TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof 76ers, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$497,109
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$524,033

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $497,109 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 497 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93fc…34b6backed 76ers31c63,748$20,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,002.274025%10 W · 30 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-47.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked Kings69c39,478$27,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,302.629952.5%52 W · 47 L+9.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+28.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xccf2…41b7backed Kings72c30,580$22,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,472.4511459.6%68 W · 46 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb511…01dabacked Kings70c20,000$13,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,015.143663.9%23 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa535…6bf5backed Kings62c16,000$9,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0809557.9%55 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked 76ers47c12,216$5,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,745.4219350.3%97 W · 96 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x791e…17ddbacked Kings52c11,132$5,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,362.897248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Kings61c10,100$6,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,93672241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Kings34c9,872$3,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,492.2727041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked 76ers54c9,184$4,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,951.741,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x28c1…a4ccbacked 76ers50c8,503$4,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2095561.8%34 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x874e…52d7backed Kings69c8,331$5,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,558.674766%31 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41e9…7003backed 76ers0c8,100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1860%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6153…0e04backed Kings67c7,367$4,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,415.546347.6%30 W · 33 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Kings69c7,286$5,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,265.2977745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed 76ers34c7,052$2,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,389.991,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked 76ers31c6,448$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.914039.3%55 W · 85 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc9…fc51backed 76ers55c6,177$3,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,370.833743.2%16 W · 21 L-8.5wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-39.6%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Kings33c6,021$2,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,009.913140.5%53 W · 78 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed 76ers31c5,239$1,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,634.711,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings48c4,999$2,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,583.371,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed 76ers48c4,709$2,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,260.3714233.1%47 W · 95 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85de…87e5backed 76ers71c4,595$3,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,262.532860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked 76ers52c4,582$2,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,368.4449849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed 76ers53c4,127$2,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,188.1934425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed 76ers79c4,121$3,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,263.696947.8%33 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0054…7f85backed 76ers48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9203745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…73b8backed Kings54c3,868$2,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,796.916533.8%22 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Kings64c3,833$2,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.8436843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d5e…5d34backed 76ers72c3,818$2,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,749.154949%24 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8258…f208backed 76ers32c3,750$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2007032.9%23 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Kings43c3,623$1,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,074.261532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Kings57c3,135$1,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.568642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed 76ers32c3,125$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008043.8%35 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Kings61c3,104$1,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.1619451.5%100 W · 94 L-17.8wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-17.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa22b…3525backed Kings43c2,900$1,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,652.843534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+61%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Kings69c2,800$1,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.9737954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed 76ers35c2,500$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87530443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked 76ers48c2,341$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.251,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x945e…2acabacked 76ers45c2,275$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.14128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.27per pick36cpaid-89.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Kings68c2,236$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.5273051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked 76ers31c2,230$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.2946131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Kings50c2,186$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.6325651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed 76ers32c2,155$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.9623248.7%113 W · 119 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Kings68c2,096$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.6133752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c27…c8b4backed Kings42c2,053$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.0917141.5%71 W · 100 L-0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f79…1db4backed 76ers32c2,047$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65516838.7%65 W · 103 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked 76ers62c2,006$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24025865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed 76ers31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6201,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed 76ers31c1,969$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.1431125.1%78 W · 233 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed 76ers52c1,915$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.6470951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed 76ers67c1,768$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.3170147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked 76ers1c1,700$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked 76ers30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45016242%68 W · 94 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0939…9a00backed Kings70c1,492$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.521040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dd4…1e3abacked 76ers49c1,420$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48af…15e2backed 76ers71c1,410$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.881838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+27.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47e0…d485backed Kings17c1,400$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1623129%9 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d87…1ad4backed Kings50c1,380$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.013100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ed5…a76ebacked Kings69c1,159$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.4215558.7%91 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1396…b149backed 76ers44c1,145$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.014254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd52c…4125backed 76ers36c1,121$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.471435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33cc…a0b6backed Kings48c1,100$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57118437.5%69 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x061e…8e2fbacked 76ers72c1,063$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.022937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Kings64c1,050$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.5725957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked 76ers60c1,033$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61530648.7%149 W · 157 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed 76ers2c1,010$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.351348.2%11 W · 123 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-81.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16c4…fd3fbacked 76ers1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1060%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dc7…3a04backed 76ers76c1,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7608229.3%24 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked 76ers32c999.98$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3208548.2%41 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9837…25dbbacked Kings43c980.93$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed 76ers31c967.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30034852.3%182 W · 166 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecb8…c405backed 76ers55c910.75$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.083447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed 76ers28c902.73$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.086451.6%33 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c0c…ad7cbacked 76ers45c878.55$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.717352.1%38 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x589e…c63ebacked Kings70c862.48$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.483956.4%22 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed 76ers32c843.75$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27038942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed 76ers39c800$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3101,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x041e…aa12backed Kings64c799.99$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2881471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked 76ers31c772.93$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.8896447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed 76ers31c750$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2311,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3add…11b5backed Kings24c749.17$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.582334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed 76ers68c732.95$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.413,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54f5…e936backed Kings47c712.56$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.5415947.8%76 W · 83 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c57…9780backed Kings45c697.87$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.564045%18 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6dcf…7400backed 76ers73c685.64$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006855.9%38 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed 76ers53c675.15$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.5439843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d08…0080backed 76ers32c650$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2085330.2%16 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-37.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd09…4198backed 76ers31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005862.1%36 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Kings60c637.95$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.537448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd715…e8f9backed 76ers51c616.51$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.49850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Kings79c612.54$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.5121455.1%118 W · 96 L-1.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc1a…188dbacked 76ers37c600$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2221338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc26f…7055backed Kings52c599.99$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2865468.5%37 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2577…aa48backed Kings64c599.7$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.7771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+36%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Kings64c598.49$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.150245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed Kings67c596.73$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.416750.7%34 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4a1…8445backed 76ers57c596.35$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.92450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Kings67c579.73$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.3172341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed 76ers30c563$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.930440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.