TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Jazz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Hornets, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$285,306
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$318,904

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,306 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 301 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8782…9aa2backed Jazz35c52,950$18,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,532.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30e6…3c04backed Hornets65c52,927$34,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,524.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Jazz34c25,035$8,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,514.965642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d15…a4a4backed Hornets42c12,177$5,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,019.28560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+55.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets51c6,654$3,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,243.33,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Jazz71c5,000$3,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,55029858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Hornets67c4,878$3,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,609.851,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Hornets36c4,754$1,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,021.761532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Jazz52c4,025$2,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,105.825939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Jazz33c3,816$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.3977745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Jazz47c3,164$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,495.0436843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x28c1…a4ccbacked Jazz78c2,804$2,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,176.675561.8%34 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7d…f776backed Jazz75c2,673$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb39…ed7abacked Hornets61c2,509$1,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.222560%15 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe6e6…79b5backed Jazz52c2,483$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.1334169.5%237 W · 104 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Hornets52c2,468$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.5137448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…e019backed Hornets71c2,279$1,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.9230061.7%185 W · 115 L+23.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Hornets46c2,242$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.6126235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Hornets66c2,200$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74837954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Jazz1c2,118$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.321,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Hornets69c2,084$1,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.9914563.4%92 W · 53 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Jazz46c1,932$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.2188053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Hornets45c1,892$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.371,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Hornets55c1,700$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76972241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b6e…219fbacked Jazz40c1,665$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jazz41c1,226$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.95,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Hornets66c1,051$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.8212759.8%76 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Jazz1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101348.2%11 W · 123 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-81.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Jazz60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba68…ce61backed Jazz45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4509330.1%28 W · 65 L-15.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-39.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Jazz14c999.99$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.530443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x724f…79ddbacked Jazz33c999.87$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.96955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a6b…1a3ebacked Hornets66c999.78$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.932560%15 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6410…1ff4backed Hornets71c955.32$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.711164%71 W · 40 L+13.0wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Jazz33c901.54$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.6973051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5de8…cfb9backed Jazz22c899.99$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19710236.3%37 W · 65 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Hornets67c861.9$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.4357760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Hornets60c843.6$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.651,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Hornets64c821.73$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.8230440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf9c…57f9backed Hornets79c763.24$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.651070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Jazz33c758.97$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.371,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Jazz33c731.52$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.4247948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Hornets66c727.27$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.2712659.5%75 W · 51 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Hornets65c700$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24551037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Hornets63c699.95$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.481,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb9c…d01bbacked Hornets66c685.31$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.316560%39 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Hornets63c670.52$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.170147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x592d…532ebacked Jazz33c668.17$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.49933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-31.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6274…f988backed Hornets74c614.4$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.645855.2%32 W · 26 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Jazz34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a14…e79fbacked Hornets65c567.48$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.624654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+42.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Jazz54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017838.2%68 W · 110 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Hornets53c552.17$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.5253134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Jazz38c547.3$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.1467921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Jazz33c537.91$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.0571747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Hornets27c500$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3651,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Jazz45c500$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2271,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Hornets65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17524855.6%138 W · 110 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62dd…869abacked Hornets44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb34…59eabacked Hornets66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1706045%27 W · 33 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf15b…0934backed Jazz33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165922.2%2 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Hornets66c499.94$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.9889353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Jazz51c490.04$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9285542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Hornets66c456.88$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.8813959%82 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Jazz33c450.14$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2927735.4%98 W · 179 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Hornets46c436.96$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.9638942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfc2…9d4fbacked Hornets69c434.78$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.783669.4%25 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Jazz18c422.57$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.6919231.3%60 W · 132 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Jazz36c416.67$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15023248.7%113 W · 119 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Hornets44c400$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2241,19846.8%561 W · 637 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…53babacked Jazz41c400$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+103%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Jazz35c399.96$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9935046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked Hornets46c384.13$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.4319350.3%97 W · 96 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7679…8c3abacked Hornets65c369.51$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.3311849.2%58 W · 60 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x71e9…1248backed Hornets30c333.53$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.537622.4%17 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Jazz55c333.24$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.7225957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Jazz70c327.53$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.2761851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2400…f2b7backed Jazz62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf3…8f27backed Jazz36c309.97$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.8340726%106 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Jazz36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10827739.4%109 W · 168 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6aab…9c4cbacked Hornets44c300$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16929661.5%182 W · 114 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fa9…39a1backed Jazz39c299.99$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.9548741.9%204 W · 283 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b7…bde1backed Jazz70c287.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009739.2%38 W · 59 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Jazz31c281.98$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2372341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Hornets64c279.34$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.2375347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfab7…953abacked Jazz33c257.25$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.894632.6%15 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf7f…8995backed Jazz47c256.75$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1209451.1%48 W · 46 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Hornets39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4127631.2%86 W · 190 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ff9…e494backed Jazz33c252.36$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2835235.2%124 W · 228 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ca…ad64backed Hornets65c245.14$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Jazz33c241.43$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.2473445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7687…f19dbacked Jazz32c225.3$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb90d…7db5backed Jazz73c217.35$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.6730954%167 W · 142 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a0b…f974backed Jazz64c210.77$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1348146.9%38 W · 43 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2686…7a67backed Jazz77c207.79$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16024462.3%152 W · 92 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf19e…461abacked Hornets66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684639.1%18 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Jazz34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6845348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c33…c968backed Jazz36c200$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-38%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54f5…e936backed Jazz29c189$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8115947.8%76 W · 83 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Jazz35c181.24$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4313638.2%52 W · 84 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.