NFL · resolved market
Spread: Chargers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1905e6cd12355f40696edeb01e703e3f827d7bf7771a54766f55130aea9df91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chargersof Chargers, Steelers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $891,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $955,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $891,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Steelers | 51c | 80,000$40,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,800 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Steelers | 52c | 60,947$31,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,438.2 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Chargers | 49c | 49,996$24,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,252.9 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Chargers | 48c | 42,891$20,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,303.1 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Steelers | 52c | 42,555$22,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,064.14 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Chargers | 48c | 40,000$19,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,800 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Chargers | 44c | 39,435$17,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,892.57 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Chargers | 48c | 27,168$13,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,066.22 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca36…1e9cbacked Steelers | 56c | 25,880$14,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,492.66 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Steelers | 55c | 15,027$8,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,254.54 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Chargers | 49c | 14,614$7,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,516.79 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Steelers | 53c | 13,149$6,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,969 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Steelers | 53c | 12,932$6,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,878.18 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Steelers | 51c | 10,523$5,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,356.42 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e3…cda8backed Steelers | 54c | 10,478$5,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,642.35 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Steelers | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Steelers | 60c | 9,522$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Steelers | 53c | 9,241$4,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,869.21 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Chargers | 48c | 8,327$3,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,330.08 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Steelers | 52c | 8,045$4,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,210.79 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Steelers | 51c | 8,000$4,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,040 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Steelers | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Steelers | 56c | 7,061$3,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,953.89 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Chargers | 47c | 6,666$3,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,532.98 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Steelers | 53c | 6,585$3,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,490 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Steelers | 56c | 6,425$3,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,572.4 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7189…b454backed Chargers | 47c | 6,246$2,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,310.3 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Steelers | 52c | 5,409$2,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,812.68 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Steelers | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Steelers | 53c | 3,914$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,074.42 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Chargers | 42c | 3,738$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.88 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Chargers | 49c | 3,713$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.65 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Chargers | 47c | 3,500$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Steelers | 52c | 3,443$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.39 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aec…1158backed Steelers | 53c | 3,410$1,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…cf77backed Chargers | 52c | 3,049$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.02 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Steelers | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Chargers | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Steelers | 52c | 2,127$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.25 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Steelers | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…adbfbacked Steelers | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…5019backed Steelers | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Chargers | 40c | 1,784$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.16 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Steelers | 55c | 1,600$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.99 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Steelers | 54c | 1,226$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae5…b896backed Chargers | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Chargers | 49c | 1,170$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.55 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Chargers | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Steelers | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Chargers | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3a…9ec0backed Chargers | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Chargers | 48c | 1,015$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 208 | 51%106 W · 102 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Chargers | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Steelers | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Steelers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Steelers | 53c | 979$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.87 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb00…42e9backed Chargers | 49c | 906.12$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.12 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Steelers | 56c | 805.59$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Chargers | 46c | 779$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.66 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Steelers | 52c | 709.15$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.7 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5384…9d80backed Chargers | 48c | 706.67$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.47 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Steelers | 56c | 697.71$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.72 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Chargers | 49c | 653.06$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.06 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…efd5backed Steelers | 55c | 645.18$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.6 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0344…4d9cbacked Chargers | 48c | 438.38$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161c…3b03backed Steelers | 56c | 390.33$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.72 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf068…6184backed Steelers | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…18edbacked Steelers | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…8416backed Chargers | 48c | 364.58$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.58 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Steelers | 56c | 329.51$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.53 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chargers | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Chargers | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…f0b8backed Steelers | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa14e…f856backed Steelers | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a0…be02backed Chargers | 49c | 255.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.1 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Steelers | 53c | 220$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…53a7backed Chargers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28a8…57d5backed Chargers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Chargers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…68b9backed Steelers | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x039a…b09dbacked Chargers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…643ebacked Steelers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Steelers | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Steelers | 52c | 170$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…3c8cbacked Chargers | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…b327backed Chargers | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Steelers | 53c | 104.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2422backed Chargers | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Chargers | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…fb90backed Steelers | 57c | 101.72$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed Steelers | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Steelers | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 242 | 43.4%105 W · 137 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Chargers | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Chargers | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca9c…966fbacked Chargers | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Chargers | 41c | 99.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50f8…5897backed Chargers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…c448backed Chargers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Chargers | 48c | 95.83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.83 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Steelers | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chargers (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Chargers (-2.5)Chargers won
- Spread: Chargers (-4.5)Chargers won
- Steelers vs. ChargersChargers won
- Steelers vs. Chargers: 1H MoneylineChargers won
- Steelers vs. Chargers: 1H O/U 22.5Under won
- Steelers vs. Chargers: 1H O/U 23.5Under won
- Steelers vs. Chargers: O/U 44.5Under won
- Steelers vs. Chargers: O/U 45.5Under won
- Steelers vs. Chargers: O/U 46.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.