NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f19a0fc761694e957487452a2d7785a1e500d40730a6d17b569d12c74e5582b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $338,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $340,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $338,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Thunder | 53c | 287,059$152,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134,155.14 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Warriors | 47c | 80,000$37,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,400 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Warriors | 47c | 72,342$33,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,896.97 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 46c | 52,070$24,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,168.29 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Warriors | 48c | 27,750$13,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,242.36 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Warriors | 47c | 15,750$7,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,378.46 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 47c | 15,125$7,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,058.04 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Warriors | 45c | 9,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…99a7backed Warriors | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.87 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Thunder | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Warriors | 52c | 7,569$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920.13 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Warriors | 47c | 2,862$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.28 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Thunder | 48c | 2,705$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.6 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Warriors | 48c | 2,373$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.2 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Warriors | 48c | 2,208$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.48 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Warriors | 45c | 1,950$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.14 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Warriors | 48c | 1,891$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.25 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Warriors | 47c | 1,489$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.83 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…3674backed Thunder | 50c | 1,455$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.64 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Warriors | 47c | 1,400$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.3 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb00…42e9backed Thunder | 52c | 1,347$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.6 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Warriors | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Thunder | 52c | 1,147$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.57 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Thunder | 51c | 1,050$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.48 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Warriors | 48c | 1,026$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e2…9b0cbacked Thunder | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…270cbacked Thunder | 50c | 1,001$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.38 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Warriors | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Thunder | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc5…b639backed Warriors | 49c | 999.78$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.89 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Thunder | 49c | 965.49$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.29 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2791…2791backed Thunder | 48c | 900$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Warriors | 52c | 769.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.02 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3230…9cfcbacked Thunder | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.91 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x079d…18ffbacked Warriors | 52c | 625$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -45%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 45c | 604$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.26 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Thunder | 48c | 572.5$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.7 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161c…3b03backed Warriors | 48c | 508.33$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Warriors | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Thunder | 48c | 499.96$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.98 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Warriors | 51c | 435.29$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 49c | 435$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.28 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Warriors | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…914abacked Warriors | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Warriors | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf45…c794backed Warriors | 52c | 350$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…0d57backed Warriors | 50c | 309$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.5 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Thunder | 49c | 305.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1377…56aebacked Thunder | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fde…66b2backed Thunder | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5276…74ddbacked Thunder | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Thunder | 51c | 253$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Thunder | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Warriors | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x261b…b32bbacked Warriors | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Thunder | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Thunder | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5608…ff5bbacked Thunder | 48c | 199.98$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.99 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…733cbacked Thunder | 52c | 195.83$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Warriors | 50c | 193$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa72c…a633backed Warriors | 52c | 192.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117c…db06backed Warriors | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea1…3f8abacked Warriors | 51c | 177.43$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Thunder | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af6…a1a1backed Warriors | 52c | 140$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Warriors | 51c | 130.04$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…3e73backed Warriors | 50c | 112$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Thunder | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 236 | 52.5%124 W · 112 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Warriors | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 218 | 38.1%83 W · 135 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…cf81backed Thunder | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 189 | 55%104 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…ed90backed Warriors | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -5.7wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9c54…f00ebacked Warriors | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e601backed Warriors | 50c | 99.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Warriors | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…a75bbacked Warriors | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f1…f0e8backed Thunder | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06b7…5479backed Thunder | 52c | 97.42$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.76 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Warriors | 48c | 94.48$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2325…3256backed Warriors | 50c | 94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Warriors | 48c | 88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x960c…3705backed Thunder | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x749e…391dbacked Warriors | 50c | 75.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…90f4backed Thunder | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Warriors | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Warriors | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4169…512cbacked Warriors | 44c | 67.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Warriors | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Thunder | 52c | 63.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…0c7dbacked Warriors | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Thunder | 52c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Warriors | 51c | 57.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cb…9c55backed Warriors | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa873…9ed0backed Thunder | 51c | 50.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Thunder | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 353 | 52.4%185 W · 168 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Thunder | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Thunder | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 158 | 38.6%61 W · 97 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…6a1dbacked Thunder | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…8117backed Thunder | 51c | 44.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…7b85backed Thunder | 52c | 44.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Warriors vs. ThunderThunder won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 226.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 229.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.