CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs MANA eSports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8d82ff379f32c7ff5b9a0bba563af424ecb64866fed3aea75cf65ed6536fa4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eternal Fireof Eternal Fire, MANA eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,980 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Eternal Fire | 79c | 2,442$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.91 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed MANA eSports | 25c | 2,269$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.03 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MANA eSports | 21c | 2,259$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.84 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Eternal Fire | 76c | 2,051$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.16 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Eternal Fire | 76c | 867.02$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.38 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed MANA eSports | 15c | 718.96$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.79 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1f…a252backed MANA eSports | 14c | 691.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…056bbacked Eternal Fire | 69c | 588.8$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.3 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MANA eSports | 34c | 572.41$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.64 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Eternal Fire | 79c | 530.6$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.66 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed MANA eSports | 18c | 489.8$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.68 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked MANA eSports | 24c | 488.94$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.1 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Eternal Fire | 71c | 386.39$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.45 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed MANA eSports | 30c | 386.11$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.11 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed MANA eSports | 31c | 312$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.55 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked Eternal Fire | 74c | 310$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.35 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked Eternal Fire | 74c | 299.99$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed MANA eSports | 25c | 294$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.46 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked MANA eSports | 22c | 294$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed MANA eSports | 13c | 286.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked MANA eSports | 30c | 280.75$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.23 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked MANA eSports | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Eternal Fire | 72c | 224.19$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.73 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf82c…0f6fbacked Eternal Fire | 70c | 190.21$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.94 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…a15fbacked Eternal Fire | 74c | 190$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.53 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Eternal Fire | 69c | 177.17$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked MANA eSports | 20c | 165$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked MANA eSports | 24c | 164$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed MANA eSports | 20c | 133$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed MANA eSports | 22c | 129.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked MANA eSports | 19c | 127$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Eternal Fire | 74c | 122.38$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked MANA eSports | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed MANA eSports | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed MANA eSports | 27c | 105.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked MANA eSports | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Eternal Fire | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked MANA eSports | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed MANA eSports | 20c | 95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed MANA eSports | 20c | 87.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8821…32c6backed Eternal Fire | 74c | 87.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Eternal Fire | 77c | 85.09$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MANA eSports | 31c | 77.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked MANA eSports | 22c | 75.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MANA eSports | 21c | 73.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…a933backed MANA eSports | 22c | 69.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Eternal Fire | 72c | 69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x726a…196bbacked MANA eSports | 26c | 68.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Eternal Fire | 75c | 64.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed MANA eSports | 19c | 61.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2e…2a36backed MANA eSports | 24c | 55.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bf…dc9ebacked Eternal Fire | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked MANA eSports | 29c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed MANA eSports | 25c | 42.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed MANA eSports | 30c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked MANA eSports | 30c | 41.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed Eternal Fire | 73c | 39.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…9332backed Eternal Fire | 77c | 38.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…d5f4backed MANA eSports | 30c | 36.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Eternal Fire | 77c | 33.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 275 | 56.7%156 W · 119 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba6…2a7ebacked Eternal Fire | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e7…a447backed Eternal Fire | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9811…6875backed Eternal Fire | 73c | 16.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dc…a2ecbacked Eternal Fire | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004c…1983backed Eternal Fire | 72c | 15.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Eternal Fire | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Eternal Fire | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Eternal Fire | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs MANA eSports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs MANA eSports - Map 1 WinnerEternal Fire won
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs MANA eSports - Map 2 WinnerEternal Fire won
- Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs MANA eSports (+1.5)Eternal Fire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.