TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
NRGof XLG Gaming, NRG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,218
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,620

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,218 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x084b…3de6backed XLG Gaming22c5,473$1,230 inLost-$1,230.195650%28 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked XLG Gaming22c3,171$687 inLost-$686.5419248.4%93 W · 99 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked NRG70c2,700$1,890 inWon+$8105642.9%24 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x858e…1c3bbacked XLG Gaming17c2,371$403 inLost-$402.761963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed NRG72c2,010$1,449 inWon+$560.728751.7%45 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0738…6392backed NRG72c1,398$1,000 inWon+$397.692157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed XLG Gaming30c1,026$308 inLost-$307.933759.6%201 W · 136 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked XLG Gaming29c961.73$283 inLost-$283.191,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fc2…64d1backed XLG Gaming29c724.15$210 inLost-$2104845.8%22 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed XLG Gaming26c615.98$163 inLost-$162.7970251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab4d…554bbacked XLG Gaming17c590$100 inLost-$100.33941%16 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed XLG Gaming34c312.41$106 inLost-$106.223852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed XLG Gaming32c309.93$98 inLost-$98.59953.5%53 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d43…3f6cbacked NRG74c254.51$188 inWon+$66.639965.7%65 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed NRG79c254.33$202 inWon+$52.681,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94f8…e851backed NRG71c205.55$146 inWon+$59.616256.5%35 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2c3…16ccbacked XLG Gaming57c176.21$100 inLost-$1008343.4%36 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked XLG Gaming30c173.82$52 inLost-$51.71,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked NRG56c120.35$67 inWon+$52.9561035.9%219 W · 391 L-17.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cde…3a5fbacked NRG72c104.97$76 inWon+$29.39666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed XLG Gaming29c100$29 inLost-$2923644.9%106 W · 130 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eb3…0710backed NRG71c95.86$68 inWon+$27.8560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0128…d18abacked NRG71c91$65 inWon+$26.398151.9%42 W · 39 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked XLG Gaming28c80$22 inLost-$22.424457.8%141 W · 103 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8d3…c0d1backed NRG73c75.56$55 inWon+$20.4921859.2%129 W · 89 L+14.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf21d…922bbacked XLG Gaming30c73.33$22 inLost-$226063.3%38 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked XLG Gaming30c69.2$21 inLost-$20.7621240.1%85 W · 127 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a55…c349backed XLG Gaming20c68.2$14 inLost-$13.641216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-57%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x601a…d1b1backed NRG72c66.67$48 inWon+$18.671070%7 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked XLG Gaming28c63$18 inLost-$17.6426738.2%102 W · 165 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked XLG Gaming28c52.55$15 inLost-$14.7155152.5%289 W · 262 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5ee…eb4fbacked XLG Gaming29c51.72$15 inLost-$153455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x21d3…6c27backed NRG77c44.51$34 inWon+$10.172759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5837…9a00backed NRG72c41.67$30 inWon+$11.6716050.6%81 W · 79 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61c3…466cbacked NRG72c20.14$14 inWon+$5.64666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.