NFL · resolved market
Vikings vs. Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41c0ac27c997157304bba97588f5db90c72004203777b097f46471d9988f7c04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lionsof Vikings, Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,607,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,335,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,607,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 818 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Vikings | 1c | 469,333$4,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,559.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3c…502dbacked Vikings | 0c | 344,000$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Lions | 63c | 325,222$204,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120,445.05 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad3e…4422backed Vikings | 23c | 207,741$48,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,537.52 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Lions | 58c | 176,062$102,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,647.85 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Vikings | 25c | 172,519$42,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,636.4 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Vikings | 31c | 139,960$43,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,712.95 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Vikings | 42c | 104,774$43,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,918.14 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Lions | 59c | 85,420$50,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,306.44 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Vikings | 41c | 63,265$25,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,937.72 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Vikings | 36c | 55,546$20,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,224.89 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…f1f5backed Vikings | 43c | 46,992$20,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,048.78 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Vikings | 40c | 42,662$16,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,973.75 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Lions | 71c | 31,330$22,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,229.95 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Vikings | 37c | 30,442$11,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,237.31 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94dc…c779backed Vikings | 22c | 21,914$4,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,806.44 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Vikings | 12c | 18,644$2,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,173.31 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0304…dcc7backed Lions | 59c | 18,588$10,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,654.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Lions | 59c | 17,000$10,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,886.18 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Vikings | 28c | 15,537$4,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,326.41 | 82 | 18.3%15 W · 67 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Lions | 77c | 14,849$11,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,434.51 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…f42dbacked Vikings | 21c | 13,384$2,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,846.26 | 207 | 33.8%70 W · 137 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Lions | 57c | 13,332$7,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,732.7 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Lions | 76c | 11,795$8,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,873.91 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Vikings | 42c | 10,600$4,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,452 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f44…3ae9backed Vikings | 42c | 10,560$4,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,435.37 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…db60backed Lions | 65c | 10,510$6,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,665.41 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…0043backed Vikings | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Vikings | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.97 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…ad02backed Lions | 67c | 8,954$5,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,954.87 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8625…90afbacked Lions | 76c | 8,595$6,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f53…07f4backed Vikings | 22c | 8,551$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Vikings | 42c | 8,389$3,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,523.41 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Vikings | 37c | 8,201$3,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,034.26 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Lions | 57c | 8,177$4,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,528.24 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Vikings | 0c | 8,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…3665backed Vikings | 50c | 7,433$3,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,712.71 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Lions | 59c | 6,788$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,787.88 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Lions | 61c | 6,757$4,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,646.18 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3f…f02abacked Vikings | 28c | 6,580$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…dfc0backed Vikings | 33c | 6,358$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Lions | 65c | 6,207$4,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189.21 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e25…ff35backed Lions | 76c | 6,183$4,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.02 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 70cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Vikings | 40c | 6,140$2,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,456.26 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Vikings | 5c | 6,059$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.84 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…6cd3backed Lions | 77c | 5,874$4,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Vikings | 40c | 5,690$2,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,256.64 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e44…e83fbacked Vikings | 28c | 5,166$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Lions | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.99 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4205…46a7backed Lions | 59c | 4,935$2,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,023.48 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…abd2backed Vikings | 41c | 4,669$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Lions | 60c | 4,655$2,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.88 | 290 | 59.7%173 W · 117 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Lions | 77c | 4,250$3,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.5 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Lions | 61c | 4,243$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.24 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Lions | 59c | 3,941$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.04 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e3…1b7ebacked Vikings | 31c | 3,899$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.99 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Vikings | 37c | 3,680$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.37 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Vikings | 7c | 3,425$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.99 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Lions | 59c | 3,221$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.73 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…e7fcbacked Lions | 58c | 3,213$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.74 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…01d0backed Lions | 58c | 3,162$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.48 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Vikings | 42c | 3,153$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.48 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lions | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…ae30backed Lions | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cf…1db8backed Vikings | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Lions | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.97 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…76e5backed Lions | 67c | 2,985$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.07 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Lions | 71c | 2,944$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.88 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Lions | 60c | 2,614$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.96 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Vikings | 37c | 2,567$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.84 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Lions | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Lions | 59c | 2,466$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.06 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Lions | 58c | 2,466$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.68 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Lions | 67c | 2,459$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.21 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…113dbacked Lions | 59c | 2,440$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.26 | 23 | 91.3%21 W · 2 L | +6.0wins | +0.26per pick | 65cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Vikings | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Lions | 58c | 2,060$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.2 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Vikings | 1c | 2,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb93d…8949backed Vikings | 26c | 2,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lions | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.99 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…7361backed Lions | 57c | 1,944$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.68 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…5fe9backed Vikings | 42c | 1,905$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…a5b6backed Vikings | 35c | 1,797$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Lions | 58c | 1,713$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.58 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…8ec8backed Vikings | 22c | 1,698$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Lions | 57c | 1,610$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.29 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Vikings | 16c | 1,607$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 151 | 45.7%69 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd234…43fcbacked Vikings | 28c | 1,600$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Vikings | 33c | 1,600$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.61 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Lions | 59c | 1,521$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.03 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb09…dd9cbacked Lions | 59c | 1,497$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8e…e481backed Vikings | 42c | 1,497$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…e69dbacked Vikings | 1c | 1,477$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Lions | 59c | 1,418$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.88 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed Lions | 60c | 1,418$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.23 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Vikings | 42c | 1,393$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.91 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…35e1backed Vikings | 40c | 1,388$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Lions | 59c | 1,356$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.93 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Lions | 62c | 1,346$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…dafdbacked Lions | 60c | 1,344$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.