Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x241e07d2d30bc29c7b0954f510d2ffb492897bfb2ecb64c718b9961e273cd676
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Esportsof G2 Esports, XLG Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed XLG Gaming | 46c | 8,143$3,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,754.4 | 260 | 50%130 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed G2 Esports | 70c | 5,089$3,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.05 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked G2 Esports | 68c | 3,197$2,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.17 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed G2 Esports | 64c | 2,877$1,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.52 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed XLG Gaming | 39c | 2,465$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.43 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ea…bbb3backed G2 Esports | 65c | 2,199$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.59 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed XLG Gaming | 35c | 2,050$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.29 | 260 | 51.9%135 W · 125 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked XLG Gaming | 31c | 2,033$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.23 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked XLG Gaming | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…456bbacked XLG Gaming | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked G2 Esports | 52c | 1,939$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.55 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed XLG Gaming | 32c | 1,589$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.02 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed G2 Esports | 61c | 1,363$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.73 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed G2 Esports | 41c | 1,154$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.1 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed XLG Gaming | 52c | 1,100$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.96 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed XLG Gaming | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0002…103ebacked G2 Esports | 51c | 1,050$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.49 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55f8…ac78backed XLG Gaming | 21c | 845.76$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.9 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed G2 Esports | 39c | 781.03$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.58 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…ba7bbacked XLG Gaming | 29c | 700$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5024…b8bcbacked G2 Esports | 70c | 697.64$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.29 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed G2 Esports | 71c | 655.71$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.56 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed G2 Esports | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked XLG Gaming | 29c | 599.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c3…16ccbacked XLG Gaming | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked G2 Esports | 70c | 546.08$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.82 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed XLG Gaming | 50c | 514.74$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.37 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99a2…feedbacked XLG Gaming | 27c | 503.67$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.57 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed XLG Gaming | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked G2 Esports | 40c | 486$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.83 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8581…e74dbacked G2 Esports | 44c | 428.38$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5085…9bbcbacked G2 Esports | 57c | 389.47$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.47 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b82…a340backed G2 Esports | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed XLG Gaming | 45c | 360.06$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.83 | 207 | 55.6%115 W · 92 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked G2 Esports | 52c | 343.37$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.69 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60ae…31dfbacked XLG Gaming | 4c | 335$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked G2 Esports | 45c | 306.06$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.9 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed XLG Gaming | 34c | 297.06$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked XLG Gaming | 34c | 276.03$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.17 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x757f…311dbacked G2 Esports | 62c | 270.69$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.69 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked G2 Esports | 57c | 254.93$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.62 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed XLG Gaming | 42c | 239.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed XLG Gaming | 51c | 205.88$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed G2 Esports | 59c | 199.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.99 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked XLG Gaming | 22c | 171.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked XLG Gaming | 33c | 159.91$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0825…5e07backed G2 Esports | 72c | 155$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…9a00backed G2 Esports | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked XLG Gaming | 41c | 144.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x199b…354ebacked XLG Gaming | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37db…dff4backed G2 Esports | 61c | 115.79$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…a8f4backed XLG Gaming | 34c | 114.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked XLG Gaming | 34c | 111.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7c…e500backed XLG Gaming | 11c | 108.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…9f80backed XLG Gaming | 44c | 101.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed G2 Esports | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed G2 Esports | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1445…614abacked G2 Esports | 59c | 91.52$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d822backed G2 Esports | 53c | 85.41$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.41 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked XLG Gaming | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 339 | 47.8%162 W · 177 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed G2 Esports | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa7…2bb4backed XLG Gaming | 36c | 75.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49df…f885backed G2 Esports | 53c | 70.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d70…0593backed XLG Gaming | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c20…3e11backed G2 Esports | 56c | 58.52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked G2 Esports | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked XLG Gaming | 46c | 55.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked XLG Gaming | 43c | 55.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81c0…8b96backed G2 Esports | 69c | 54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…3841backed XLG Gaming | 45c | 46.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba1…e757backed G2 Esports | 74c | 45.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a56…c6e0backed G2 Esports | 63c | 45.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x063f…d10fbacked G2 Esports | 51c | 39.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0128…d18abacked XLG Gaming | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca7…b98bbacked G2 Esports | 70c | 28.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…db91backed G2 Esports | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…c0d1backed G2 Esports | 58c | 25.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 218 | 59.2%129 W · 89 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)G2 Esports won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group StageG2 Esports won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.