NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Bucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59f7ccf8545192009c382929153428e6c4a0aca52a200522fecf374e9e3873ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $235,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $233,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2317…c891backed Bucks | 56c | 39,094$21,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,920.72 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 11,798$6,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,734.59 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Trail Blazers | 30c | 9,506$2,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,620.07 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Trail Blazers | 40c | 7,331$2,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,385.68 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 7,043$3,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799.06 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Bucks | 7c | 6,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Trail Blazers | 35c | 6,000$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,894.99 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Trail Blazers | 14c | 6,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,139.98 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 4,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,399.99 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Trail Blazers | 14c | 3,967$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,411.4 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…d698backed Bucks | 60c | 3,538$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.7 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Trail Blazers | 13c | 2,940$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,557.69 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 2,689$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,285.65 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…feb3backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 2,641$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.63 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Trail Blazers | 39c | 2,630$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…e599backed Trail Blazers | 40c | 2,264$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.91 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bucks | 68c | 2,188$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.06 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Trail Blazers | 13c | 2,100$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.95 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Trail Blazers | 28c | 2,097$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.91 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Trail Blazers | 14c | 2,054$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.44 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Bucks | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Trail Blazers | 30c | 1,800$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.51 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Trail Blazers | 37c | 1,666$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.78 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…d485backed Bucks | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3011…43d9backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 1,467$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5158…f107backed Trail Blazers | 31c | 1,466$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +217.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa784…c046backed Trail Blazers | 24c | 1,466$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Trail Blazers | 33c | 1,401$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.94 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Trail Blazers | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.89 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Trail Blazers | 22c | 1,270$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.98 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Bucks | 73c | 1,177$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.51 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Trail Blazers | 37c | 1,168$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.74 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcf…7400backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 1,088$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.99 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf837…0f45backed Trail Blazers | 29c | 1,045$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Bucks | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Bucks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…ad17backed Bucks | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Trail Blazers | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…ef89backed Bucks | 68c | 996.29$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.29 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c9…0735backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 993.77$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Trail Blazers | 18c | 981.63$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.94 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5277…7d49backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 937.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.5 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec7…c67fbacked Trail Blazers | 29c | 903.77$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba02…e42bbacked Trail Blazers | 13c | 839.97$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.77 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.9wins | +0.31per pick | 38cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x18e8…1669backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 825.58$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.49 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Bucks | 63c | 818.98$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.71 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Trail Blazers | 27c | 811.12$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.12 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bucks | 74c | 800$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e8…9c65backed Trail Blazers | 14c | 747$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.42 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Bucks | 63c | 699.99$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Trail Blazers | 28c | 684.79$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.3 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…df03backed Bucks | 73c | 682.7$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Trail Blazers | 30c | 672.6$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.22 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.67 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked Trail Blazers | 14c | 643.15$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.11 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 611.9$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.91 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Bucks | 53c | 599.99$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Trail Blazers | 32c | 596.75$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.63 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Trail Blazers | 14c | 583.07$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.49 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6153…0e04backed Bucks | 70c | 569.8$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…676fbacked Trail Blazers | 18c | 555.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.91 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…ec35backed Trail Blazers | 27c | 545.7$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.7 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Bucks | 77c | 525$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.75 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…15e2backed Trail Blazers | 14c | 499.97$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.97 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 485.94$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.77 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…9d10backed Bucks | 66c | 405$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.3 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +6.6wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6274…f988backed Bucks | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0a…8a0dbacked Trail Blazers | 15c | 399.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +394.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Trail Blazers | 29c | 398.18$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.18 | 303 | 31.4%95 W · 208 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Trail Blazers | 28c | 376.08$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.08 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Bucks | 41c | 371.48$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.53 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Trail Blazers | 39c | 366$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.26 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Trail Blazers | 14c | 333.02$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.4 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…a4ccbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 331.57$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.47 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Bucks | 5c | 321$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…e717backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 320.58$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.49 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf246…0ac8backed Bucks | 61c | 310.4$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f9…736abacked Bucks | 72c | 304.29$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…39a1backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 302$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.72 | 487 | 41.9%204 W · 283 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Bucks | 70c | 300$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 351 | 65.2%229 W · 122 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa08f…87f3backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 300$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Bucks | 68c | 277.94$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.3 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Trail Blazers | 14c | 274.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.24 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a8…adcebacked Bucks | 59c | 272.41$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Bucks | 60c | 237.64$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.14 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Trail Blazers | 36c | 231$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.57 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…5038backed Bucks | 69c | 224.85$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.5 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1377…af39backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 200.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +185.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Trail Blazers | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ea…d0c1backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27fd…c47fbacked Trail Blazers | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bf…7851backed Bucks | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43a0…0d5cbacked Trail Blazers | 14c | 200$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52c7…b836backed Trail Blazers | 41c | 195.1$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.11 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…794bbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked Trail Blazers | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.57 | 501 | 44.7%224 W · 277 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0baf…e09ebacked Bucks | 71c | 168.74$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.47 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 75cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…3438backed Trail Blazers | 40c | 167.53$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Bucks | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.