TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa032…a8f4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.66
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+78%+$73.36
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.46
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.4
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.28
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+53.8%+$8.71
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 - Map 2 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+118.7%+$166.64
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Imperial (BO5) - PGL Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$68
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+143.9%+$56.6
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$362Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$212.88
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+40.2%+$110.5
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70.12
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$13.95
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs fnatic (BO1)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+203%+$28.1
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$69.77
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked Fluxo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: B8 vs PARIVISION (BO1)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+78.6%+$9.95
Counter-Strike: Zero Tenacity vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3)backed Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+93.5%+$27.98
Counter-Strike: Zero Tenacity vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+64.8%+$11.8
All 21 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nova Esports vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: All Gamers vs TEC Esports (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffsbacked TEC Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+96.4%+$39.01
Valorant: TYLOO vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - China Evolution Series Act 1 Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.9
Valorant: Any Questions Gaming vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winnerbacked Any Questions Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.19
Valorant: Trace Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 1 Playoffsbacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.07
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$422.06
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Valorant: T1 vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.22
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$14.37
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Gen.G Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+109.8%+$267.43
Valorant: DRX vs SLT (BO3)backed DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$85.24
Valorant: DRX vs SLT - Map 1 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$16.32
Valorant: Karmine Corp GC vs KRÜ Blaze (BO3)backed KRÜ Blaze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+177.8%+$20.48
Valorant: Karmine Corp GC vs KRÜ Blaze - Map 2 Winnerbacked KRÜ Blaze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+168.5%+$33.11
Valorant: MIBR Female vs G2 Gozen (BO3)backed MIBR Female · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+300%+$41.37
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs MIBR Female (BO3)backed MIBR Female · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$36.16
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Kingsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$58.79
Sharks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$47.89
Flyers vs. Devilsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+114.9%+$128.11
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-43.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Lakers (-7.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+68.9%+$25.48
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Celtics vs. Timberwolvesbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$41.66
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$37.92
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$54.47
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$54.13
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+56.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bangladesh T20 Series: Bangladesh vs Ireland (Game 2)backed Ireland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$41.73
Bangladesh T20 Series: Bangladesh vs Ireland (Game 1)backed Ireland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+213.5%+$42.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+439.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+439.8%+$1,070.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SMU Mustangs vs. Californiabacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$35.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.