NFL · resolved market
Packers vs. Vikings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f1261e40c8cd913c986d68c890427a88da66d4a21e5f40f792ea7bc53faad09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vikingsof Packers, Vikings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,526,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,859,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,526,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,076 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad3e…4422backed Packers | 19c | 251,222$48,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,614.75 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd6…9b1cbacked Packers | 50c | 198,977$99,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,988.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e80…59e8backed Vikings | 49c | 107,365$52,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,496.93 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Packers | 7c | 103,677$7,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,355.9 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Packers | 16c | 89,041$14,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,651.52 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Vikings | 50c | 81,886$40,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,178.75 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…f1f5backed Packers | 51c | 70,000$35,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,399.99 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…e599backed Packers | 12c | 57,786$7,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,023.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Packers | 11c | 57,776$6,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,595.55 | 82 | 18.3%15 W · 67 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Packers | 13c | 50,112$6,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,499.27 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Packers | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Packers | 51c | 34,737$17,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,715.88 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Packers | 8c | 33,391$2,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,714.98 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…5624backed Vikings | 74c | 27,793$20,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,092.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked Packers | 52c | 26,549$13,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,738.48 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94dc…c779backed Packers | 26c | 23,000$5,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,914.81 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…01dabacked Vikings | 62c | 20,652$12,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,805.06 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Packers | 24c | 20,510$4,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,909 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…c487backed Packers | 51c | 19,600$9,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,996.18 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -8.7wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -37%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Packers | 20c | 15,169$3,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,017.62 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Vikings | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f67…cc48backed Packers | 10c | 14,808$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Packers | 14c | 13,567$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.13 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Packers | 12c | 13,412$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.99 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Packers | 49c | 13,039$6,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,389 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Packers | 22c | 12,872$2,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,811.56 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Vikings | 52c | 12,538$6,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,018.12 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…f42dbacked Packers | 16c | 11,673$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.41 | 207 | 33.8%70 W · 137 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Packers | 17c | 11,513$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.36 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Vikings | 64c | 10,261$6,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,736.01 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fa…53a6backed Packers | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a1…358dbacked Vikings | 50c | 8,054$4,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,027 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c53…c8b5backed Packers | 50c | 7,951$4,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,003 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6e…b233backed Vikings | 50c | 7,919$3,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,992.28 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Packers | 49c | 7,846$3,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,844.73 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…79c6backed Vikings | 69c | 6,712$4,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,073.31 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Packers | 30c | 6,525$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Vikings | 50c | 6,034$3,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,027 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Packers | 2c | 6,012$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.75 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Vikings | 52c | 5,995$3,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,897.5 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…7094backed Packers | 19c | 5,935$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.78 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Vikings | 72c | 5,651$4,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.71 | 290 | 59.7%173 W · 117 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Packers | 1c | 5,555$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Packers | 0c | 5,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Vikings | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Packers | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Packers | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a01…3785backed Vikings | 50c | 4,171$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,073.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcabf…c2d7backed Packers | 49c | 4,062$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.27 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…cf42backed Vikings | 52c | 4,058$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.69 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x217b…0dc0backed Vikings | 50c | 4,032$2,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…136fbacked Vikings | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Packers | 51c | 3,532$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.12 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Vikings | 51c | 3,147$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.03 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…73b8backed Vikings | 51c | 3,057$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde1…187fbacked Vikings | 50c | 2,941$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.35 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Packers | 36c | 2,878$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.33 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Vikings | 48c | 2,858$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.19 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Packers | 50c | 2,801$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Packers | 12c | 2,798$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.01 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Vikings | 52c | 2,692$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.31 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Packers | 49c | 2,661$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.89 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Vikings | 78c | 2,500$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Packers | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf84b…3e6cbacked Packers | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.96 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed Vikings | 49c | 2,322$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.45 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f3…5c67backed Packers | 51c | 2,251$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3de1…6286backed Vikings | 51c | 2,157$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Packers | 52c | 2,152$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.28 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Packers | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Vikings | 49c | 2,080$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.6 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked Vikings | 52c | 2,026$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.36 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed Packers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…8278backed Vikings | 52c | 2,000$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.99 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Vikings | 61c | 1,981$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.87 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Vikings | 56c | 1,967$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.17 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34e…895ebacked Packers | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…dfc0backed Vikings | 51c | 1,946$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.71 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Vikings | 72c | 1,937$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.17 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…45dbbacked Packers | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Vikings | 74c | 1,909$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.59 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa213…b945backed Vikings | 51c | 1,868$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…75c1backed Vikings | 53c | 1,786$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.44 | 186 | 58.1%108 W · 78 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Vikings | 60c | 1,742$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.02 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Packers | 51c | 1,720$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.02 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Vikings | 52c | 1,648$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.81 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…dafdbacked Vikings | 50c | 1,617$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Vikings | 52c | 1,550$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.48 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e71…3838backed Packers | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Vikings | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -12.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Packers | 38c | 1,485$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.1 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Vikings | 50c | 1,464$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.24 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Vikings | 55c | 1,394$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.84 | 70 | 71.4%50 W · 20 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d31…2cbfbacked Vikings | 52c | 1,347$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.36 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce54…90bcbacked Packers | 49c | 1,346$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.78 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…3173backed Packers | 46c | 1,336$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Vikings | 56c | 1,331$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.75 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Vikings | 49c | 1,243$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.98 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Vikings | 50c | 1,238$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.24 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6153…0e04backed Vikings | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.04 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.