.97 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6371…c2bfbacked Bills | 78c | 4,191$3,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.87 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292d…2c8dbacked Bills | 80c | 4,118$3,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.53 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…7361backed Broncos | 21c | 3,810$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Broncos | 18c | 3,781$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.61 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Bills | 80c | 3,754$3,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.89 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…5c65backed Bills | 80c | 3,700$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Broncos | 21c | 3,625$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Bills | 76c | 3,535$2,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.52 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…7094backed Bills | 80c | 3,106$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.27 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…cfb9backed Broncos | 16c | 3,099$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.98 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd3…2a3cbacked Broncos | 5c | 3,064$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae24…07c2backed Bills | 77c | 3,015$2,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.23 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Broncos | 2c | 2,961$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3a…ea40backed Broncos | 9c | 2,900$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Broncos | 30c | 2,510$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.15 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -12.6wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…76e5backed Bills | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Broncos | 1c | 2,346$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 142 | 15.5%22 W · 120 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ad…bc27backed Broncos | 20c | 2,240$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…9c6abacked Bills | 79c | 2,175$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.97 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…e7fcbacked Broncos | 26c | 2,076$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…9af7backed Bills | 75c | 2,000$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bills | 79c | 2,000$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.5 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa447…57a2backed Broncos | 19c | 1,808$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Bills | 80c | 1,785$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…154bbacked Broncos | 22c | 1,718$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.8 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21bd…ae93backed Bills | 80c | 1,644$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Broncos | 13c | 1,547$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.25 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Broncos | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -12.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80ec…fdc0backed Broncos | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…f42dbacked Bills | 79c | 1,484$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.84 | 207 | 33.8%70 W · 137 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe058…0bc3backed Broncos | 21c | 1,448$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.1 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Bills | 73c | 1,384$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.75 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7653…42e7backed Broncos | 9c | 1,373$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…da81backed Bills | 76c | 1,321$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.02 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Broncos | 18c | 1,300$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Broncos | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…86c6backed Broncos | 3c | 1,241$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Bills | 80c | 1,230$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.8 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Broncos | 20c | 1,229$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.58 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Broncos | 19c | 1,163$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.91 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Broncos | 30c | 1,159$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.91 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Bills | 79c | 1,153$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.55 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9c…57b3backed Bills | 80c | 1,123$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked Broncos | 20c | 1,111$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.74 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Broncos | 13c | 1,056$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.33 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…1732backed Broncos | 19c | 1,044$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e239backed Broncos | 10c | 1,030$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.55 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Bills | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…8278backed Broncos | 30c | 1,000$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.02 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x159b…10cbbacked Broncos | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Bills | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd234…43fcbacked Broncos | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cec…1e3dbacked Broncos | 2c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Bills | 75c | 871.55$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.5 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2193…21f5backed Broncos | 19c | 850$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…ca61backed Bills | 70c | 841.36$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.41 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0d…1876backed Broncos | 12c | 835.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8200…f63dbacked Broncos | 19c | 827.56$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad3e…4422backed Bills | 71c | 818.77$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.44 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x345a…9367backed Broncos | 20c | 801.05$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…c364backed Broncos | 7c | 800$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c70…d0e0backed Broncos | 20c | 749.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.