Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Trace Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3155d2af52e5c42f0f3b7736d2be2bb1dc57cb095cf6329ab87943e19682185b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- JD Gamingof Trace Esports, JD Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,429 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed Trace Esports | 0c | 6,640$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked JD Gaming | 73c | 2,594$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.39 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f99…f4d5backed Trace Esports | 27c | 2,224$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked JD Gaming | 71c | 714$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.99 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked JD Gaming | 73c | 661.54$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.33 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked JD Gaming | 68c | 647.87$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.4 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Trace Esports | 31c | 600$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb17a…c30dbacked Trace Esports | 29c | 599.98$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Trace Esports | 11c | 478.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Trace Esports | 21c | 379.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Trace Esports | 28c | 379.29$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Trace Esports | 28c | 363.59$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -8.0wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed JD Gaming | 72c | 349.62$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.68 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Trace Esports | 20c | 344.84$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Trace Esports | 27c | 339.23$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Trace Esports | 20c | 285.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Trace Esports | 25c | 267.74$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.94 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Trace Esports | 23c | 251$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb9…cb5dbacked Trace Esports | 33c | 229.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Trace Esports | 27c | 203.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed JD Gaming | 72c | 197.43$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.36 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Trace Esports | 22c | 173.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked JD Gaming | 67c | 170.4$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.12 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed JD Gaming | 77c | 167.3$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Trace Esports | 21c | 167$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed JD Gaming | 75c | 150$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed JD Gaming | 72c | 136.45$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed JD Gaming | 73c | 132.68$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked JD Gaming | 69c | 126.36$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Trace Esports | 27c | 125$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765d…610bbacked JD Gaming | 70c | 123.45$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Trace Esports | 27c | 123$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Trace Esports | 30c | 121$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Trace Esports | 32c | 119.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked JD Gaming | 71c | 119.36$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed JD Gaming | 79c | 106.34$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Trace Esports | 30c | 105$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe58…dfc2backed JD Gaming | 79c | 99.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Trace Esports | 33c | 91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…a8f4backed Trace Esports | 21c | 81.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Trace Esports | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba6…2a7ebacked Trace Esports | 31c | 79.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Trace Esports | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Trace Esports | 24c | 73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked JD Gaming | 73c | 71.33$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fa…d805backed JD Gaming | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Trace Esports | 33c | 61.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked JD Gaming | 65c | 58.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 157 | 54.1%85 W · 72 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed JD Gaming | 73c | 51.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…8763backed JD Gaming | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57da…a280backed JD Gaming | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e3…7311backed JD Gaming | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Trace Esports | 29c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Trace Esports | 28c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed JD Gaming | 68c | 39.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed JD Gaming | 58c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0477backed JD Gaming | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbd…7d08backed JD Gaming | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd22b…58c3backed JD Gaming | 75c | 20.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked JD Gaming | 69c | 20.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed JD Gaming | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe251…c019backed JD Gaming | 77c | 16.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 1 Playoffsthis page
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs JD Gaming - Map 1 WinnerJD Gaming won
- Valorant: Trace Esports vs JD Gaming - Map 2 WinnerJD Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.