NFL · resolved market
Bears vs. Vikings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb68436b387dd1c8206dea4cc8c4e9ccf5867b2c1816a73f4ffdee3ad0281f1c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bearsof Bears, Vikings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,928,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,038,328
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,928,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 739 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Bears | 40c | 250,258$100,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149,725.73 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Vikings | 29c | 175,575$51,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,373.6 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Vikings | 60c | 115,000$69,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,149.96 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Vikings | 58c | 70,635$41,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,055.67 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ec…2493backed Vikings | 59c | 61,299$35,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,866.29 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Bears | 41c | 57,175$23,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,737.34 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Vikings | 58c | 56,132$32,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,556.37 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Vikings | 59c | 53,397$31,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,504.27 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Bears | 41c | 53,368$21,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,487.38 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Vikings | 60c | 52,000$31,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,380 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…817ebacked Vikings | 59c | 50,000$29,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,591.46 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Bears | 39c | 44,149$17,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,931.05 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bears | 72c | 42,748$30,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,010.78 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Bears | 41c | 40,000$16,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,599.99 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Vikings | 59c | 40,000$23,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,499.98 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Bears | 41c | 40,000$16,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,599.89 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bears | 71c | 38,273$27,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,032.69 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8605…750fbacked Bears | 79c | 36,998$29,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,613.49 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Vikings | 59c | 33,885$19,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,992 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Vikings | 60c | 32,000$19,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,219.85 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Bears | 77c | 30,922$23,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,252.31 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f1…dcbbbacked Bears | 42c | 29,807$12,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,288.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Bears | 42c | 25,000$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,500 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Vikings | 60c | 24,588$14,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,846.74 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9105…97f2backed Bears | 42c | 22,849$9,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,252.31 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Bears | 70c | 20,760$14,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,228 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…d491backed Vikings | 1c | 20,169$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Vikings | 60c | 20,000$11,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,900 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed Vikings | 60c | 20,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3db…0b3cbacked Bears | 41c | 20,000$8,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,800 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Bears | 41c | 18,966$7,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,189.94 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bears | 73c | 18,153$13,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,962.77 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Bears | 42c | 17,369$7,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,074.05 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Vikings | 59c | 17,120$10,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,101 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Vikings | 29c | 17,001$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Bears | 41c | 16,417$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,716.21 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Bears | 70c | 14,560$10,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,368 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bears | 60c | 13,822$8,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,526.45 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Vikings | 59c | 12,500$7,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,375 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8585…58d0backed Bears | 42c | 11,000$4,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,380 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Bears | 40c | 10,561$4,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,369.25 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Vikings | 23c | 10,454$2,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,427.12 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Vikings | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79a5…6a63backed Vikings | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Vikings | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Vikings | 26c | 9,626$2,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.22 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e1…8b89backed Bears | 42c | 9,600$4,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,568 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa3…666bbacked Vikings | 59c | 9,500$5,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,605 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Bears | 42c | 9,484$3,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500.91 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Vikings | 32c | 9,470$3,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,036.96 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…16d3backed Bears | 42c | 9,300$3,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,394 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Vikings | 60c | 9,000$5,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,430 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Bears | 40c | 8,537$3,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,122.11 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Bears | 41c | 8,516$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,016.12 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Vikings | 60c | 8,248$4,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,948.75 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Bears | 41c | 8,180$3,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,833.07 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Vikings | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 2cpaid | +931.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Vikings | 59c | 8,000$4,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,719.99 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bears | 41c | 7,463$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,403.4 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0dd…b5a6backed Vikings | 59c | 7,300$4,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,307 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Bears | 42c | 7,140$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,141.48 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Bears | 39c | 7,100$2,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,331 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bears | 61c | 7,034$4,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760.49 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Vikings | 58c | 6,998$4,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,036.74 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf60…c76ebacked Vikings | 59c | 6,900$4,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +45%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Bears | 44c | 6,803$2,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,817.17 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7392…6e13backed Vikings | 59c | 6,800$4,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,012 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…c791backed Bears | 42c | 6,200$2,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,596 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Vikings | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,540 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Bears | 65c | 6,000$3,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,098 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bears | 41c | 6,000$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,539.98 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bears | 70c | 5,625$3,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.3 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8149…4718backed Vikings | 59c | 5,600$3,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,304 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bears | 72c | 5,439$3,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.62 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…9241backed Bears | 42c | 5,357$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,107.14 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6d…1ba1backed Vikings | 48c | 5,242$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Vikings | 59c | 5,085$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Bears | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Bears | 70c | 4,880$3,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.02 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bears | 67c | 4,708$3,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.08 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Bears | 39c | 4,562$1,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,782.98 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Bears | 54c | 4,518$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068.26 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Vikings | 59c | 4,500$2,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,665 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce0…e210backed Vikings | 59c | 4,500$2,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,655 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Bears | 68c | 4,317$2,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.96 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Vikings | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb08e…bb22backed Bears | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445f…d91cbacked Bears | 41c | 3,840$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,265.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bears | 47c | 3,596$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.01 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Bears | 54c | 3,525$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.66 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Vikings | 60c | 3,450$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.5 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Bears | 41c | 3,379$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.38 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Bears | 41c | 3,082$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.2 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Bears | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.94 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Vikings | 31c | 2,910$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd481…cdcbbacked Vikings | 17c | 2,904$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bears | 46c | 2,849$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.66 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Bears | 40c | 2,846$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.27 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Bears | 40c | 2,751$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.92 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Vikings | 60c | 2,740$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.34 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bears vs. Vikingsthis page
- 1H Spread: Vikings (-0.5)Bears won
- Bears vs. Vikings: 1H MoneylineBears won
- Bears vs. Vikings: 1H O/U 24.5Under won
- Bears vs. Vikings: O/U 46.5Under won
- Bears vs. Vikings: O/U 47.5Under won
- Bears vs. Vikings: O/U 48.5Under won
- Spread: Vikings (-2.5)Bears won
- Spread: Vikings (-3.5)Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.