CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Omega (BO3) - Myskill Pro League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d1bbedbe7bb3cf3a2cce308d872395b8d976f5b5f42e21c36af3bbc8b2fccce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Omegaof HOTU, Omega
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Omega | 51c | 1,744$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.17 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed HOTU | 64c | 1,687$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.61 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Omega | 36c | 1,241$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.4 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed HOTU | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed HOTU | 3c | 959.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed HOTU | 56c | 536.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Omega | 33c | 500$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…0470backed HOTU | 67c | 405$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.85 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Omega | 18c | 299.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Omega | 45c | 294.07$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.74 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd7…05d8backed Omega | 50c | 257.76$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.45 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Omega | 35c | 250$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.5 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed HOTU | 24c | 248.94$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4013…406bbacked HOTU | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.38 | 150 | 63.3%95 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked HOTU | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ac…ae05backed HOTU | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -64%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Omega | 36c | 189.03$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.32 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed HOTU | 58c | 187.35$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.66 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed HOTU | 59c | 170.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…41cbbacked HOTU | 75c | 166.59$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.68 | 87 | 70.1%61 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Omega | 45c | 155.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.84 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfe…d83fbacked Omega | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HOTU | 39c | 125.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…3533backed Omega | 60c | 123.24$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6b…2a84backed HOTU | 64c | 103.13$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Omega | 37c | 102.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.41 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked HOTU | 50c | 82.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked Omega | 19c | 80$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 118 | 30.5%36 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked HOTU | 70c | 71.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked HOTU | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Omega | 19c | 59.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.59 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e54…f6a8backed HOTU | 73c | 54.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6e…8024backed Omega | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0d…c09abacked Omega | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…d8cebacked HOTU | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa026…3ce2backed HOTU | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e7…a447backed Omega | 72c | 20.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked HOTU | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Omega (BO3) - Myskill Pro League Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Omega - Map 1 WinnerOmega won
- Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Omega - Map 2 WinnerHOTU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.