Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1bd581c13be7103749ca1a64d21230ed6693a162fc057d81e3d1e9237fc81f8

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $29,397,548
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $29,042,881

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,397,548 — the venue’s figure.

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Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 6,809 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x664c…f49cbacked No	59c	11,573,662$6,873,578 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,700,083.92	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.36per pick	39cpaid	+114.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Yes	40c	3,494,034$1,393,365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,393,365.46	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	53c	1,093,256$580,004 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$513,251.82	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6a6…9458backed Yes	44c	1,031,764$453,399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453,398.66	47	53.2%25 W · 22 L	+4.2wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc40c…f219backed Yes	44c	863,636$380,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379,999.83	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05a3…2672backed Yes	44c	854,040$376,387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376,387.42	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes	46c	845,185$386,442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386,442.18	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Yes	40c	700,000$278,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278,400	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	46c	665,868$305,318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305,318.25	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4277…31a7backed Yes	44c	604,040$266,966 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266,965.52	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Yes	40c	594,000$237,914 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237,914	92	47.8%44 W · 48 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No	49c	556,861$272,295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$284,565.66	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes	38c	515,757$198,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198,350	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked No	55c	500,000$276,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223,999.99	335	38.2%128 W · 207 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed No	56c	440,503$246,993 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193,510.06	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea40…8826backed Yes	45c	422,671$189,606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189,605.58	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b3f…764cbacked Yes	45c	422,222$188,810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188,810.08	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97cb…e4d0backed No	49c	399,710$195,862 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203,847.48	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+3.4wins	+0.26per pick	51cpaid	+54.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4be1…aa70backed Yes	40c	352,736$141,415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141,415.25	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Yes	48c	346,952$166,423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166,422.74	155	52.3%81 W · 74 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed Yes	51c	312,338$160,069 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160,069.12	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89dd…f662backed No	57c	250,000$142,433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107,566.89	27	74.1%20 W · 7 L	+7.8wins	+0.29per pick	45cpaid	+98.4%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes	48c	219,891$106,473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106,472.79	174	52.3%91 W · 83 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes	25c	218,440$55,185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55,184.84	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes	51c	203,066$102,845 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102,845.32	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bdd…c4cbbacked Yes	42c	200,000$84,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84,000	9	88.9%8 W · 1 L	+3.5wins	+0.39per pick	50cpaid	+75.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No	56c	199,999$111,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88,599.74	107	40.2%43 W · 64 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x408f…b2f4backed Yes	44c	146,361$64,399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64,398.88	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked No	59c	143,992$84,315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59,677.21	154	56.5%87 W · 67 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed No	54c	140,687$76,254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64,433.27	143	49.7%71 W · 72 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x82ba…afeabacked Yes	47c	132,628$62,387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62,387.3	153	37.3%57 W · 96 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1da…fefabacked Yes	41c	130,000$52,770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52,769.98	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No	55c	129,600$71,752 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57,848.62	425	41.6%177 W · 248 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	34c	128,585$44,232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44,231.94	387	34.4%133 W · 254 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes	39c	118,722$46,536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46,535.55	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked No	49c	117,085$57,916 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59,169.93	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+2.7wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Yes	51c	112,591$57,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57,000	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.27per pick	56cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No	66c	112,066$73,546 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38,519.51	158	44.3%70 W · 88 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes	43c	109,315$46,865 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46,865.43	1,224	43.4%531 W · 693 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No	49c	107,577$53,247 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54,329.86	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No	57c	104,885$60,061 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44,824.43	141	39%55 W · 86 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Yes	51c	102,205$52,125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52,124.55	208	44.7%93 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc29e…a2cabacked Yes	43c	102,145$43,923 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43,922.71	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-27%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Yes	39c	101,890$39,888 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,887.51	187	38%71 W · 116 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55f5…e2a0backed No	67c	101,556$67,763 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,792.45	48	70.8%34 W · 14 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	68cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No	49c	100,217$49,483 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50,733.72	299	52.5%157 W · 142 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked No	56c	100,000$55,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44,300	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb41a…5b07backed Yes	41c	98,718$40,770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40,770.36	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No	54c	98,087$53,328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44,759.55	565	41.1%232 W · 333 