TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Steelers vs. Chargers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Chargersof Steelers, Chargers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,746,703
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,443,446

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,746,703 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 708 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3657…6b14backed Chargers65c633,032$409,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223,474.271942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Steelers28c158,734$44,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,362.2847738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Steelers35c155,000$54,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,249.9813843.5%60 W · 78 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Chargers64c136,685$87,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,235.6611145.9%51 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Steelers37c119,087$44,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,046.3633553.4%179 W · 156 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c0b…9f41backed Chargers66c115,884$76,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,046.411973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+36.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Steelers33c99,073$33,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,102.2630043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Chargers63c91,342$57,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,796.538946.1%41 W · 48 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Steelers24c85,000$20,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,65013654.4%74 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x759b…2ab3backed Chargers64c72,438$46,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,237.622259.1%13 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.20per pick39cpaid+246.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Steelers36c70,175$25,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,062.879359.1%55 W · 38 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+22.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Steelers36c67,732$24,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,654.520634.5%71 W · 135 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Steelers35c62,510$21,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,916.7910061%61 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Steelers36c62,010$22,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,482.5912944.2%57 W · 72 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Steelers11c54,441$5,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,888.420026%52 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Chargers78c51,782$40,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,575.019944.4%44 W · 55 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4178…da1dbacked Steelers0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Steelers42c50,000$21,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,999.8631240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Steelers29c40,254$11,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,802.5941947.3%198 W · 221 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Chargers63c40,000$25,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,80019553.8%105 W · 90 L+16.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c67…377ebacked Chargers58c35,000$20,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,7002100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Steelers36c30,000$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,80020755.1%114 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29bf…25b0backed Steelers36c30,000$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,8003458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Steelers37c30,000$11,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,099.9927454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Chargers80c28,418$22,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,739.793748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Steelers36c27,633$9,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,998.8430743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Steelers35c26,500$9,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,34024652%128 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Steelers36c25,650$9,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,338.6441248.5%200 W · 212 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Chargers67c25,383$16,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,427.3561148.6%297 W · 314 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked Steelers35c24,526$8,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,584.12133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked Steelers36c23,215$8,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,3211464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Chargers59c22,275$13,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,186.2444652.9%236 W · 210 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Steelers38c17,858$6,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,78613142%55 W · 76 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a2…372abacked Chargers62c17,543$10,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,591.083961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Steelers36c17,500$6,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,374.9824053.8%129 W · 111 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90f6…48f3backed Steelers37c16,286$6,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0264146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Chargers57c15,000$8,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,45011649.1%57 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Chargers62c14,501$8,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,511.753348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Steelers37c14,033$5,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,192.391741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Steelers28c14,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,899.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Steelers37c13,550$5,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,013.465123.5%12 W · 39 L-8.1wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-37.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Chargers80c13,003$10,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,62768446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc701…f932backed Steelers36c13,000$4,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6804134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-35.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Chargers70c12,915$8,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,930.366965.2%45 W · 24 L+9.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+30.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked Steelers38c11,800$4,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4842638.5%10 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b86…0669backed Chargers63c11,466$7,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,242.3710434.6%36 W · 68 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x27f2…702cbacked Chargers69c11,255$7,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,511.089359.1%55 W · 38 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xed88…f3c4backed Chargers60c10,930$6,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,371.878344.6%37 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ce2…e868backed Steelers36c10,497$3,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,778.831968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed Steelers37c10,333$3,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,786.042839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Steelers35c10,105$3,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,536.921,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Steelers37c10,000$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,70025137.5%94 W · 157 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xea3e…b956backed Steelers38c9,966$3,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,754.0424351.4%125 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Steelers36c9,769$3,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,531.3486547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Steelers16c9,579$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50016737.7%63 W · 104 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e44…e83fbacked Steelers31c9,419$2,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,909.49850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Steelers36c9,376$3,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,396.2537350.9%190 W · 183 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Steelers41c9,074$3,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,720.1635848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Steelers37c9,000$3,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,33083147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aec…1158backed Steelers17c8,794$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4951353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Steelers19c8,389$1,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,582.25527.3%15 W · 40 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-38.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Chargers63c8,000$5,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,96024056.7%136 W · 104 L+19.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked Steelers38c7,937$3,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,016.051353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick34cpaid+82.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed Steelers46c7,684$3,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,534.591540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Steelers39c7,500$2,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,92514450%72 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6919…5effbacked Steelers37c7,432$2,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,713.084852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Steelers37c7,148$2,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,675.8983447.1%393 W · 441 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23e5…d41fbacked Steelers22c7,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,560825%2 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+77.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f85…a51bbacked Chargers62c6,506$4,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,472.3623447.9%112 W · 122 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb256…b6dfbacked Steelers24c6,204$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.918659.3%51 W · 35 L+13.5wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+39%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa78f…72dbbacked Steelers35c6,192$2,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,153.0170%0 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc30b…1b6dbacked Steelers38c6,128$2,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,328.75812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick42cpaid-69.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Chargers58c6,031$3,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,514.3331848.1%153 W · 165 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd76e…225bbacked Steelers39c6,000$2,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,325742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+47.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7320…28b4backed Steelers36c6,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1603351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Chargers79c5,963$4,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.163246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe8a…cfadbacked Chargers64c5,962$3,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,146.251450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Steelers37c5,677$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,100.3412744.9%57 W · 70 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Steelers37c5,634$2,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,087.865048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe17…98e9backed Steelers37c5,407$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.445750.9%29 W · 28 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+1.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed Chargers63c5,100$3,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8871681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick68cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Steelers36c4,849$1,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,756.8828447.5%135 W · 149 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12cb…cc16backed Steelers37c4,789$1,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7722133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Chargers63c4,687$2,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.4526547.2%125 W · 140 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Steelers2c4,484$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.191486.8%10 W · 138 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+296.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a38…8fb5backed Steelers38c4,447$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,69014252.1%74 W · 68 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f7b…d405backed Steelers37c4,440$1,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,642.87633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Chargers59c4,188$2,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,696.714147.5%67 W · 74 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Steelers41c4,000$1,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,626.6920646.1%95 W · 111 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b8c…abbabacked Steelers37c4,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4807153.5%38 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Chargers71c4,000$2,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.712941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Steelers38c3,947$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004546.7%21 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chargers78c3,713$2,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.4231543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e2d…05e4backed Steelers23c3,679$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa71a…e4e2backed Steelers41c3,641$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002540%10 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Steelers41c3,617$1,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.9714248.6%69 W · 73 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Steelers41c3,596$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.3914951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Steelers36c3,510$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,268.56338.1%24 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x919a…bc17backed Steelers1c3,493$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.931770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Chargers65c3,460$2,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.211254.5%61 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.