TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0ea6…d1cc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
31
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$18.08
Hornets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.7
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.94
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$127
Kings vs. Warriorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20.95
Knicks vs. Sunsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$129
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+49.3%+$165
76ers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$234
Lakers vs. 76ersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+92.3%+$240
Timberwolves vs. Pelicansbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+41%+$87.2
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$278.09
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.64
Suns vs. Warriorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+96.1%+$49
Timberwolves vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$44.81
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$235
Heat vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+51.5%+$137.53
All 19 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$88
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. UNCW Seahawksbacked Campbell Fighting Camels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$80.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$57.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+132.6%+$114
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+47.1%+$38.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Sabresbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.