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Yes	41c	97,589$40,103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40,102.81	360	31.7%114 W · 246 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4879…5547backed Yes	51c	96,593$49,273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49,272.78	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked No	56c	91,546$51,266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40,280.15	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Yes	37c	91,395$33,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33,500	263	20.5%54 W · 209 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked No	48c	89,999$43,286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46,712.81	178	52.2%93 W · 85 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No	62c	80,381$49,492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,889.78	369	39.6%146 W · 223 L	-12.0wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Yes	39c	79,829$31,270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,269.59	178	40.4%72 W · 106 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f2a…c11abacked Yes	51c	77,000$39,270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,269.89	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No	51c	76,228$38,747 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37,480.59	471	44.8%211 W · 260 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ac…b964backed Yes	44c	75,000$33,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33,000	57	49.1%28 W · 29 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed No	56c	75,000$41,625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,374.97	179	49.2%88 W · 91 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	51c	73,284$37,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37,059.93	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked Yes	53c	70,000$36,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36,949.85	139	59.7%83 W · 56 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	50c	69,310$34,851 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,850.63	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No	48c	67,279$32,257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35,022.29	99	43.4%43 W · 56 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x736c…bc72backed Yes	53c	65,533$34,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,699.54	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No	50c	65,341$32,708 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,632.74	502	43.4%218 W · 284 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes	45c	62,728$28,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,000	324	29.9%97 W · 227 L	+10.4wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No	60c	62,216$37,148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,067.2	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ee8…89debacked No	50c	60,678$30,199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,478.33	59	42.4%25 W · 34 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No	51c	58,320$29,505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,814.55	484	41.9%203 W · 281 L	-16.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked No	56c	57,805$32,197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,607.59	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No	47c	57,800$27,204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,595.59	168	35.1%59 W · 109 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e78…3945backed Yes	45c	57,440$25,632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,631.7	195	29.7%58 W · 137 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed No	48c	56,644$27,428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,215.82	273	45.8%125 W · 148 L	+14.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd990…4866backed Yes	44c	56,513$25,109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,108.61	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.14per pick	42cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Yes	51c	54,795$28,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,000	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-51%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3cb…ac21backed No	61c	54,440$33,435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,004.8	131	51.1%67 W · 64 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No	61c	52,674$32,332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,341.58	250	38.8%97 W · 153 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…37cdbacked Yes	49c	50,835$25,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,000	47	21.3%10 W · 37 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes	39c	50,716$20,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,000	316	44.9%142 W · 174 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed No	51c	50,523$25,771 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,751.17	134	48.5%65 W · 69 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c14…f82bbacked Yes	38c	50,051$19,017 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,016.57	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.35per pick	55cpaid	-68.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x78c6…4710backed Yes	52c	50,000$26,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,999.97	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	34cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc658…64acbacked Yes	50c	49,911$24,852 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,851.94	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	35cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed No	51c	49,501$25,403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,098	441	44%194 W · 247 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	38c	48,552$18,418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,418.45	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed Yes	47c	48,285$22,809 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,808.86	60	45%27 W · 33 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2a3…3688backed Yes	42c	47,800$20,124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,123.8	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.4wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85e8…474abacked No	56c	45,827$25,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,306.49	78	43.6%34 W · 44 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes	40c	45,720$18,073 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,073.12	319	45.5%145 W · 174 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e17…d3d8backed Yes	53c	45,322$24,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,000	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No	56c	44,999$25,065 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,934.68	100	56%56 W · 44 L	+11.6wins	+0.12per pick	44cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8d63…ba27backed Yes	53c	41,980$22,456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,455.87	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed No	49c	41,895$20,562 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,332.76	135	33.3%45 W · 90 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No	51c	41,650$21,125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,524.31	476	43.3%206 W · 270 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No	56c	40,075$22,326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,749.17	89	43.8%39 W · 50 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b6…2fefbacked Yes	44c	40,000$17,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,679.97	39	71.8%28 W · 11 L	+4.4wins	+0.11per pick	60cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked No	49c	40,000$19,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,439.76	99	48.5%48 W · 51 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes	41c	39,506$16,269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,268.68	658	35%230 W · 428 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb014…a357backed No	62c	38,482$23,852 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,630.33	156	42.9%67 W · 89 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?this page
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?Yes won
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event