TailMyPicks

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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
G2 Esportsof G2 Esports, XLG Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,431
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$115,469

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,431 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked XLG Gaming24c19,965$4,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,708.377236.1%26 W · 46 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-20.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed G2 Esports76c19,220$14,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,547.238751.7%45 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked G2 Esports75c6,628$5,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,626.678162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb877…a13fbacked XLG Gaming0c6,429$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.624732%79 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked XLG Gaming23c5,727$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.3326838.1%102 W · 166 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked G2 Esports77c5,000$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1506365.1%41 W · 22 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x697f…b756backed XLG Gaming25c4,431$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.5213345.9%61 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed XLG Gaming24c3,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7204131.7%13 W · 28 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-26.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked XLG Gaming25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed G2 Esports74c1,997$1,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.1534356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed XLG Gaming25c1,838$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.223447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe168…5290backed XLG Gaming19c1,800$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed G2 Esports75c1,632$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.36038.3%23 W · 37 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked XLG Gaming24c1,553$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.7834847.4%165 W · 183 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed XLG Gaming24c1,500$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3654637%17 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed XLG Gaming11c1,484$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.8510956%61 W · 48 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x70c1…5f88backed XLG Gaming18c1,424$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.7830%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed XLG Gaming1c1,378$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.762156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked XLG Gaming25c1,343$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.7615850%79 W · 79 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…a8f4backed XLG Gaming32c1,314$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.061631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1386…a692backed XLG Gaming24c1,201$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.33825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-39.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked XLG Gaming25c1,098$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.493246.9%15 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+37.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x24eb…75eebacked G2 Esports76c1,070$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.82045%9 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed XLG Gaming24c1,060$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.465246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed G2 Esports75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25016142.9%69 W · 92 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ba0…24d5backed XLG Gaming13c964.48$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.864057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked XLG Gaming22c934.96$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.9961035.9%219 W · 391 L-17.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed XLG Gaming22c835.77$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.875728.1%16 W · 41 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-29%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked XLG Gaming24c814$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.3612850%64 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2c3…16ccbacked XLG Gaming25c788.85$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008343.4%36 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed XLG Gaming25c757.67$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.427456.8%42 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa390…c7d9backed XLG Gaming20c745.22$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508020%16 W · 64 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed G2 Esports78c744$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed XLG Gaming23c740.34$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-46.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked XLG Gaming26c659.51$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.9968458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x74c5…6cb7backed G2 Esports76c658.38$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.38475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+64.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked G2 Esports74c622.71$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.485749.1%28 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd116…c736backed XLG Gaming20c612.42$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.113855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked G2 Esports75c600$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15013759.9%82 W · 55 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb90…8dd8backed XLG Gaming3c595$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1630%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed G2 Esports74c578.28$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.571861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+11.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed XLG Gaming24c513$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.123145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked XLG Gaming25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12516639.2%65 W · 101 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked G2 Esports76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick67cpaid+27.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed XLG Gaming25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12528740.8%117 W · 170 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked XLG Gaming25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f18…2080backed G2 Esports78c499.99$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed XLG Gaming23c499.96$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.999837.8%37 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed XLG Gaming11c465.01$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0917537.7%66 W · 109 L-14.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked G2 Esports73c463.75$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.81,42251.3%729 W · 693 L+49.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed XLG Gaming33c454.55$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked G2 Esports71c417.4$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2865559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed XLG Gaming4c409.36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3926634.6%92 W · 174 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed G2 Esports77c403.97$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.09540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked G2 Esports75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10086747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed XLG Gaming25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004443.2%19 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+34.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed XLG Gaming25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9eea…d62ebacked XLG Gaming6c390.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb321…df2bbacked G2 Esports70c390.68$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.63475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed XLG Gaming23c369.57$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8524047.9%115 W · 125 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8fd…40ebbacked G2 Esports76c344.17$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+36.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7ea…bbb3backed XLG Gaming32c304.15$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.221625%4 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-60.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed XLG Gaming29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877650%38 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x833c…42b4backed XLG Gaming18c274.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.465927.1%16 W · 43 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa085…7fccbacked G2 Esports76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1611153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38ce…5431backed G2 Esports76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.164560%27 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked G2 Esports75c260.69$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.171,38047.1%650 W · 730 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x697e…c4dfbacked G2 Esports77c254$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.421376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick72cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb758…dd73backed XLG Gaming25c250$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.525347%119 W · 134 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55f8…ac78backed XLG Gaming16c241.37$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.582441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d3…c0d1backed G2 Esports75c238.64$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4822058.6%129 W · 91 L+13.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5add…f36fbacked XLG Gaming26c233.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605549.1%27 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x429f…7f2dbacked XLG Gaming14c227.96$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322213.6%3 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-41.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba58…6d74backed G2 Esports75c212.79$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6225555.7%142 W · 113 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eb9…cb5dbacked G2 Esports78c210$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.215145%68 W · 83 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked XLG Gaming24c209$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.164535.6%16 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked XLG Gaming29c207.17$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6025536.9%94 W · 161 L-0.9wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2116…d3c2backed G2 Esports68c206.68$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.14450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+25.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed XLG Gaming24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489746.4%45 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0825…5e07backed G2 Esports76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485054%27 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed XLG Gaming25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509651%49 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xafb2…2825backed G2 Esports76c199.99$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+59.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb54…ed59backed G2 Esports76c197.37$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3713540.7%55 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3edb…5280backed G2 Esports77c194.81$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.811060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fc5…b698backed G2 Esports75c181.33$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.335050%25 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed G2 Esports76c180$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.28638.4%33 W · 53 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed XLG Gaming24c170.75$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.981540%6 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked G2 Esports76c168.46$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.433253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x786a…9cd5backed XLG Gaming26c159$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed G2 Esports76c154$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7154542.2%230 W · 315 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked G2 Esports72c153.65$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.021478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+24.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed G2 Esports79c150.33$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2131634.2%108 W · 208 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed XLG Gaming13c149.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+37.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8442…9df5backed G2 Esports78c148.58$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.434065%26 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed G2 Esports78c143.24$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.519750.5%49 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe200…5886backed G2 Esports75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.333259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a18…bfdfbacked G2 Esports76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b1…1ac5backed G2 Esports76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.583256.3%18 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7264…af67backed G2 Esports76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.58475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked XLG Gaming23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025943.2%112 W · 147 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.