Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3df7d09f2bd60821081045a276a9821da48698aa156f6ffee1c8a6ca0b6dc6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Esportsof G2 Esports, XLG Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked G2 Esports | 76c | 8,000$6,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.41 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x370d…a9e0backed XLG Gaming | 12c | 6,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked XLG Gaming | 26c | 5,698$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.98 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked XLG Gaming | 27c | 4,319$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.75 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed G2 Esports | 69c | 4,049$2,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.29 | 260 | 50%130 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked XLG Gaming | 24c | 4,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 267 | 38.2%102 W · 165 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ea…bbb3backed XLG Gaming | 21c | 3,744$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.95 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked XLG Gaming | 28c | 3,628$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.42 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed XLG Gaming | 30c | 2,769$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.53 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed XLG Gaming | 24c | 2,650$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed G2 Esports | 74c | 1,700$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.99 | 260 | 51.9%135 W · 125 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed XLG Gaming | 25c | 1,530$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.01 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed G2 Esports | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0002…103ebacked G2 Esports | 72c | 1,200$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed XLG Gaming | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked XLG Gaming | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…ba7bbacked XLG Gaming | 24c | 900$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked G2 Esports | 70c | 861.54$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.54 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed G2 Esports | 76c | 791.36$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.27 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x207f…019dbacked XLG Gaming | 18c | 763.8$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked G2 Esports | 77c | 728.31$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.51 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed G2 Esports | 71c | 682.95$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.8 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed G2 Esports | 71c | 654.58$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.1 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…9ef3backed G2 Esports | 65c | 619.3$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed XLG Gaming | 29c | 608.58$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.49 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x757f…311dbacked G2 Esports | 63c | 540.79$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.79 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked XLG Gaming | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed G2 Esports | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5024…b8bcbacked G2 Esports | 77c | 489.74$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.64 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed G2 Esports | 71c | 478.87$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.87 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3dd…5300backed XLG Gaming | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed G2 Esports | 77c | 390.4$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.79 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed G2 Esports | 61c | 369.05$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.05 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked XLG Gaming | 14c | 339.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed G2 Esports | 75c | 333$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed G2 Esports | 77c | 300.24$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.09 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d70…0593backed XLG Gaming | 36c | 278.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked XLG Gaming | 24c | 276.81$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.43 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed XLG Gaming | 20c | 265$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0825…5e07backed G2 Esports | 76c | 261.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.45 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa7…2bb4backed G2 Esports | 70c | 258.46$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.46 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed G2 Esports | 67c | 255.78$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.19 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…4ca4backed G2 Esports | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 32 | 84.4%27 W · 5 L | +7.5wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7c…e500backed XLG Gaming | 24c | 200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…6d74backed G2 Esports | 72c | 194.44$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 255 | 55.7%142 W · 113 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8abe…61debacked G2 Esports | 72c | 181.72$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -72%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed XLG Gaming | 27c | 178.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked XLG Gaming | 30c | 150.4$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ae…31dfbacked XLG Gaming | 11c | 137.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…c0d1backed G2 Esports | 76c | 131.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 218 | 59.2%129 W · 89 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked XLG Gaming | 26c | 131.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed G2 Esports | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49df…f885backed XLG Gaming | 11c | 122.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…9a00backed G2 Esports | 62c | 120$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked XLG Gaming | 35c | 119.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked XLG Gaming | 38c | 114$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked XLG Gaming | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67da…9da8backed XLG Gaming | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed XLG Gaming | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1445…614abacked G2 Esports | 72c | 84.75$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed G2 Esports | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked G2 Esports | 59c | 64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed XLG Gaming | 24c | 61.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed XLG Gaming | 25c | 61.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked G2 Esports | 72c | 58.82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a56…c6e0backed G2 Esports | 77c | 48.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…3841backed XLG Gaming | 28c | 47.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…c605backed G2 Esports | 75c | 31.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked G2 Esports | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed G2 Esports | 62c | 28.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked G2 Esports | 73c | 16.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)G2 Esports won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group StageG2 Esports won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.