Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8992fc1c022c0102ffa566514d00262fe6a4570f96bd72bb2ae5f24901e427fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Esportsof G2 Esports, XLG Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,270
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,270 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked XLG Gaming | 49c | 5,229$2,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,562.03 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked G2 Esports | 51c | 5,017$2,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450.17 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed XLG Gaming | 48c | 1,015$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.25 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed G2 Esports | 51c | 605$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.45 | 260 | 51.9%135 W · 125 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked XLG Gaming | 49c | 592$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.08 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked G2 Esports | 52c | 570.52$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.85 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed XLG Gaming | 51c | 249.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.49 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked G2 Esports | 51c | 196.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.34 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb9…cb5dbacked G2 Esports | 52c | 193.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.35 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed G2 Esports | 50c | 149.02$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb905…5825backed G2 Esports | 49c | 140$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed XLG Gaming | 50c | 108$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…2d98backed G2 Esports | 52c | 100.44$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.21 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4e…2378backed G2 Esports | 52c | 78.17$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc20d…8306backed G2 Esports | 52c | 64.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked G2 Esports | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed XLG Gaming | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…48d8backed G2 Esports | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a1…7c9dbacked G2 Esports | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked XLG Gaming | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b21…652cbacked G2 Esports | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group StageG2 Esports won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.