TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd9e7…a447

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Lol, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 56 out of 100; worst Serie A at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT4560%27 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Veronika Podrezbacked Elisabetta Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.37
BMW Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Alex Molcanbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$24.6
BMW Open: Alexander Blockx vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$92.46
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Sloane Stephens vs Tatjana Mariabacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$631Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$630.58
Madrid: Francesca Jones vs Elizabeth Mandlikbacked Elizabeth Mandlik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.83
Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Dino Prizmicbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+152.5%+$73.48
Bucharest Open: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.38
Bucharest Open: Sebastian Baez vs Titouan Droguetbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Barletta: Francesco Forti vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Vitaliy Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+73.1%+$14.25
Menorca: Valentin Royer vs Edas Butvilasbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.52
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Stefan Haita vs Joel Schwaerzlerbacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$16.93
Miyazaki: Liam Broady vs Kaichi Uchidabacked Kaichi Uchida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Alicante: Sebastian Ofner vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Dubrovnik: Mayar Sherif vs Leyre Romero Gormazbacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$539Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+58.5%+$315.56
Dubrovnik: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Tena Lukasbacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.63
Split: Eliakim Coulibaly vs Alexander Vasilevbacked Eliakim Coulibaly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Naples: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$21.78
Yokkaichi: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Yuta Shimizubacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Miami Open: Martin Landaluce vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$17.14
Dubrovnik: Mayar Sherif vs Mia Risticbacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Bucaramanga: Vladyslav Orlov vs Nicolas Villalonbacked Vladyslav Orlov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Miami Open: Sebastian Korda vs Martin Landalucebacked Sebastian Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Yokkaichi: James McCabe vs Andre Ilaganbacked James McCabe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.54
Miami Open: Elina Svitolina vs Hailey Baptistebacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT2466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: SemperFi Esports vs Ground Zero (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Ground Zero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Counter-Strike: B8 vs NRG (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Favbet (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs MANA eSports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.99
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$11.49
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group Stagebacked MAGICOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Hashiras (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stagebacked Hashiras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs FOKUS (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Acend (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stagebacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$67.23
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs KOLESIE (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group Bbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs AaB esport (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group Abacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.5
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs los kogutos (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffsbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+41.3%+$41.27
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #18 Group Cbacked CSDIILIT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: G2 vs NIP (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+44.9%+$31.45
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs Tricked (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+51.5%+$25.76
Counter-Strike: BIG vs illwill (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+30.9%+$4.33
Counter-Strike: K27 vs TDK (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Playoffsbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Omega (BO3) - Myskill Pro League Playoffsbacked Omega · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+39.6%+$5.95
All 24 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.16
Valorant: Pcific Esports vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.08
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$309
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
Valorant: Fnatic vs ULF Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+36%+$39.64
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: G2 Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.22
Valorant: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$49.04
Valorant: NRG vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+56.3%+$36.56
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+31.6%+$18.95
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+117.4%+$58.7
Valorant: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+43.6%+$26.13
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+61.7%+$37.04
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST6100%6 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Caio Borralho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+31.6%+$76.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$60.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SHL: Oerebro HK vs. Froelunda HCbacked Froelunda HC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$63.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.