Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d627a7f0de92fa190b9cb5c3d395ef0647b3b719b1e0c157bac233b2f58215e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof XLG Gaming, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c56…3e41backed XLG Gaming | 1c | 13,759$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked XLG Gaming | 31c | 6,305$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.55 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed NRG | 69c | 6,033$4,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.77 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8c…4449backed NRG | 68c | 5,990$4,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…d7eabacked NRG | 67c | 5,986$4,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked NRG | 68c | 5,500$3,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.98 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked XLG Gaming | 31c | 4,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.99 | 267 | 38.2%102 W · 165 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked XLG Gaming | 12c | 3,634$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.15 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked NRG | 69c | 3,623$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.19 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked XLG Gaming | 16c | 3,000$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.9 | 166 | 39.2%65 W · 101 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked XLG Gaming | 32c | 2,687$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.99 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…1c3bbacked XLG Gaming | 10c | 2,342$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.07 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed NRG | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed XLG Gaming | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.98 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked XLG Gaming | 4c | 1,784$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.93 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed XLG Gaming | 19c | 1,117$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.46 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked XLG Gaming | 12c | 1,057$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.19 | 174 | 63.8%111 W · 63 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed XLG Gaming | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked XLG Gaming | 28c | 962.59$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.78 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked NRG | 74c | 769$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.28 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed XLG Gaming | 30c | 718.71$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.61 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed XLG Gaming | 33c | 607.66$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.45 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed NRG | 67c | 584.98$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.04 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +11.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c3…16ccbacked NRG | 69c | 583.59$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.59 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked XLG Gaming | 13c | 569.44$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.82 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c4…0216backed NRG | 68c | 554.08$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabab…0b54backed XLG Gaming | 33c | 533.12$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…97ecbacked XLG Gaming | 33c | 503.03$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe312…2d96backed XLG Gaming | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e0…2173backed XLG Gaming | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed XLG Gaming | 32c | 499.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa50b…22dabacked XLG Gaming | 15c | 499.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x688a…26bebacked XLG Gaming | 33c | 487.88$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed NRG | 69c | 483.58$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.91 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed NRG | 68c | 404.04$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.72 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked XLG Gaming | 21c | 394$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.21 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed XLG Gaming | 32c | 382.11$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.09 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked NRG | 66c | 298.75$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.58 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed NRG | 77c | 292.78$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.18 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked NRG | 68c | 257.9$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.53 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01ef…2387backed XLG Gaming | 8c | 251.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed NRG | 79c | 228.94$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 321 | 52.6%169 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed XLG Gaming | 5c | 228.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed XLG Gaming | 32c | 219.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.39 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked NRG | 66c | 200.01$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.67 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed NRG | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 342 | 53.2%182 W · 160 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked XLG Gaming | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…b822backed NRG | 67c | 199.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5b…0324backed XLG Gaming | 26c | 199.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed XLG Gaming | 31c | 191.3$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27e…44a3backed NRG | 68c | 191.18$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed XLG Gaming | 30c | 168.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed NRG | 69c | 168$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked XLG Gaming | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d8…6233backed NRG | 68c | 154.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7215…7cb0backed NRG | 69c | 154.2$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +9.3wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed XLG Gaming | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…8795backed XLG Gaming | 33c | 149.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…ed59backed NRG | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed NRG | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 69cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bfd8backed NRG | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…f756backed XLG Gaming | 33c | 143.03$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked NRG | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 63 | 66.7%42 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4814…9a18backed NRG | 75c | 133.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked NRG | 76c | 131.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b1…0e7bbacked NRG | 67c | 126$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed XLG Gaming | 31c | 123.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca7…b98bbacked XLG Gaming | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea6…d1ccbacked NRG | 68c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…e885backed NRG | 68c | 119.93$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed XLG Gaming | 16c | 119.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed NRG | 69c | 114.35$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa085…7fccbacked XLG Gaming | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed XLG Gaming | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c17…f4f0backed NRG | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed NRG | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed XLG Gaming | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked XLG Gaming | 15c | 97.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked XLG Gaming | 33c | 95.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ee…eb4fbacked NRG | 69c | 94.2$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d61…0e2cbacked XLG Gaming | 33c | 91.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…3a5fbacked NRG | 70c | 86.87$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…c0d1backed NRG | 69c | 86.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 218 | 59.2%129 W · 89 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e7…a447backed NRG | 70c | 86.13$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked XLG Gaming | 13c | 79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed XLG Gaming | 31c | 77.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 184 | 57.1%105 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f2…1183backed NRG | 68c | 74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe87…83d6backed NRG | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89c8…bb9ebacked NRG | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed NRG | 70c | 71.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed NRG | 67c | 71.52$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb9…cb5dbacked NRG | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ed…ed61backed XLG Gaming | 32c | 69.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed NRG | 68c | 64.71$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed NRG | 69c | 61.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked XLG Gaming | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be4…dfd8backed XLG Gaming | 32c | 59.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…e01dbacked XLG Gaming | 32c | 59.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cd…e2abbacked NRG | 68c | 58.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0901…f1c5backed NRG | 69c | 58.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagethis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)NRG won
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG - Map 1 WinnerNRG won
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG - Map 2 WinnerNRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.