CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2146373d7319189318532daa363a054ef22946aefbd205edce437bcd8306b68d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eternal Fireof Eternal Fire, MANA eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,343 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Eternal Fire | 65c | 5,488$3,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.68 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed MANA eSports | 51c | 2,295$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.63 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MANA eSports | 38c | 2,013$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.11 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Eternal Fire | 53c | 1,811$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.37 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed MANA eSports | 46c | 1,662$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.6 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed MANA eSports | 47c | 939.52$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.58 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed MANA eSports | 33c | 691.27$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.31 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MANA eSports | 59c | 581.22$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.54 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MANA eSports | 36c | 518$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.15 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Eternal Fire | 42c | 485.96$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.72 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Eternal Fire | 63c | 396$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.52 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Eternal Fire | 63c | 363.49$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.49 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…44a3backed MANA eSports | 47c | 350$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Eternal Fire | 54c | 349$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.54 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked MANA eSports | 63c | 308.01$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.86 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Eternal Fire | 52c | 305.08$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.74 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed MANA eSports | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Eternal Fire | 56c | 294.32$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.21 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Eternal Fire | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc38d…850abacked Eternal Fire | 70c | 225.69$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.71 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Eternal Fire | 59c | 199.85$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.09 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed Eternal Fire | 45c | 167.4$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked MANA eSports | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x126a…2e3ebacked MANA eSports | 50c | 149.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked MANA eSports | 44c | 146.8$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.89 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Eternal Fire | 50c | 140.67$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.95 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked MANA eSports | 67c | 139.9$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.43 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked MANA eSports | 51c | 135.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.74 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa861…2899backed MANA eSports | 37c | 132.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked MANA eSports | 12c | 128.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed MANA eSports | 46c | 124.11$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.09 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed MANA eSports | 63c | 97.91$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.79 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ae…191cbacked MANA eSports | 45c | 92.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MANA eSports | 28c | 83.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Eternal Fire | 32c | 83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.44 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed MANA eSports | 47c | 77.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed MANA eSports | 33c | 74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed MANA eSports | 29c | 73.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Eternal Fire | 68c | 73.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Eternal Fire | 52c | 66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Eternal Fire | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked MANA eSports | 33c | 57.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…d3dfbacked Eternal Fire | 45c | 49.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ee…c91dbacked MANA eSports | 58c | 48.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked MANA eSports | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Eternal Fire | 31c | 45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Eternal Fire | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Eternal Fire | 44c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 52 | 11.5%6 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed MANA eSports | 41c | 38.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed MANA eSports | 57c | 31.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked MANA eSports | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2f…1bffbacked MANA eSports | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Eternal Fire | 55c | 29.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 275 | 56.7%156 W · 119 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a7…a593backed MANA eSports | 47c | 26.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Eternal Fire | 49c | 23.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdde…af48backed MANA eSports | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 139 | 64%89 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…3c47backed Eternal Fire | 65c | 19.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Eternal Fire | 55c | 18.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…9332backed Eternal Fire | 62c | 18.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…4cc3backed Eternal Fire | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 169 | 58%98 W · 71 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs MANA eSports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs MANA eSports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 PlayoffsEternal Fire won
- Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs MANA eSports - Map 1 WinnerEternal Fire won
- Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs MANA eSports (+1.5)Eternal Fire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.