NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22a3dea5f7dad53fc630e0c9eb8139eb891d31846731b1f0e98793982f6c32da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Heat, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $169,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,504
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 571 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d15…a4a4backed Heat | 50c | 10,000$4,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,996 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lakers | 44c | 8,428$3,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,751.63 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Lakers | 50c | 7,152$3,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,575.83 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab3…9c34backed Heat | 54c | 7,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Heat | 52c | 4,963$2,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,578.1 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Heat | 23c | 4,164$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.16 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Heat | 37c | 4,147$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.57 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Heat | 42c | 3,408$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.53 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lakers | 49c | 3,132$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.88 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Lakers | 65c | 3,033$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.21 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Lakers | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Heat | 34c | 2,920$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.98 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Lakers | 62c | 2,792$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.98 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7d…f776backed Lakers | 56c | 2,699$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.71 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Lakers | 29c | 2,406$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.22 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Lakers | 39c | 2,307$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.75 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Heat | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Heat | 50c | 1,889$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.44 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Heat | 44c | 1,820$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.13 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Lakers | 65c | 1,623$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.32 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f90…38e7backed Heat | 72c | 1,584$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Lakers | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Heat | 37c | 1,452$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.68 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x808f…89d1backed Heat | 71c | 1,412$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…bde1backed Heat | 44c | 1,393$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.46 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80eb…5bfcbacked Heat | 72c | 1,392$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Heat | 47c | 1,349$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.99 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Heat | 33c | 1,098$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.25 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Heat | 39c | 1,065$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.35 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Lakers | 53c | 1,032$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.01 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Heat | 47c | 1,018$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.29 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Heat | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Heat | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b8b4backed Heat | 53c | 999.97$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Lakers | 64c | 999.9$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.96 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Heat | 35c | 971.88$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.56 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Lakers | 50c | 887.47$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.74 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Lakers | 74c | 851.56$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.41 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Lakers | 63c | 822$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.14 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Heat | 30c | 777$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.1 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c3…853cbacked Lakers | 66c | 732.69$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.69 | 145 | 67.6%98 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Heat | 54c | 711.3$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.61 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…74aebacked Heat | 30c | 684.89$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Lakers | 70c | 668.48$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.83 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x592d…532ebacked Heat | 35c | 628.34$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c93bbacked Heat | 17c | 624.71$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.12 | 634 | 45.1%286 W · 348 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Heat | 34c | 599.99$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Heat | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Heat | 38c | 528.95$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Heat | 40c | 512.9$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.16 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lakers | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Lakers | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Lakers | 65c | 500$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.84 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…c364backed Heat | 6c | 499.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Heat | 33c | 499.89$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.96 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Heat | 35c | 453$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.55 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Lakers | 42c | 447.81$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.49 | 266 | 59%157 W · 109 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Lakers | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Lakers | 65c | 440$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.52 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e41…e00cbacked Heat | 50c | 422.48$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea6…d1ccbacked Lakers | 66c | 404.49$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.53 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab7…f4ddbacked Heat | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x453c…f5eebacked Lakers | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +5.2wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Lakers | 30c | 400$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lakers | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc2…9d4fbacked Lakers | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Heat | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62dd…869abacked Lakers | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfab7…953abacked Heat | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Lakers | 64c | 399.86$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.95 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x649c…6e4fbacked Heat | 31c | 384.06$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.06 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Heat | 36c | 372.2$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.21 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Lakers | 67c | 358.21$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.21 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…2a7bbacked Lakers | 43c | 352.13$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.13 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa826…f823backed Lakers | 29c | 345$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.95 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Lakers | 67c | 343.28$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.28 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc248…4aebbacked Lakers | 63c | 334.56$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Heat | 34c | 314.37$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.89 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Heat | 48c | 313.4$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7f…8995backed Heat | 33c | 300.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Heat | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Heat | 70c | 300$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…85a1backed Heat | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Lakers | 55c | 300$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.5 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Lakers | 42c | 299.99$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…e512backed Heat | 35c | 299.96$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Heat | 34c | 294.83$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.19 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Heat | 34c | 292.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Lakers | 64c | 282.93$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.9 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Heat | 59c | 281.79$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.93 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16d5…4ca7backed Lakers | 70c | 277.55$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Heat | 35c | 268.37$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.93 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Heat | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 196 | 50%98 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0dacbacked Lakers | 77c | 249.84$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.46 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Heat | 36c | 249.69$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.92 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Lakers | 66c | 244$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.96 | 272 | 46.7%127 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Lakers | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Heat | 6c | 221.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Heat | 37c | 221.96$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.12 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Lakers | 57c | 214.14$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.87 | 352 | 35.2%124 W · 228 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.