NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb53f2cf92e4de68993e3798fca4d6e9882b41ca956aacb0871ee085e5d241071
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Warriors, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,486,544
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,479,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,486,544 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 789 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3987…259ebacked Warriors | 27c | 303,362$80,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,633.81 | 80 | 22.5%18 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Warriors | 23c | 98,405$22,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,564.29 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Thunder | 74c | 70,000$51,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,200 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Warriors | 21c | 61,917$13,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,257.65 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Thunder | 75c | 56,870$42,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,393.1 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca5a…7e43backed Warriors | 10c | 50,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Warriors | 27c | 44,145$12,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,044.94 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Thunder | 76c | 43,355$32,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,578.1 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Warriors | 19c | 40,000$7,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,600 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Thunder | 74c | 38,500$28,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,010 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Thunder | 75c | 36,693$27,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,343.08 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf97a…30b7backed Warriors | 0c | 34,065$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Warriors | 27c | 33,200$8,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,864 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 73c | 31,122$22,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,447.12 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Thunder | 73c | 30,000$21,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,100 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Thunder | 73c | 29,007$21,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,848.24 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Warriors | 26c | 26,384$6,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,986 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…43c8backed Warriors | 27c | 25,000$6,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,750 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x968b…e907backed Thunder | 75c | 25,000$18,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,250 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Thunder | 73c | 25,000$18,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,750 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Thunder | 73c | 24,690$18,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,615.65 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Thunder | 74c | 24,422$17,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,459.87 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Thunder | 72c | 24,020$17,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,622.6 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Warriors | 4c | 20,004$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.16 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Warriors | 13c | 20,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Warriors | 3c | 19,969$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.52 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd6…918ebacked Warriors | 0c | 19,696$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Thunder | 73c | 19,500$14,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,328.86 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Warriors | 28c | 18,636$5,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,214.98 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Warriors | 26c | 18,318$4,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,750.23 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…3674backed Thunder | 73c | 15,515$11,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,189.01 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Thunder | 74c | 15,200$11,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,952 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Thunder | 73c | 15,032$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,031.96 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Thunder | 73c | 14,788$10,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,992.67 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Warriors | 1c | 14,012$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.72 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17db…5f6dbacked Thunder | 73c | 13,699$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,698.63 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Thunder | 74c | 13,514$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,513.51 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Thunder | 74c | 13,212$9,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,435.12 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Warriors | 26c | 12,325$3,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,204.44 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Thunder | 72c | 11,800$8,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,285.95 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Warriors | 8c | 10,403$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.03 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Thunder | 72c | 10,299$7,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,930.89 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd4…8ed6backed Thunder | 73c | 9,684$7,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,614.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Warriors | 27c | 9,530$2,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,552.77 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…770cbacked Warriors | 24c | 9,242$2,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,181.02 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…353fbacked Warriors | 27c | 8,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Warriors | 0c | 7,705$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Thunder | 73c | 7,500$5,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Warriors | 28c | 7,100$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Warriors | 1c | 6,359$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.57 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Warriors | 28c | 6,168$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.87 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Warriors | 26c | 6,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Warriors | 26c | 6,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…472ebacked Thunder | 73c | 5,500$4,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Thunder | 73c | 5,497$4,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.32 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Thunder | 73c | 5,478$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.08 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Warriors | 28c | 5,357$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Warriors | 25c | 5,330$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.53 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Warriors | 27c | 5,114$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.34 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Warriors | 4c | 5,091$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.91 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Thunder | 73c | 5,035$3,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.45 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa117…a311backed Thunder | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Thunder | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.95 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc30b…1b6dbacked Warriors | 26c | 4,835$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.15 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Thunder | 80c | 4,326$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.91 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad71…4c93backed Warriors | 29c | 4,200$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…903dbacked Thunder | 71c | 4,200$2,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Thunder | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Warriors | 16c | 4,000$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.5 | 481 | 32.6%157 W · 324 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Warriors | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.99 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Warriors | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.97 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Warriors | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.97 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Warriors | 27c | 3,823$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.14 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Warriors | 27c | 3,397$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.26 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Warriors | 27c | 3,333$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.78 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Warriors | 8c | 3,270$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bd…efddbacked Thunder | 79c | 3,189$2,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.59 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Warriors | 27c | 3,136$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.21 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Warriors | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Warriors | 17c | 3,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Thunder | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.97 | 399 | 58.4%233 W · 166 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…4456backed Warriors | 27c | 2,900$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Warriors | 26c | 2,800$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Thunder | 74c | 2,709$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.27 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0de0…0884backed Thunder | 75c | 2,668$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.76 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Thunder | 72c | 2,605$1,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.64 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Warriors | 27c | 2,577$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.01 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8a…4926backed Thunder | 75c | 2,500$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…eeb9backed Warriors | 28c | 2,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c1…06cebacked Warriors | 27c | 2,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Thunder | 79c | 2,467$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.1 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 78c | 2,383$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.37 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8302…806ebacked Warriors | 22c | 2,193$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.97 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Warriors | 27c | 2,190$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.88 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc228…7a7dbacked Warriors | 1c | 2,100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Warriors | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Warriors | 27c | 2,000$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Thunder | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Warriors | 17c | 2,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 294 | 58.5%172 W · 122 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Warriors | 13c | 1,980$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.4 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Thunderthis page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 229.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.